UNLV vs. Boise State, Preview, Picks and Prediction, Friday, December 5, 2025
It's championship season, and check out this UNLV vs. Boise State prediction. UNLV (10-2, 6-5 MWC) will be trying to pick up their third consecutive road win when they visit Albertsons Stadium on Friday night to face Boise State (8-4, 6-2 MWC) in the MWC Championship at 8 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Rebels vs. Broncos prediction. Don’t get sacked this football season! Try our College Football Picks!
The Rebels are coming off a 42-17 win over Nevada as seven-point favorites. The Broncos are coming off a 25-24 win over Utah State as 1.5-point favorites. UNLV is a 4-point favorite and the total is 58.5.
Boise State is 9-0 in nine games against UNLV. The Broncos won the regular-season meeting, 56-31 in mid-October.
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UNLV Going For Fifth Consecutive Win
The Rebels followed up their two-game winning streak with four straight wins to secure a spot in the championship game. They will try to keep the momentum going and pick up their fifth straight win when they play on Friday. Jai'Den Thomas led UNLV with four rushing touchdowns to beat Nevada in their last game.
UNLV averages 37.2 points per game, which is 12th in the nation. They throw for 258.6 yards and rush for 205 yards per game.
Anthony Colandrea has completed 68 percent of his passes for 3,050 yards, 22 touchdowns, and eight interceptions. He also has 556 rushing yards and eight touchdowns. Jai’Den Thomas leads the team with 127 carries for 944 yards and 12 touchdowns, while Jaden Bradley leads the team with 51 catches for 834 yards and four touchdowns.
UNLV is giving up 28.1 points per game, which is 89th in the nation. They’re giving up 232.5 passing yards and 176.9 rushing yards per game.
Injuries: TE-Jae Beasley II (Undisclosed), WR-Rashawn Jackson (Undisclosed), TE-Var’keyes Gumms (Hamstring), and QB-Cameron Friel (Undisclosed) are questionable for this game.
Boise State Going For Third Consecutive Win
The Broncos followed up their two-game losing streak with wins over Colorado State and Utah State. They won the regular season meeting against the Rebels and will try to pick up their 10th straight win over them when they play on Friday.
Boise State averages 30.8 points per game, which is 42nd in the nation. They throw for 240.6 yards and rush for 189.8 yards per game.
Maddux Madsen has completed 60 percent of his passes for 1,994 yards, 15 touchdowns, and seven interceptions. He was replaced in the last three games by Max Cutforth, who threw for 684 yards and two passing TDs. But Madsen is expected to return and start after missing about a month due to an ankle injury. Dylan Riley leads the team with 164 carries for 1,016 yards and 10 touchdowns, while Latrell Caples leads the team with 43 catches for 515 yards and three touchdowns.
Boise State is giving up 23.2 points per game, which is 55th in the nation. They’re giving up 165.8 passing yards and 167.4 rushing yards per game.
Injuries: QB-Maddux Madsen (ankle) is listed as questionable, but is expected to start. WR-Demetric Whitlock Jr. (Undisclosed) and WR-Chris Marshall (Undisclosed) are questionable for this game.
UNLV vs. Boise State Picks
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Earle Sports Bets | +2,298.00 |
| 2 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,840.00 |
| 3 |  Rob Vincilleti | +1,757.00 |
| 4 |  David Hess | +1,745.00 |
| 5 |  Dan Kaiser | +987.00 |
Point Spread Pick for UNLV vs. Boise State
- Boise State Broncos -4 (4 Units)
The Broncos have won five of their last seven games, while the Rebels have won four straight games. Boise State has the edge here because they have a potent attack with one of the best ground games in the country and a passing game that is almost as good. The Rebels have one of the worst run defenses in the country, and their secondary is almost as bad, so expect the Broncos to have their way offensively once again.
UNLV will have a hard time keeping up with the Broncos because they’re facing one of the best defenses in the nation. They won’t be able to throw the ball effectively against a defense that is giving up less than 200 passing yards per game, and they also won’t be able to run the ball effectively, so expect the Broncos to keep their offense in check. Take Boise State to cover the spread.
Over/Under Pick for UNLV vs. Boise State
- Under 58.5 (4 Units)
The Rebels average 37.2 points per game. They run the ball 53 percent of the time with the 21st-ranked ground game in the nation, and they’re facing a team that is 82nd against the run and is giving up 23.2 points per game. The Broncos average 30.8 points per game. They run the ball 53 percent of the time with the 40th-ranked ground game in the nation, and they’re facing a team that is 96th against the run and is giving up 28.1 points per game. Don’t expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total. The Broncos and Rebels played under the total in two of their last three meetings.
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