Western Michigan Broncos vs Massachusetts Minutemen Picks and Prediction for Saturday, October 4, 2025
Use Code WWWC On Saturday, the Western Michigan Broncos (2-3, 1-0 MAC) visit Amherst, Massachusetts, and Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium to play the UMass Minutemen (0-4, 0-0 MAC). Western Michigan defeated Rhode Island 47-14 last Saturday for its second consecutive win after opening the season with three straight losses. UMass lost to Missouri 42-6 last Saturday, and the Minutemen have lost each of the first four games of the season. Western Michigan will play without OG Jeremy Schleicher and DL August Johanningsmeier, with four others questionable. UMass will play without OG Zachary Franks and DL Joshua Nobles, with three others questionable, including QB Brandon Rose. Make sure to read this in-depth Western Michigan Broncos vs UMass Minutemen prediction. Kickoff confidence! Unlock expert insights with our NCAAF picks for Western Michigan Broncos at Massachusetts Minutemen prediction.
Western Michigan needs to generate more offense, while its defense is average
The Western Michigan Broncos are 118th in scoring, averaging 19.4 points per game, and 74th in points allowed, at 24.2 points per game. Western Michigan averages 132.8 yards rushing and 144.6 yards passing for 277.4 yards of total offense per game, which is 131st out of 136. The Broncos’ defense allows an average of 142.2 yards rushing and 184.0 yards passing for 326.2 yards per game, which is 49th.
Quarterback Broc Lowry has 588 passing yards, with 2 touchdowns and 1 interception. Lowry has been sacked eight times. Lowry is a dual-threat under center, with a team-best 227 yards rushing and 5 TDs. Jalen Buckley is second in rushing with 167 yards. Talique Williams leads Western Michigan in receptions (12), yards receiving (217), and average per reception (18.1 yards). Safety Tate Hallock has 26 tackles to lead the Broncos, while two players have 3.0 sacks to lead the team. The defense has made 18 sacks and has intercepted 4 passes.
UMass is next to last in scoring and close to the bottom in points allowed
The UMass Minutemen are 135th in scoring, averaging 12.3 points per game, and 132nd in points allowed at 39.5 points per game. UMass averages 62.2 yards rushing and 163.5 yards passing for 225.8 yards of total offense per game, which is last in the nation. The UMass defense allows an average of 185.2 yards rushing and 270.2 yards passing for 455.5 yards per game, which is 123rd.
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UMass quarterback Grant Jordan has 278 yards passing with one interception and has been sacked seven times. Brandon Rose, questionable, has 217 yards passing with one interception. Rocko Griffin leads UMass in rushing, with 165 yards and an average of 4.7 yards per carry. Griffin has scored one touchdown. Jacquon Gibson has caught 30 passes for 288 yards with an average of 9.6 yards per reception to lead UMass in receptions and yards receiving. Linebacker Timmy Hinspeter is the leading tackler with 41 and also has two quarterback sacks. Lineman Marques White is the leader in sacks with 3.0. The UMass defense has made eight sacks and intercepted three passes
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Massachusetts Minutemen Pick
Spread Pick for Western Michigan Broncos vs. UMass
- Western Michigan Broncos -13 (5 units)
The Western Michigan Broncos have covered the spread in four of the last five. The Broncos struggle a bit to score at 19.4 points per game, but are average in points allowed at 24.2 points per game. UMass is the second-worst team in the country in scoring, averaging 12.3 points per game, and is 132nd or fourth from the bottom in points allowed at 39.5 points per game. Western Michigan will use its running game, which averages 132.8 yards per game, against a UMass defense that allows an average of 185.2 yards rushing per game. The Broncos have a dual-threat quarterback in Broc Lowry, who has passed for 588 yards and rushed for 227 yards, throwing two touchdown passes and rushing for five more. UMass does not have a defense that can control Lowry and will be on their heels from the start. Western Michigan's passing offense is not the best, averaging only 144.6 yards per game, but it faces the 119th defense against the pass, as UMass allows an average of 270.2 yards per game through the air.
Over/Under Pick for Western Michigan vs. UMass
- Over 47 (4 units)
Although the total has finished under in seven of Western Michigan's last nine games, its most recent game versus Rhode Island finished over as 61 points were scored on a closing line of 45.5 points, and the Broncos will face a very weak UMass defense. UMass has had the total finish over in seven of its last eight games as the Minutemen allow an average of 39.5 points per game and will score enough against an average Western Michigan defense to push the total over.
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