Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Picks and Prediction for Friday, April 3, 2026
Use Code WWWC The Atlanta Braves (4-2) visit the Arizona Diamondbacks (3-3) on Friday at Chase Field, starting at 9:40 PM ET on Apple TV. Atlanta sits second in the NL East, while Arizona is second in the NL West and undefeated at home (3-0). The Braves are 3-2 over their last five games, while the Diamondbacks have won three straight entering this matchup. This sets up a competitive early-season game. Build your bankroll with our free MLB picks.
Atlanta Braves Relying on Pitching Depth and Balanced Production
Atlanta has opened the season 4-2, built around pitching and enough offense to remain competitive. The Braves have scored 24 runs while allowing just 12, showing the ability to manage games even when the offense is not explosive. Over the last five games, Atlanta has alternated wins and losses but continues to keep games within reach.
The pitching staff has led the way with a 2.00 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP, while holding opponents to a .188 batting average. The Braves have also recorded 48 strikeouts against 13 walks, limiting baserunners and avoiding extended innings. This has allowed Atlanta to reduce scoring opportunities for opponents.
Offensively, Atlanta is hitting .255 with a .330 on-base percentage. Drake Baldwin has been productive early with three home runs and seven RBI, while Mauricio Dubón is hitting .412. Matt Olson and Ozzie Albies continue to provide support, giving the lineup multiple contributors rather than relying on one player.
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Injuries: Daysbel Hernandez, 15-Day IL, Spencer Strider, 15-Day IL, Sean Murphy, 10-Day IL, Ha-Seong Kim, 10-Day IL, Hurston Waldrep, 15-Day IL
Arizona Diamondbacks Building Off Strong Home Start
Arizona enters at 3-3 overall but has been strong at home with a 3-0 record and a three-game winning streak. The Diamondbacks have scored 25 runs while allowing 27, showing a more volatile start compared to Atlanta. Over the last five games, Arizona is 3-2 but trending upward.
The offense has been led by Corbin Carroll, who is hitting .333 with two home runs and eight RBI. Gabriel Moreno has added consistent contact, and Jordan Lawlar is hitting .313, giving Arizona production across multiple spots. This group has shown the ability to generate runs quickly, especially at home.
There are still inconsistencies in the lineup. Ketel Marte is hitting .182, and Nolan Arenado is at .158, which has limited production in key spots. Arizona is hitting .233 as a team and has struck out 45 times, which has limited scoring at times with runners on base.
Injuries: Adrian Del Castillo, 10-Day IL, Merrill Kelly, 15-Day IL, Pavin Smith, 10-Day IL, Lourdes Gurriel Jr., 10-Day IL, Tyler Locklear, 10-Day IL
Pitching Matchup
Atlanta Braves – Grant Holmes Holmes is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 5.0 innings this season. He allowed five hits with four strikeouts and two walks in his first outing.
Arizona Diamondbacks – Eduardo Rodriguez Rodriguez has a 0.00 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 5.0 innings. He allowed four hits with five strikeouts and two walks in his first start, but did not take part in the decision.
Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pick
- Atlanta
Atlanta has the edge based on pitching and overall consistency through the first week. The Braves have limited baserunners and controlled innings, which has helped maintain a strong run differential. The lineup has also produced enough across multiple spots to support the strong pitching performances. Arizona has played well at home and has shown some offensive production, but inconsistency in both pitching and hitting with runners on base will hurt the D-Backs.
Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Over/Under Pick
- Under
Atlanta’s pitching has been effective at limiting scoring, while Arizona has shown mixed results offensively. The Diamondbacks can generate runs, but the inconsistency in getting runners on base remains a concern. Atlanta’s pitching limits baserunners and avoids extended innings, which reduces scoring chances and keeps the game under control. Take the under in this matchup.
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