Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Florida State Seminoles Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 15, 2025

By: Chris King Published 11/13/2025, 11:50 PM ET
Virginia Tech vs. Florida State Prediction
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Itโ€™s a battle of ACC foes from the Sunshine State on the gridiron as the Virginia Tech Hokies are on the road to battle the Florida State Seminoles Saturday night and we have you covered with our Virginia Tech vs. Florida State prediction. Virginia Tech had a bye week last week. The Hokies fell 28-16 at home to #16 Louisville in their previous contest, November 1, failing to cover the line as a 10-point favorite. Florida State was upended 24-10 on the road by Clemson Saturday, failing to cover the line as a 1.5-point underdog. In the all-time series between the teams, the Seminoles own a 24-13-1 advantage, including a 39-17 home win in the most recent matchup on October 7, 2023. Read more about this Virginia Tech vs. Florida State prediction! Donโ€™t get penalized! Increase your bankroll with our NCAAF Betting Picks!

Virginia Tech Trying to Earn Road Victory

Virginia Tech is rested here after the bye last week, but they come in off three losses in their last four contests entering this one. The Hokies enter this game 3-6 overall on the year and stand 2-3 in ACC play on the season. Against Louisville, Virginia Tech led 9-7 after the opening quarter and 16-7 at the half before the wheels fell off for them. The Hokies were outscored 21-0 in the second half en route to the loss. Virginia Tech was outgained 371-240 in total offense, gave up 18 first downs while picking up 16 and lost time of possession by a 30:22 to 29:38 margin in the game. The Hokies did force the gameโ€™s lone turnover in the loss.

This season, the Hokies are 115th in the nation in passing offense as they averaged 176.9 yards per game through the air. Virginia Tech is 40th in rushing offense as they picked up 182 yards per game on the ground on the year. The Hokies are 90th in the FBS in scoring offense by averaging 24.3 points per game and stand 103rd in scoring defense as they allowed 29.7 points per contest. Kyron Drones is 152 of 260 passing for 1,592 yards with 15 touchdowns and six interceptions while ranking second on the team with 499 rushing yards and eight scores this season. William Watson III (zero of one, 23 rush yards) provides depth at the QB spot. Marcellous Hawkins leads the team with 98 carries for 576 yards and a score on the year. Terion Stewart (63 carries, 395 yards) and Jeremiah Coney (eight carries, 47 yards) are in the mix as well. Aydin Greene leads the team with 24 receptions for 382 yards and two scores this season. Donavon Greene (16 receptions, 274 yards, two TD), Takye Heath (18 catches, 173 yards, three TD), Cameron Seldon (21 receptions, 143 yards, two TD) and Isaiah Spencer (10 catches, 114 yards) are going to look to contribute in the passing game. John Love hit all 20 extra point attempts and 14 of 17 field goal attempts with a long of 56 this season. Kyle Lowe hit his lone extra point attempt and has not attempted a field goal this season.

Seminoles Trying to Get Back to .500

FSU fell for the fifth time in six games as they were dropped by Clemson on the road last week and look to get back on track. The Seminoles fell to 4-5 on the season and stand 1-5 in ACC play on the year as they look to get back to the .500 mark on the year. Against Clemson, Florida State trailed 8-0 after the opening quarter and 18-0 in the second quarter before getting on the board just before the half to trail 18-7 at intermission. The Seminoles never got closer in the second half as they sputtered offensively. Florida State owned a 360-319 edge in total offense and picked up 19 first downs while allowing 16 in the game. The Seminoles committed the gameโ€™s two turnovers and lost time of possession by a 34:22 to 25:38 margin in the contest.

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On the season, Florida State is 28th in the FBS in passing offense with an average of 267.1 yards per game through the air. The Seminoles are 11th in the nation in rushing offense as they put up 226.7 yards per contest on the season. Florida State is 17th among the 136 FBS teams to take the field this season in scoring offense with an average of 36.7 points per contest. The Seminoles stand 33rd in scoring defense as they allow 21 points per contest. Tommy Castellanos is 135 of 225 passing for 2,128 yards with 11 touchdowns and six picks while ranking second on the team with 359 yards plus six scores on the ground. Kevin Sperry (12 of 17, 194 yards, two TD, 27 rush yards), Brock Glenn (five of nine, 64 yards, two TD, 26 rush yards), Michael Grant (one of one, 14 yards) and Jaylen King (zero of one, six rush yards) have each seen action under center. Gavin Sawchuk leads the ground attack with 94 carries for 433 yards and eight scores. Ousmane Kromah (52 carries, 310 yards), Micahi Danzy (nine carries, 183 yards, three TD), Samuel Singleton Jr. (35 carries, 286 yards, four TD), Jaylin Lucas (20 carries, 126 yards) and Zay Parks (15 carries, 95 yards, TD) are all involved in the run attack. Duce Robinson leads the passing game with 43 catches for 813 yards and three scores. Danzy (23 catches, 522 yards, two TD) and Lawayne McCoy (17 receptions, 232 yards, two TD) are the only other players with more than 200 receiving yards on the year. Jake Weinberg is 39 of 39 on extra points and nine of 12 on field goal attempts with a long of 46 this season. Brunno Reus hit both extra point attempts and has not attempted a field goal this year.

Virginia Tech vs. Florida State Prediction

Spread Pick for Virginia Tech vs. FSU

  • Florida State -13.5 (4 units)

Both teams have been disappointing this season. Virginia Tech fired Brent Pry after a 0-3 start to the year and has split six games under Philip Montgomery. Florida State opened the year with a home win over Alabama, which hasnโ€™t lost since, and sits a game below the .500 mark on the season. The Seminoles are at home here, where they are 4-2 on the season, including that win over the Crimson Tide. Virginia Tech is just 1-1 on the road on the year, with a win over NC State and a loss to Georgia Tech. The Hokies are just 2-7 ATS this season and their offense has been unimpressive on the year. Look for Florida State to come up with the home win with an emphatic victory.

Over/Under Pick for Va. Tech vs. FSU

  • Under 55.5 (4 units)

Virginia Tech has stayed under the number in five of their nine games on the year entering this contest. The Hokies are below average in scoring offense on the year. They have scored 20 points or fewer four times this year and 23 points in two other contests. Florida Stateโ€™s defense has been solid, even with its recent slide as they have allowed 20 points or fewer in five of their nine games on the year. The Seminoles have been good offensively, scoring at least 31 points in five of their six home games but lighting up Kent State and Texas A&M-Commerce doesnโ€™t translate to scorching an ACC program, even a mediocre one. Look for the Seminoles to put up some points but this game still winds up short of the number.

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