Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Prediction for Sunday, April 19, 2026

By: Liam Keating Published 04/19/2026, 05:55 AM ET
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Itโ€™s an early season big game in the National League East on Sunday, April 19. Read our Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction along with our otherย Free MLB Picks on the night. The Braves lead the division through one of the best offenses in the sport so far. The Phillies continue to struggle at home, as they have not hit the ball or pitched well inside their own ball park. These two teams will meet with first pitch set for 7:20 P.M. EST.

Atlanta starting new season strong

Atlanta has started the new season well. The Braves lead the National League East by at least three games coming into this matchup. They are also above .500 when playing on the road this year. The Braves have won or split every road series so far this year.

On Sunday, Grant Holmes gets the start for the Braves. Heโ€™s made four starts this season and he has a 1-1 record with a 3.32 ERA. His last start saw him throw four innings allowing three runs in a 10-4 loss to the Marlins on Monday, April 13. The right-handed pitcher has struck out at least three batters in every start so far. In 12.2 innings pitched, Holmes has a 1.42 ERA when pitching on the road. Holmes has a career ERA of 1.17 in four starts against the Phillies.

This season, the Braves are hitting .278 this season, which is the second-best mark in the league. They have scored the most runs so far along with the most hits. Atlanta has also hit the third-most home runs in the league, while striking out the fourth-fewest times. The Braves are hitting .258 when playing on the road. Atlanta is also hitting over .290 when playing fellow divisional opponents.

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Phillies home struggles continue

Philadelphia is hovering around fourth-place in the National League East early in the schedule. The Phillies are below .500 overall and they are also under .500 when playing at home. Philadelphia has lost four of their first five home series to begin the year.

Andrew Painter gets the start for the Phillies on Sunday. The right-handed pitcher has made two starts and one relief appearance so far this season. Painter has an ERA of 3.77 in the early portion part of the year, too. Painter threw five innings in a relief appearance against Arizona on April 12. Painter allowed one run and three hits in a no-decision outing that saw the Phillies lose 6-3. Painter has allowed five runs and 13 hits in two starts. Heโ€™s had two games of over seven strikeouts, too.

The Phillies are hitting .227, which ranks 24th in the league. They have scored the seventh-fewest runs, while they have the sixth-fewest hits. Philadelphia ranks 14th in home runs hit, while Philadelphia also ranks 10th in fewest strikeouts. The Phillies are hitting .230 at home this year, and they have hit .235 against fellow divisional opponents.

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks

Braves vs Phillies Spread Pick

  • Take the Braves to cover (5 units)ย 

The Braves have been one of the hottest teams in the league so far this season. The offense has been fantastic, as Atlanta has the highest scoring offenses and has the most hits in the sport. Atlanta also has the second-highest batting averages. The offense will get its looks against a rookie pitcher in Andrew Painter. Itโ€™s been a strong start to the year for starting pitcher Grant Holmes, who has a career ERA of 1.17 against Philadelphia. The Phillies have not played great at home with its .230 batting average inside its own park. The Phillies cannot find wins at home, and it has been a main reason for the poor start.

Take the Braves to cover.ย 

Braves vs Phillies Over/Under Pick

Take the under (5 units)ย 

The two starting pitcher have played well in the beginning part of the year. Andrew Painter has collected more than seven strikeouts in two of his first three appearances. Grant Holmes has also pitched great against the Phillies in his career. This has the makings of a low scoring game between two teams that are very familiar with each other.

Take the under on Sunday.ย 

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