Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, September 16, 2025

By: Chris King Published 09/16/2025, 10:35 AM ET
Braves vs. Nationals Prediction
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It’s the second game of a day-night doubleheader and the third game of a four-game series between National League East foes on the diamond in the nation’s capital as the Atlanta Braves travel to face the Washington Nationals Tuesday evening and we have you covered with our Braves vs. Nationals prediction. Atlanta avoided a sweep at the hands of Houston at home as they won the series finale 8-3 Sunday afternoon. Washington won the rubber game of their three-game set with the Pirates at home, prevailing 4-3 Sunday afternoon. This article was published prior to the conclusion of the opening game of the series Monday night and the opening game of the doubleheader at Nationals Park on Tuesday afternoon. Don’t go down on strikes! Increase your bankroll with our MLB Betting Picks! Read more about this Braves vs. Nationals prediction!

Atlanta Finishing Out Disappointing Season

Atlanta dropped four straight and six of their last seven games as they managed to earn the win in the series finale against Houston on Sunday. The Braves entered Monday 66-83 and stood fourth in the NL East, 22.5 games behind the Phillies for the top spot. They were 10.5 games behind the Mets for the final wild card spot in the NL playoff picture. Against Houston Sunday, Atlanta finished with 11 hits as Ha-Seong Kim (run, RBI) while Ozzie Albies (three RBI) and Matt Olson (two runs, RBI) each had two. Olson (his 25th) and Sandy Leon (his first) each went deep in the win for the Braves. Joey Wentz threw four innings, allowing two runs on six hits with one walk and five strikeouts, but didn’t factor in the decision. Hunter Stratton (1-1) earned the win in relief as he allowed one run on two hits with one walk and two strikeouts over two innings of work.

Chris Sale takes the hill in the nightcap of the doubleheader as he makes his 19th start of the season for the Braves here. He is 5-5 with a 2.52 ERA, a 1.121 WHIP, 28 walks and 141 strikeouts over 107 innings of work on the year. Sale took the loss in his last start, which came at home against Chicago Wednesday night. He threw five innings, allowing three runs on seven hits with one walk and nine strikeouts in an eventual 3-2 Braves defeat. In his last three starts, Sale is 0-1 with a 2.55 ERA, a 0.962 WHIP, two walks and 27 strikeouts over 17.2 innings of work. Sale makes his seventh career appearance, fifth start, against the Nationals in this contest. He is 0-2 with a 3.42 ERA, a 1.225 WHIP, eight walks and 27 strikeouts over 23.2 innings of work against them. Sale has a 0-2 record with a 3.95 ERA, a 1.317 WHIP, seven walks and 20 strikeouts over 13.2 innings in three career starts at Nationals Park.

Nationals Looking to Maintain Recent Push

Washington won for the ninth time in 13 games as they took the rubber game of a three-game series at home against the Pirates on Sunday afternoon. The Nationals entered Monday 62-87 and were in the basement of the NL East, 26.5 games behind the Phillies for the top spot. They have been eliminated from playoff contention. Against Pittsburgh Sunday afternoon, Washington totaled seven hits as Paul DeJong (run, RBI), Andres Chaparro (run) and Daylen Lile (run) each had two. Cade Cavalli threw five innings, allowing three runs on three hits with four walks and two strikeouts, but didn’t factor in the decision. Jackson Rutledge (4-2) earned the win with a scoreless eighth, allowing one hit with no walks and one strikeout. Clayton Beeter worked a scoreless ninth, allowing one hit with one walk and three strikeouts, for his first save.

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The Nationals turn to MacKenzie Gore here as he makes his 29th start of the year in the second game of this set. He is 5-14 with a 4.14 ERA, a 1.333 WHIP, 57 walks and 177 strikeouts over 152.1 innings of work this season. Gore took the loss in his last start, which came Thursday on the road against the Marlins. He allowed two runs on four hits with two walks and four strikeouts over five innings of work in a game the Nationals went on to lose 5-0. In his last three starts, Gore is 0-2 with a 5.02 ERA, a 1.47 WHIP, eight walks and 12 strikeouts over 14.1 innings of work. Gore makes his eighth career start against the Braves in this contest. He is 3-2 with a 3.28 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, 11 walks and 36 strikeouts over 35.2 innings of work in those outings. Gore is 11-16 with a 4.06 ERA, a 1.454 WHIP, 93 walks and 240 strikeouts over 217.1 innings of work in 43 career starts at Nationals Park.

Braves vs. Nationals Pick

Moneyline Pick for Braves vs. Nationals

  • Braves (4 units)

Both teams are in the home stretch of disappointing campaigns as they look to try to close on a positive note. Washington has played fairly well in September, though they are still in the basement of the NL East. Atlanta was wrecked by injuries, especially to their rotation, but they do have Sale going in this one. Gore was decent in his first start off the IL in his last outing, but the Nationals may be a little cautious with him, seeing they have nothing to play for. He threw just 78 pitches in that outing against the Marlins and Washington’s bullpen has surrendered a 5.43 ERA and a 1.506 WHIP over 535.1 innings of work this season. For their issues, the Braves can still put some runs on the board. Give Atlanta the edge in this one.

Over/Under Pick for Braves vs. Nationals

  • Under (4 units)

Atlanta entered Monday having stayed under the total in 72 of their 149 games, with 10 pushes, on the season. The Braves are 17th in the majors with 4.34 runs per game, a number that climbs to 4.46 runs per game on the road. Atlanta has an average total of 8.98 runs per game and that number slips slightly to 8.97 runs per game on the road this season. Washington entered Monday having gone over the total in 75 of their 149 games, with nine pushes, on the season. The Nationals are tied for 19th in the majors with 4.28 runs per game, a number that falls to 3.97 runs per game at home. Washington has an average total of 9.72 runs per game and that number slips to 9.62 runs per game at home this season. Sale holds Washington in check and the Braves can’t do enough to put this one over the number so roll with the under here.

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