Memphis vs. Troy, Picks and Prediction, Saturday, September 13, 2025
Memphis (2-0, 0-0 American) will be going for their second consecutive road win when they visit Veterans Memorial Stadium on Saturday afternoon to face Troy (1-1, 0-0 Sun Belt) at 12 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Tigers vs. Trojans prediction.
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The Tigers are coming off a 38-16 win over Georgia State as 14.5-point favorites. The Trojans are coming off a 27-16 loss to Clemson as 30.5-point underdogs.
Memphis won the lone meeting between the two teams last season, 38-17.
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Memphis Going For Third Consecutive Win
The Tigers followed up their season-opening win over Chattanooga with a win over Georgia State, covering the spread for the second consecutive game, and picked up their first road win of the season. They will try to keep the momentum going and pick up their third straight win when they play on Saturday.
Memphis is averaging 41.5 points per game through two games. They are throwing for 197.5 yards and rushing for 219 yards per game.
Brendon Lewis completed 80 percent of his passes for 196 yards in the win over the Panthers. He also had nine carries for 68 yards and one touchdown. Sutton Smith had 14 carries for 74 yards and one touchdown, while Jamari Hawkins had three catches for 79 yards.
Memphis is giving up 16 points per game through two games. They are giving up 51 rushing yards and 340 passing yards per game.
Troy Trying To Bounce Back From Loss
The Trojans followed up their season-opening win over Nicholls with a loss to #8 Clemson in their last game. They will try to bounce back from the loss and pick up their second win of the season when they play on Saturday.
Troy is averaging 27 points per game through two games. They are averaging 183.5 yards passing and 175 yards rushing per game.
Goose Crowder completed 61 percent of his passes for 223 yards, one touchdown, and three interceptions in the loss to the Tigers. Tae Meadows had 16 carries for 76 yards, while Tray Taylor had four catches for 69 yards and one touchdown.
Troy is giving up 23.5 points per game through two games. They are giving up 120 rushing yards and 196 passing yards per game.
Memphis vs. Troy Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Earle Sports Bets | +2,298.00 |
| 2 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,840.00 |
| 3 |  Rob Vincilleti | +1,757.00 |
| 4 |  David Hess | +1,745.00 |
| 5 |  Dan Kaiser | +987.00 |
Point Spread Pick for Memphis vs. Troy
- Memphis Tigers -3.5 (4 Units)
The Tigers have won two straight games, while the Trojans split their first two games. Memphis has the edge here because they’ve been able to have their way with opponents on the ground, with the team averaging more than 200 rushing yards per game. The Trojans struggled against the run in their first game against a team that isn't as committed to running the ball, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down Memphis’ attack.
Troy won’t be as successful offensively because their strength is running the ball, but they were held under 100 yards in their last game and averaged only 2.4 yards per carry. The Tigers have done a great job against the run so far, so expect them to stack the box and force Crowder to beat them with his arm, which won't happen. Go with Memphis to cover the spread.
Over/Under Pick for Memphis vs. Troy
- Under 51.5 (4 Units)
The Tigers played under the total in their last two games. Memphis averaged 41.5 points per game through their first two games. They run the ball more than 60 percent of the time, and they're facing a team that is 49th in the country against the run, and is giving up 23.5 points per game. The Trojans averaged 27 points per game through their first two games. They run the ball more than 50 percent of the time, and they’re facing a team that is 12th in the nation against the run, and is giving up 13 points per game. Don't expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total. The Tigers and Trojans played under the total in their lone meeting.
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