Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Oregon State Beavers Prediction and Picks - October 11th, 2025

By: Dean Whitaker Published 10/09/2025, 06:50 PM ET
Maalik Murphy looks to lead the Beavers to their first win of the year.
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Saturday afternoon on the college gridiron, and we have a Wake Forest vs Oregon State Prediction locked and loaded for you. Wake Forest enters this game off a hard-fought 30-23 road win over Virginia Tech to move to 3-2 on the year. The Beavers are still winless on the year at 0-6, and they come in off a 27-23 loss at Appalachian State. Can the Beavers break through with a win here, or at least keep the game close? Read on to see our Wake Forest vs Oregon State prediction.

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Wake Takes Down Hokies On The Road

Wake Forest enters Week 7 at 3–2 after a 30–23 road win over Virginia Tech, their first away game of the season. Quarterback Robby Ashford threw for 256 yards and a touchdown on 61.5% passing, and added 13 carries for 22 yards. He’s now up to 1,172 passing yards on the season, with two touchdowns and four interceptions. Running back Demond Claiborne, who exited the Virginia Tech game with an injury, has rushed for 395 yards and seven touchdowns on 53 carries, averaging 7.5 yards per touch. Chris Barnes leads the receiving corps with 308 yards on 20 catches, while Sawyer Racanelli stepped up last week with 88 yards on just three receptions. Wake Forest averages 398.2 total yards per game and 27.0 points, ranking 64th and 81st nationally, respectively.

Defensively, the Demon Deacons have quietly been one of the ACC’s more reliable units. They rank 45th in total defense (325.0 yards/game), 50th in scoring defense (21.2 points/game), and 35th against the pass (182.6 yards/game). They’ve allowed just 10 total touchdowns and are giving up 3.6 yards per carry and a 58.1% completion rate. The front seven has held opponents to 142.4 rushing yards per game, and the secondary has kept explosive plays in check. However, Wake Forest ranks 115th in penalty yards per game (69.0), and their time of possession (28:10) is among the lowest in the FBS. With Claiborne’s status uncertain and Ashford still settling in, the defense may need to carry the load again in Corvallis.

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Wake Forest is a narrow road favorite (-3) in what could be a trap game if they aren’t mentally sharp. The Deacs have covered in three of five games this season, but they’ve also turned the ball over six times and struggled to sustain drives late. Coach Jake Dickert has emphasized a “next man up” mentality, and players like Ty Clark, Carlos Hernandez, and Eni Falayi have stepped up in key spots. If Ashford can avoid mistakes and the defense continues to bend without breaking, Wake Forest has the edge. But traveling three time zones west to face a desperate Oregon State team adds volatility to a matchup that’s closer than records suggest.

Oregon State Still Looking For First Win

Oregon State enters Week 7 winless at 0–6, but they’ve lost their last two games by a combined eight points and are showing signs of life. Quarterback Maalik Murphy, a transfer from Duke, threw for 358 yards and two touchdowns against Appalachian State last week, and now has 1,523 passing yards, nine touchdowns, and seven interceptions on the season. Running back Anthony Hankerson has rushed for 366 yards and two scores on 107 carries, while Trent Walker leads the receiving corps with 584 yards on 43 catches. The Beavers average 353.8 total yards per game and just 18.3 points, ranking 95th and 122nd nationally. Their run game has been stagnant—just 94.5 yards per game—and they’ve committed 10 turnovers.

Defensively, Oregon State has struggled across the board. They rank 120th in total defense (427.3 yards/game), 127th in scoring defense (35.0 points/game), and 125th against the pass (271.0 yards/game). Opponents are averaging 6.8 yards per play and have scored 27+ points in every game this season. The Beavers rank 126th in turnover margin (-6) and 125th in red zone defense, allowing scores on nearly every opponent trip. The lone bright spot is discipline—just 29.5 penalty yards per game, sixth-best in the FBS. But without consistent pressure or coverage, Oregon State has been unable to flip field position or create momentum.

Despite the record, Oregon State has been competitive in recent weeks, losing 27–24 in overtime to Houston and 27–23 to Appalachian State. Murphy has shown flashes of brilliance, and Walker is a legitimate threat after posting 179 yards last week. Head coach Trent Bray recently fired his special teams coordinator, signaling urgency and frustration. With four straight home games ahead, the Beavers are desperate to turn the tide. If they can protect Murphy and limit Wake Forest’s run game, they have the pieces to hang around. But they’ll need their cleanest game of the season to avoid an 0–7 start.

Wake Forest vs Oregon State Pick

Wake Forest vs Oregon State Spread Pick

  • Wake Forest -3 (5 Units)

Wake Forest -3 is a sharp play against an Oregon State team that’s winless, turnover-prone, and struggling to finish games. The Demon Deacons have covered in three of five contests and enter with a defense that ranks top 50 nationally in both scoring and total yardage allowed. Robby Ashford has settled into the offense, and even with Demond Claiborne’s status uncertain, Wake Forest has enough weapons—Chris Barnes, Sawyer Racanelli, and a disciplined front seven—to control tempo and capitalize on short fields. Oregon State ranks 126th in turnover margin and has allowed 27+ points in every game this season, making them vulnerable to a team that can score in bunches and protect a lead.

Oregon State has been competitive in recent weeks, but they’ve yet to prove they can close. Maalik Murphy has talent, but his seven interceptions and a stagnant run game have kept the Beavers from sustaining drives. Wake Forest’s defense is built to contain mobile quarterbacks and limit explosive plays, and their ability to force third-and-long situations should tilt field position early. With bowl eligibility still in play and a chance to build momentum before ACC play resumes, Wake Forest has every incentive to stay sharp and finish strong. If they avoid turnovers and penalties, they’re well-positioned to cover and control this matchup from start to finish.

Wake Forest vs Oregon State Over/Under Pick

  • Over 50.5 (5 Units)

Over 50.5 makes sense in a matchup featuring a turnover-prone Oregon State defense and a Wake Forest offense that’s quietly efficient. The Beavers have allowed 35.0 points per game and rank bottom-five nationally in red zone defense and turnover margin, while Wake Forest has scored 27+ in three of five games and boasts explosive weapons even with Claiborne’s status uncertain. Maalik Murphy and Trent Walker can stretch the field for Oregon State, and Robby Ashford’s mobility adds a layer of unpredictability. With both teams capable of chunk plays and defensive lapses, this total has room to clear.

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