Wake Forest vs Virgnia Tech Prediction and Picks - October 4th, 2025

By: Dean Whitaker Published 10/02/2025, 04:50 PM ET
Kyron Drones looks to lead the Hokies over the Demon Deacons
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College Football within the ACC on Saturday afternoon, and we have a Wake Forest vs Virginia Tech Prediction locked and loaded for you. Wake Forest enters this game off a very tough 30-29 OT loss at home to Georgia Tech to fall to 2-2 on the year. Virginia Tech improved to 2-3 last week with a 23-21 road win over NC State. These teams last met back in 2023, and Virginia Tech won that game at home by a score of 30-13. Can Wake get revenge for that loss? Continue reading to see our Wake Forest vs Virginia Tech prediction.

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Demon Deacons Suffer Tough Loss To Georgia Tech

Wake Forest enters Week 6 off a heartbreaking 30–29 loss to Georgia Tech, where quarterback Robby Ashford threw for 219 yards but failed to record a passing touchdown. Ashford has completed 59.3% of his passes for 916 yards, one touchdown, and three interceptions through four games, while adding 82 rushing yards and a score last week. The Deacons rank 58th nationally in total offense (411.0 YPG) and 82nd in scoring (26.3 PPG), with Demond Claiborne leading the ground game at 366 yards and six touchdowns.

Offensively, Wake Forest has leaned on Claiborne’s burst and Chris Barnes’ consistency in the passing game—Barnes has 287 yards on 15 catches. The Deacons have scored 13 total touchdowns and converted 84 first downs, but they rank 127th nationally in red zone efficiency (69.2%) and 118th in time of possession (27:03). Their third-down conversion rate and pass protection have been inconsistent, and Ashford’s deep ball accuracy remains a concern. Against a Virginia Tech defense that’s vulnerable in coverage, Wake Forest will need to finish drives and avoid early deficits.

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Defensively, Wake Forest allows just 20.8 points per game and 340.5 total yards (57th nationally), with solid metrics against both the run and pass. Opponents are averaging 200.5 passing yards and 140.0 rushing yards per game, with a 56.0% completion rate. The Deacons have allowed eight total touchdowns and forced five turnovers, with a pass rush that’s generated 10 sacks. With Oregon State looming next week, this road test in Blacksburg is a pivotal moment for Wake Forest to prove it can close out tight games.

Tech Surprises Wolfpack At Home

Virginia Tech comes in off a 23–21 win over NC State, where quarterback Kyron Drones threw for 177 yards and two touchdowns on 58.8% passing. Drones has thrown for 1,105 yards and eight touchdowns with three interceptions, while adding 158 rushing yards and four scores. The Hokies rank 79th nationally in total offense (376.8 YPG) and 96th in scoring (23.6 PPG), with Terion Stewart emerging as a breakout threat—he rushed for 174 yards on just 15 carries last week.

The Hokies have scored 13 total touchdowns and converted 94 first downs, but they’ve struggled in the red zone and rank 100th in scoring defense (28.0 PPG allowed). Ayden Greene leads the receiving corps with 244 yards and one touchdown, while Donavon Greene and Cameron Seldon have combined for 325 yards and three scores. Virginia Tech ranks 45th in time of possession (31:21) and has committed six turnovers, but their offensive line has improved in run blocking and short-yardage situations.

Defensively, Virginia Tech allows 356.8 total yards per game (68th nationally), with 219.0 passing yards and 137.8 rushing yards allowed per contest. The Hokies have given up 14 total touchdowns and rank 78th in pass defense, with limited pressure and just six sacks through five games. Their third-down defense has been inconsistent, and they’ve allowed multiple explosive plays in each of their last three outings. With Georgia Tech on deck, this home matchup against Wake Forest is a chance to build momentum and tighten up defensively.

Wake Forest vs Virginia Tech Pick

Wake Forest vs Virginia Tech Spread Pick

  • Virginia Tech -7 (4 Units)

Virginia Tech -7 is a solid position against a Wake Forest team that’s struggled to finish drives and protect the quarterback. The Hokies have covered in three of their last four and bring a balanced attack led by Kyron Drones and Terion Stewart, who combined for 351 total yards and three touchdowns last week. Wake Forest ranks 127th in red zone efficiency and 118th in time of possession, which sets up a game script where Virginia Tech can control tempo and build margin. With the Hokies converting 94 first downs and improving in short-yardage execution, they’re built to punish defensive lapses.

Defensively, Virginia Tech has the edge in pressure and run containment, while Wake Forest’s Robby Ashford has thrown just one touchdown against three interceptions through four games. The Deacons have allowed 10 sacks and struggle on third down, which plays into Virginia Tech’s ability to shorten possessions and force punts. With the Hokies coming off a confidence-building win over NC State and facing a Wake Forest team that’s failed to cover in three straight, laying the 7 is backed by matchup leverage and momentum.

Wake Forest vs Virginia Tech Over/Under Pick

  • Under 50.5 (5 Units)

The Under 50.5 is supported by two offenses that struggle to finish drives and two defenses that bend but rarely break. Wake Forest ranks 127th in red zone efficiency and has scored just 13 touchdowns all season, while Virginia Tech averages 23.6 points per game and has converted only six red zone trips into touchdowns over the last three weeks. Both teams rank outside the top 75 in explosive play rate, and neither quarterback has consistently pushed the ball downfield. With tempo trending slow and both defenses allowing under 360 yards per game, this matchup profiles as a grind that stays under the number.

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