Washington State vs. North Texas Picks and Prediction, Saturday, September 13, 2025
On Saturday, the Washington State Cougars will play the North Texas Mean Green at DATCU Stadium in Week 3 NCAAF action. North Texas is a six-point spread favorite, and the game total is 57.5 points scored. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET.
This Washington State vs. North Texas prediction highlights a WSU team that went 8-5 a season ago against a UNT squad that was 6-7. Both teams are off to 2-0 starts in 2025. This is the first-ever matchup between the Cougars and Mean Green on the gridiron.
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Washington State lacks a run game
Washington State (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS, and 1-1 O/U) narrowly escaped Idaho 13-10 in Week 1, winning but failing to cover as 17-point spread favorites. The Cougars responded by beating San Diego State 36-13 last week as two-point betting favorites. Can they sustain their momentum on the road?
WSU outgained SDSU 396-215 in total yards, holding the Aztecs to 4.4 yards per pass and 2.7 yards per carry. San Diego State was a combined 3-for-17 on third and fourth down. The Cougars also dominated the time of possession, holding the football for over ten minutes more than their opponent.
Sophomore QB Jaxon Potter leads the Washington State offense with 465 passing yards (70.8% CMP%) and a 4:0 TD:INT ratio. Potter's top pass-catchers are senior WR Joshua Meredith (10 receptions for 119 yards and one TD) and junior WR Tony Freeman (13 receptions for 107 yards), while sophomore RB Kirby Vorhees (19 carries for 86 yards) paces the rushing attack.
The Cougars score 24.5 points per game (90th) and average 303.5 total yards (115th), including 232.5 passing yards (69th) and 71.0 rushing yards (132nd). The WSU defense allows 11.5 points (33rd) and 218.0 total yards (17th) per game, including 83.0 passing yards (4th) and 135.0 rushing yards (74th).
Washington State Cougars Football Injury Report: C. Reeder S Probable - Knee D. Ellison WR Out - Foot
North Texas has fared well against the pass
North Texas (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS, and 1-1 O/U) dominated Lamar 51-0 in its season opener, covering the spread as 27.5-point betting favorites. The Mean Green needed overtime to pull out a 33-30 win at Western Michigan last week, failing to cover as 11.5-point spread favorites. Will they fare better on their home turf?
UNT outgained WMU by over 100 yards last week despite holding the football for 13 fewer minutes than the home team. The Mean Green trailed 17-7 after two quarters, but scored twenty points after halftime to send the game to an extra period. Both teams struggled with penalties, but neither committed any turnovers. North Texas gained 182 yards on the ground, averaging 6.1 yards per rush.
Freshman QB Drew Mestemaker (553 passing yards, six total TDs, and zero INTs) leads the Mean Green offense. Sophomore RB Makenzie McGill II (22 carries for 103 yards and two TDs) paces the run game, and sophomore WR Wyatt Young (eight receptions for 156 yards and two TDs) is the team's top pass-catcher.
North Texas scores 42.0 points per game (30th) and averages 434.0 total yards (48th), including 276.5 passing yards (33rd) and 157.5 rushing yards (76th). The Mean Green allows 15.0 points (47th) and 211.0 total yards (13th) per game, including 87.5 passing yards (5th) and 123.5 rushing yards (61st).
North Texas Mean Green Football Injury Report:
K. Sibley RB Out - Undisclosed C. Vaughn TE Questionable - Undisclosed J. Obidegwu OG Questionable - Undisclosed
Washington State vs. North Texas Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Earle Sports Bets | +2,298.00 |
| 2 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,840.00 |
| 3 |  Rob Vincilleti | +1,757.00 |
| 4 |  David Hess | +1,745.00 |
| 5 |  Dan Kaiser | +987.00 |
Spread Pick for Washington State vs. North Texas
- North Texas -6 (4 Units)
This is a tricky situational spot for the Cougars, who travel to Denton, where temperatures are expected to be in the 90s on Saturday. They'll face a North Texas defense that has improved a lot under former Sam Houston DC Skyler Cassity, especially against the pass. That's a big deal against the pass-happy visitors. The Mean Green continue to be a tough team to stop on offense, too. I don't trust Washington State, as it barely escaped an upset against Idaho and beat a bad San Diego State in its first two weeks. Anything under a touchdown is worth betting on North Texas.
Over/Under Pick for Washington State vs. North Texas
- Under 57.5 (4 Units)
The total has come down a couple of points, but I believe the under is the play. The Cougars have played sound defense so far, and I believe they'll lean more on that side of the ball than normally, as their offense could have some struggles against the Mean Green secondary. Washington State only scored 13 points in Week 1 and didn't dominate as much as I would have liked to see last week, either. North Texas has enough offensive juice to cover the spread, but I don't believe enough in their O to take a gamble on the over.
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