UMass Minutemen vs Ohio Bobcats Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, November 18, 2025
The Mid-American Conference kicks off Week 13 in college football on Tuesday when the Massachusetts Minutemen (0-10, 0-6 MAC) pay a visit to Athens, Ohio, and Peden Stadium to play the Ohio Bobcats (6-4, 4-2 MAC), with MAC title implications on the line for the Bobcats. UMass lost its 10th consecutive game last Wednesday when falling to Northern Illinois 45-3. The Minutemen are 0-10 overall and 0-6 in MAC play. Ohio lost to Western Michigan 17-13 last time out. The Bobcats are one game behind first-place Western Michigan in the MAC standings with two games to play. Make sure to read this in-depth UMass Minutemen vs Ohio Bobcats prediction. Buckle up! Dive into our top NCAAF picks for the Massachusetts Minutemen at the Ohio Bobcats prediction and dominate your wagers.
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UMass is the Nation’s Worst on offense
The UMass Minutemen score an average of just 10.5 points per game, which is last in the nation, while allowing an average of 37.6 points per game, which is 132nd or fourth from the bottom. The Minutemen average 246.3 yards of total offense per game, which is last, and are 133rd in rushing yards and 122nd in passing yards per game. The UMass defense allows an average of 440.9 yards per game. The Minutemen are 97th in passing yards allowed and 128th in rushing yards allowed.
UMass played two quarterbacks in its loss to Northern Illinois last week and will do so again on Tuesday. AJ Hairston has 957 yards passing with four touchdowns and four interceptions, while Brandon Rose has 390 yards passing with two interceptions. Brandon Hood leads UMass in rushing with 320 yards and two touchdowns. Jacquon Gibson is the leading receiver with 457 yards. UMass has scored just six rushing and four receiving touchdowns. Linebacker Tyler Martin is the leading tackler with 81. The UMass defense has made 13 quarterback sacks and intercepted four passes.
Key Injuries and Analysis for UMass
- CB T.J. Magee (undisclosed is questionable
- TE Reece Adkins (undisclosed) is questionable. Has 7 catches for 109 yards
- WR Tyree Kelly (undisclosed) is questionable. Has 11 catches for 95 yards.
Ohio is playing well on both sides of the line of scrimmage
The Ohio Bobcats score an average of 27.1 points per game, which is 74th, and allow an average of 23.5 points per game, which is 62nd. Ohio averages 410.3 yards of total offense per game, which is 49th. The Bobcats are 22nd in rushing yards and 94th in passing yards per game. The Ohio defense is holding opponents to 371.1 yards per game. The Bobcats are 63rd in passing yards and 83rd in rushing yards allowed per game.
Ohio quarterback Parker Navarro has thrown for 2,057 yards with 12 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. Sieh Bangura is the leading rusher with 927 yards and 11 touchdowns, while the leading receiver is Chase Hendrix with 858 yards and six touchdown receptions. Safety Jalen Thomeson is the leading tackler with 65. Ohio's defense has made 15 quarterback sacks and intercepted 8 passes.
Key Injuries and Analysis for Ohio
- LB Michael Molnar (undisclosed) is questionable. Has 62 tackles and 1.5 sacks
UMass Minutemen vs. Ohio Bobcats Pick
Spread Pick and Prediction for UMass vs. Ohio
- Ohio Bobcats (5 units)
The UMass Minutemen are playing extremely poorly on both sides of the line of scrimmage. UMass is last in the nation in scoring at 10.5 points per game and fourth from last in points allowed at 37.6 points per game. UMass has a minus-8 turnover differential, committing 12 turnovers and having just four takeaways. Ohio has the 22nd-best running game in the nation, averaging 202.7 yards per game, and will face the nation's 128th-ranked defense against the run, as UMass allows an average of 201.5 yards per game on the ground. Ohio's defense will force UMass to beat them on the ground, as the Minutemen average only 79.5 yards rushing, while the passing game is almost as bad at 166.8 yards per game, or 122nd.
Over/Under Pick for UMass vs. Ohio
- Over (4 units)
The total has finished over in each of the last four games for UMass. Even though the Minutemen are last in scoring, they give up the fourth most points in the nation at 37.6 per game. Ohio will move the ball on the ground and through the air with little to no resistance, making each series quick and resulting in at least a field goal and most likely a touchdown. UMass is likely to score no more than a field goal but will give up enough points for the total to push over the closing line.
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