Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Prediction for Sunday, September 6, 2026

On Sunday, the Atlanta Braves visit the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park, with the opening pitch scheduled for 1:10 PM ET and televised on NBC. Atlanta is 84-57, first in the NL East and leading Philadelphia by five games. The Phillies are 79-62, second in the NL East and currently hold the first of three NL Wild Card spots. Atlanta is 5-5 over its last 10 games, while Philadelphia is 7-3 during its last 10. Check out our free MLB picks.

Atlanta Braves Coming Off Back-to-Back Strong Wins

Atlanta has won two straight after beating Philadelphia 5-2 in Friday's series opener and shutting out Washington 9-0 on Wednesday. The Braves have scored 14 runs without allowing more than two in either victory. Atlanta is batting .249 with a .312 on-base percentage and .412 slugging percentage. Michael Harris II leads the club with a .294 average and 150 hits, while Matt Olson has hit 37 home runs with 80 RBI. Drake Baldwin is batting .275 with 22 homers and 69 RBI.

The Braves have also been one of MLB's better pitching clubs. Atlanta ranks third with a 3.58 ERA and has a 1.25 WHIP while holding opposing hitters to a .232 average. The staff has recorded 1,187 strikeouts and 52 quality starts. Atlanta is 36-33 away from home. Ozzie Albies has 21 home runs and 68 RBI, while Ronald Acuna Jr. has 14 homers and 20 stolen bases in 88 games.

Injuries: Reynaldo Lopez is on the 15-Day IL. Robert Suarez, Joe Jimenez and Spencer Strider are on the 60-Day IL, while Jurickson Profar is suspended.

Philadelphia Phillies Trying to Stop a Two-Game Slide

Philadelphia has dropped two straight after Friday's 5-2 loss to Atlanta followed a 1-0 defeat at Arizona. Before those losses, the Phillies had won three consecutive games while allowing only four combined runs. Philadelphia is batting .242 with a .313 on-base percentage and has scored 633 runs. Kyle Schwarber leads the club with 40 home runs and 83 RBI. Bryce Harper is batting .273 with a .391 on-base percentage, 27 homers and 80 RBI.

Philadelphia's pitching staff owns a 3.99 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and .246 opponent batting average. Phillies pitchers have recorded 1,374 strikeouts, one of the stronger totals in baseball. Philadelphia is 38-31 at Citizens Bank Park. Brandon Marsh is batting .268, while Bryson Stott has 10 home runs, 61 RBI and 24 stolen bases. The Phillies have allowed eight total runs across their last four games despite losing the last two.

Injuries: Bryson Stott is day-to-day. Tanner Banks and Felix Reyes are on the 60-Day IL, Caleb Kilian is on the 15-Day IL, and Johan Rojas is on the 60-Day IL.

Pitching Matchup

Atlanta Braves - Tyler Mahle

Tyler Mahle is 5-10 with a 4.25 ERA and 1.29 WHIP through 125 innings. The right-hander has allowed 119 hits, 17 home runs and 42 walks while recording 121 strikeouts. Mahle has kept his hits allowed below his innings pitched and has averaged close to one strikeout per inning.

Philadelphia Phillies - Aaron Nola

Aaron Nola is 6-10 with a 4.93 ERA and 1.40 WHIP through 148 innings. The right-hander has allowed 156 hits and 51 walks while striking out 157. Nola has allowed 32 home runs, a notable part of his season numbers, while his strikeout total has moved above one per inning.

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Game Pick

• Atlanta Braves

Atlanta has the stronger pitching numbers and has already taken the series opener 5-2. The Braves rank third in MLB pitching with a 3.58 ERA, while Philadelphia sits 12th at 3.99. Atlanta also has the better starting numbers Sunday, with Tyler Mahle posting a 4.25 ERA against Aaron Nola's 4.93. The Braves have won two straight and own a five-game division lead over Philadelphia. With Atlanta scoring 14 runs across its last two victories, the Braves are the pick Sunday afternoon.

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Over/Under Pick

• Under

Recent scoring results make Under the better direction despite both starters carrying ERAs above four. Philadelphia has allowed only eight runs across its last four games, while Atlanta has allowed two runs total during its current two-game winning streak. The Braves own a 3.58 team ERA, and Philadelphia sits at 3.99 with 1,374 strikeouts. Friday's series opener finished with seven combined runs, and the Phillies were shut out Wednesday. With both pitching staffs producing strong recent results, under is the pick Sunday afternoon.