Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals Picks and Prediction, Monday, September 15, 2025
Use Code WWWC On Monday, the Atlanta Braves will take on the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park, and we have you ready to go with our Braves vs. Nationals prediction. First pitch from Washington, DC, is at 6:45 p.m. ET.
This is the third series of the season between these NL East foes. The ballclubs have split their last ten matchups, and the under was 7-2-1 in those games. If you want the Braves vs. Nationals prediction, read on and check out our MLB Predictions to beat the sportsbooks!
*Article published before the conclusion of Sunday's Braves game.
Braves struggle on the road
Atlanta (65-83 SU, 68-79 RL, and 66-72-9 O/U) wrapped up a series with Houston on Sunday. The Braves were 3-7 in their previous ten games (the under was 7-3).
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Atlanta will turn to right-hander Spencer Strider tomorrow against Washington. In his last start (6.0 IP loss to the Cubs), the 26-year-old allowed two runs on six hits and three walks, fanning eight batters. He is 5-13 with a 4.86 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 20 appearances (107.1 IP) this year, including 2-6 with a 5.13 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in ten road starts (52.2 IP).
The Braves have been competitive at Truist Park, but they haven't been able to sustain their momentum when they leave town. Atlanta is 30-44 on the road in 2025, with their pitching being the main culprit (4.49 ERA in away games). The Braves won't be making the postseason this season, but will the front office be busy in the free agency market this offseason?
Atlanta Braves Baseball Injury Report: No recent injuries to report for Monday's game against the Nationals.
Washington has been eliminated from the playoffs
Washington (62-87 SU, 72-77 RL, and 75-65-9 O/U) won two of three games against Pittsburgh in its previous series. The Nationals were 6-4 in their last ten games (the over was 6-4).
Washington will turn to left-hander Mitchell Parker on Monday against Atlanta. In his last outing, the 25-year-old gave up two runs and four hits in a 7.2-inning win versus Miami. He is 8-15 with a 5.69 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 29 starts (153.1 IP) this season, including 5-8 with a 5.27 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in 16 starts at Nationals Park (83.2 IP).
The Nationals finished fourth in the NL East standings last year, compiling a 71-91 record. They have looked competitive in spurts this year, but they haven't been able to sustain momentum. The club's core, much of which was acquired in the 2022 trade that sent Juan Soto to San Diego, is strong, but the unit lacks quality veteran experience. While unlikely to make legitimate noise in the MLB postseason soon, the Nats have potential.
Washington Nationals Baseball Injury Report: No injuries to report for tomorrow's game against the Braves.
Braves vs. Nationals Pick
Moneyline Pick for Braves vs. Nationals
- Nationals ML (4 Units)
Neither team is postseason-bound, but I believe Washington will be more loose after a home series with Pittsburgh, as Atlanta must travel and play with no rest after a challenging series with Houston. Strider doesn't enter this matchup with confidence, either, as he's 2-6 with a 6.11 ERA, 1.71 WHIP, and .314 opponent BA since the All-Star break. The Nats have also fared well against the Braves' starter in the past, hitting .325 with a .438 wOBA and .600 SLG in 47 plate appearances. Considering that Atlanta is average against lefties (16th in wRC+), I lean towards Washington's side in Monday's game.
Over/Under Pick for Braves vs. Nationals
- Over (5 Units)
Betting Trend: The over has cashed in 54.4 percent of Washington's games after a win, the fourth-highest percentage in MLB this season.
I'm not sold on either starter in tomorrow's game. Strider has been a shell of himself since returning from Tommy John, and Parker has also been ineffective this season. Like Strider, he has an ERA north of six in the second half of the season, and the Braves have fared well against him in the past (.283 BA in 56 plate appearances). Neither bullpen inspires much confidence, either (20th and 30th in ERA this year).
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