Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Picks and Prediction for Saturday, May 2, 2026

By: Chris King Published 05/02/2026, 04:20 AM ET
Orioles vs. Yankees Prediction
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It’s the middle game of a three-game series between American League East rivals on the diamond in the Bronx as the Baltimore Orioles travel to face the New York Yankees Saturday afternoon and we have you covered with our Orioles vs. Yankees prediction. Baltimore split a doubleheader with Houston at home Thursday. The Orioles won the opener 10-3 before falling 11-5 in the nightcap. New York was blanked 3-0 on the road in the finale of a three-game set with the Rangers Wednesday night, missing a chance as a sweep. Last season, the Yankees won the season series 9-4, including a three-game sweep at home in the most recent set September 26-28, 2025. This article was published prior to the conclusion of the series opener at Yankee Stadium. Read more about this Orioles vs. Yankees prediction! Winning isn’t easy so you need the top MLB picks.

Baltimore Hoping to Gain Ground in AL East

Baltimore split a doubleheader with the Astros Thursday to end up taking two of three in the set. The Orioles entered Friday 15-16 on the year and stand third in the AL East, five games behind the Yankees for the top spot. In the opening game of the doubleheader, Baltimore got two hits each from Adley Rutschman (two runs, four RBI) and Jeremiah Jackson (two runs, five RBI). Rutschman (his fourth) and Jackson (his sixth) each hit a grand slam in the contest. Chris Bassitt (2-2) earned the win as he threw 6.2 innings, allowing one run on seven hits with one walk and seven strikeouts. In the nightcap, Baltimore had six hits with no player recording more than one. Brandon Young (2-1) took the loss as he allowed 10 runs (seven earned) on 10 hits with two walks and two strikeouts over four innings of work.

Kyle Bradish gets the call for the Orioles as he makes his seventh start of the season in this contest. He is 1-3 with a 4.20 ERA, a 1.733 WHIP, 17 walks and 31 strikeouts over 30 innings of work on the year. Bradish took the loss in his last start, which came against the Red Sox at home Sunday afternoon. He threw five innings, allowing three runs on four hits with four walks and three strikeouts in a 5-3 Orioles loss. In his last three starts, Bradish is 0-1 with a 4.41 ERA, a 1.84 WHIP, eight walks and 14 strikeouts over 16.1 innings of work. Bradish makes his eighth career start against the Yankees in this contest. He is 1-1 with a 3.09 ERA, a 1.40 WHIP, 17 walks and 41 strikeouts over 35 innings of work against them. Bradish is 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA, a 1.40 WHIP, 10 walks and 21 strikeouts over 20 innings of work in four career starts at Yankee Stadium.

Yankees Look to Build Advantage at Home

New York missed a chance to sweep the Rangers on the road as their bats were silenced in the finale Wednesday night. The Yankees entered Friday 20-11 for the year and held a 1.5-game edge on the Rays for the top spot in the AL East. Against Texas, New York finished with five hits as Ben Rice picked up three of them. The Yankees were zero of four with runners in scoring position and left six runners on base. Elmer Rodriguez (0-1) took the loss on the monnd as he allowed two runs on four hits with four walks and three strikeouts over four innings of work before departing.

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Ryan Weathers takes the hill for the Yankees in this one as he makes his seventh start of the year. He is 1-2 with a 3.21 ERA, a 1.218 WHIP, eight walks and 40 strikeouts over 33.2 innings of work on the year. Weathers didn’t factor in the decision in his last start, which came against the Astros on the road last Saturday. He tossed 5.1 innings, allowing two runs on six hits with no walks and four strikeouts in an eventual 8-3 Yankees win. In his last three starts, Weathers is 1-1 with a 3.57 ERA, a 1.08 WHIP, three walks and 22 strikeouts over 17.1 innings of work. Weathers, in his 77th career appearance, 62nd start, makes his first career start against the Orioles in this contest. He makes his sixth career start at Yankee Stadium in this contest. Weathers is 2-2 with a 2.79 ERA, a 1.207 WHIP, nine walks and 30 strikeouts over 29 innings in those outings.

Orioles vs. Yankees Prediction

Moneyline Pick for Orioles vs. Yankees

Bradish has been up and down this season, which is the Orioles in a nutshell.  They split a doubleheader with the Astros Thursday and sit a game under the .500 mark entering Friday’s action. New York is 8-5 at home on the season entering Friday night. Weathers has pitched fairly well on the year and has pitched soundly at Yankee Stadium. Bradish has been hit hard in the season’s first month and it’s tough to see him turning things around at this point. The Yankees are the better team and they have a solid lineup. Take the Yankees in this contest as they prevail at home.

Pick: New York Yankees (4 units)

Orioles vs. Yankees Over/Under Prediction

Baltimore has seen the over post a 20-11 mark on the year heading into Friday’s action. The Orioles are 13th in the majors with 4.68 runs per game and that number falls to 4.08 runs per game away from Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Baltimore has an average total of 9.74 runs per game but that number drops to 8.62 runs per game on the road. New York has seen the under hit in 18 of their 31 games, with one push, this season entering Friday. The Yankees are eighth in the majors by averaging 4.94 runs per game though they allow 3.42 runs per game, giving them an average of 8.36 runs per game. New York puts up a robust 5.77 runs per game at home, while allowing 4.69 runs per game, giving them an average total of 10.46 runs per contest. Bradish has seen the over hit in each of his last five starts. Look for the Yankees’ bats to do damage and  push  this one over the number.

Over (4 units)

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