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Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx, Picks and Prediction, Thursday, September 11, 2025

By: Liam Keating Published 09/11/2025, 11:11 AM ET
Valkyries vs. Lynx Prediction

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It’s the final night of the regular season for the WNBA on Thursday, Sept. 10. Read our Golden State Valkyries vs Minnesota Lynx prediction along with our other WNBA Predictions. These two teams are set for the playoffs. The Lynx have already wrapped up the No. 1 seed with their 33-10 record. The Valkyries are No. 7 with their 23-20 record. It’s an important game for Golden State as they could move up to the No. 6 seed or fall to the No. 8 spot. The Valkyries have won five of their last seven games coming into this matchup. These two teams will meet with tip-off set for 8 P.M. EST.

Golden State looking to move up to No. 6 seed

Golden State is 23-20 this season. They are in seventh place in the league as they are 10 games back of the Lynx. The Valkyries are half of a game back of the Fever and they are also half of a game ahead of Seattle. The Valkyries 9-12 when they have played on the road. They have lost back-to-back games coming into this matchup. The Valkyries have won five games before these two losses. The Valkyries are 0-3 against the Lynx this year. In their last game, they lost 74-73 to the Storm on Tuesday, Sept. 9.

Veronica Burton leads the team with 12 points and 6 assists per game. Janelle Salaun is grabbing a team-leading 4.9 rebounds per game, too.

Golden State is averaging 78.3 points per game, which ranks 10th in the league. They are shooting 41% from the field, which ranks last in the league. The Valkyries are making 32.9% from behind the arc, placing them ninth.

On defense, Golden State is allowing 76.4 points per game which is the best in the league. They are allowing 40.4% from the fiel,d which is also the best in the sport. The Valkyries are allowing 31.7% from behind the arc, placing them second-best.

Golden State is 27-15-1 against the spread this season. They are 12-9 against the spread when they have played on the road. The Valkyries are 19-11 against the spread when they have been an underdog. The under is 27-16 when Golden State has played. The under is 12-9 when Golden State has played on the road.

Tiffany Hayes is out with a knee injury while Kayla Thornton continues to be out with a knee injury.

Minnesota has No. 1 seed locked up

Minnesota is 33-10 overall this season. They are in first place and they have secured the No. 1 seed for the past few weeks as they dominated the regular season. They are 19-2 when playing at home. They are 3-0 when playing Golden State this season. The Lynx have won five of their last eight games coming into this outing. In their last game, they lost 83-72 to the Fever on the road on Tuesday, Sept. 9.

Napheesa Collier leads the team with 23 points and 7.4 rebounds per game. Courtney Williams is dishing out a team-high 6.2 assists per game.

Minnesota is leading the league with 86.4 points per game. They are shooting 47.3% from the field which ranks first place. The Lynx are the top 3-point shooting team making 38% from behind the arc.

On defense, Minnesota is allowing 77.2 points per game which ranks third best. They are allowing 42.6% from the field ranking fourth. The Lynx are the ninth ranked 3-point defensive team giving up 33.7% from deep.

Minnesota is 24-18-1 against the spread this season. They are 13-7-1 against the spread when they have played at home. The Lynx are 10-10-1 against the spread when they have been single-digit favorites this season. The over is 21-20-2 when Minnesota has played this season. The total is 10-10-1 when Minnesota has played at home.

Napheesa Collier is questionable for the game while DiJonai Carrington is out for the game.

Golden State Valkyries vs Minnesota Lynx 

Spread Pick for Golden State Valkyries vs Minnesota Lynx 

  • Golden State Valkyries +7 (5 units)

There is much to play for in this game for the Lynx. They have the No. 1 seed wrapped up and they may not play some of their best players for an extended period. Even though they are the best team in the league, I would not side with them in the season finale. The Valkyries have a lot to play as they try to move up a seed in the playoffs. With the loss, they are in danger of moving down in the playoff seeding. They need the win and they should be close to getting it as they have been playing well recently, winning five of their last seven games. One team has a lot to play for in this one, the other team is taking it easy as the playoffs loom. The Valkyries are also 19-11 against the spread when they have been an underdog.

Take the Valkyries to cover. 

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Over/Under Pick for Golden State Valkyries vs Minnesota Lynx

  • Under 153.5 (5 Units)

The Valkyries and the Lynx are two of the slowest teams in the league. Golden State is last in pace stats, while the Lynx rank 10th in the same category. Expect a low-scoring, low-possession based game. The under is 12-9 when Golden State has played on the road this season. The Lynx also own the No. 1 defense in the sport.

Take the under. 

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