UTSA Roadrunners vs North Texas Mean Green Picks and Prediction for Saturday, October 18, 2025

By: Kevin V. Updated 10/17/2025, 11:59 AM ET
UTSA Roadrunners vs North Texas Mean Green Picks and Prediction
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On Saturday, the UTSA Roadrunners (3-3, 1-1 AAC) visit Denton, Texas, and DATCU Stadium for an American Athletic Conference clash with the North Texas Mean Green (5-1, 1-1 AAC). UTSA defeated Rice 61-13 last time out and has won three of the last four. UTSA is 1-1 in AAC play. North Texas lost to South Florida 63-36 last time out, snapping a five-game winning streak, and the Mean Green are also 1-1 in conference play. UTSA will play without LB Camron Cooper, and five others are questionable. North Texas will play without DL Fatafehi Vailea II and OG Dylan Shaw, while five others are questionable. Make sure to read this in-depth UTSA Roadrunners versus North Texas Mean Green prediction. Game day edge is hereβ€”check out our top NCAAF picks for UTSA Roadrunners at North Texas Mean Green prediction today.

UTSA is tough to stop on offense, but it needs to tighten its defense

The UTSA Roadrunners score an average of 34.5 (40th) points per game and allow an average of 26.8 (87th) points per game. UTSA averages 180.8 yards rushing in 213.3 yards passing for 394.2 yards of total offense per game, which is 68th. UTSA's defense allows an average of 130.0 yards rushing at 235.8 yards passing for 365.8 yards per game, which is also 68th.

UTSA quarterback Owen McCown has 1,226 yards passing with 12 touchdowns and four interceptions. McCown has been sacked six times. Robert Henry Jr is the leading rusher, with 730 yards and eight touchdowns, while averaging 7.9 yards per carry. Devin McCuin is the leading receiver with 341 yards and four touchdowns, while averaging 11.0 yards per reception. Kicker Michael Petro has made each of his 26 extra points and is 5-for-6 in field goals. Shad Banks Jr is the leading tackler for UTSA with 43, and linebacker Nnanna Anyanwu is the leader in quarterback sacks with 4.0. The UTSA defense has made quarterbacks and intercepted four passes.

North Texas is one of the best on offense, but it needs to improve its defense

The North Texas Mean Green score an average of 43.3 (8th) points per game, and allow an average of 272 (93rd) points per game. North Texas averages 166.5 yards rushing and 268.2 yards passing for 434.7 yards of total offense per game, which is 37th. The North Texas defense allows an average of 201.3 yards rushing and 158.8 yards passing for 360.2 yards per game, which is 66th.

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North Texas quarterback Drew Mestemaker has thrown for 1,735 yards with 13 touchdowns and three interceptions. Mestemaker has been sacked seven times. Caleb Hawkins leads North Texas on the ground with 366 yards rushing and 7 touchdowns, while Makenzie McGill II has 349 yards rushing and five TDs. Miles Coleman has a team-best 320 yards receiving with one touchdown reception. Linebacker Shane Whitter leads North Texas with 55 tackles. The North Texas defense has 13 sacks and seven interceptions.

UTSA Roadrunners vs. North Texas Mean Green Pick

Spread Pick for UTSA vs. North Texas

  • North Texas Mean Green -4 (4 units)

This will be an up-tempo matchup as both UTSA and North Texas are strong on offense, while both are relatively poor defensively. North Texas scores an average of 43.3 points per game, which is sixth-best in the country, and will use its very strong passing attack, which averages 268.2 yards per game, which is 34th, against a UTSA defense that is 88th against the pass, allowing 235.8 yards per game. North Texas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games. The Mean Green have scored 33 or more points in each game this season and will be too much for the UTSA defense to contain.

Over/Under Pick for UTSA vs. North Texas

  • Over 67.5 (4 units)

As mentioned previously, North Texas scores an average of 43.3 points per game, and UTSA scores an average of 34.5 points per game. UTSA is allowing an average of 26.8 points per game, while North Texas allows an average of 27.2 points per game. The total has finished over in four of North Texas’ last five games. The total has also finished over in 11 of UTSA's last 14 games.

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