Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees, Picks and Prediction, Sunday, September 28, 2025

By: Liam Keating Published 09/28/2025, 09:29 AM ET
Aaron Judge looks to lead the Yankees over the Orioles
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It’s the final game of the regular season in the MLB on Sunday, Sept.28. Read our Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees prediction along with our other MLB Predictions to beat the sportsbooks! The Orioles are in last place in the division as they will miss the playoffs. The Yankees are still pushing for the playoffs. With a win and a Toronto loss, the Yankees will win the division. The Yankees are Kyle Bradish while Luis Gil gets the nod for the Yankees. These two teams will meet with first pitch set for 3:05 P.M. EST.

Orioles end disappointing season

Baltimore is 75-86 overall this season. They are in last place in the American League East division. They are eliminated from playoff contention as they are at the bottom of the standings. The Orioles have lost six of their last nine games coming into Sunday.

Kyle Bradish gets the start with a 1-1 record an ERA of 2.25 in five starts. His last start saw him throw six innings on Sept. 21. He allowed one run and two hits in a 7-1 loss to the Yankees. The Yankees are 3-2 when Bradish pitched this season. He has an ERA of 3.00 in two road starts.

The Orioles are hitting .236 this season, which is seventh-worst. They have scored the eighth fewest runs, while they rank seventh fewest hits in the sport. They have hit the 14th most home runs, while they have struck out the fourth most times. They are hitting 231 on the road and .232 since the All-Star break. They hit .202 in September and .182 in 10 games versus the Yankees.

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New York looking to secure the division

New York is 93-68 overall this season. They have secured a playoff spot with a wild card spot hit at the bare minimum. The Yankees are tied with the Blue Jays for the No. 1 seed in the American League East division. With a win and a Toronto loss, the Yankees will win the division. They have won seven straight games. They have also won 10 of their last 11 games, too.

On Sunday, the Yankees are set to start Luis Gil get the start against the Orioles. Gil has a 4-1 record with a 3.29 ERA in 10 starts. His last start saw him throw six innings against the White Sox on Sept. 23. He allowed two runs and four hits in a 3-2 win over the White Sox. The Yankees have won four straight games that he has started in. Gil has a 2.30 ERA with a home ERA while having a 2.78 ERA in four games in September.

The Yankees are hitting .251 this season, which ranks 11th in the league. They have scored the most runs and the most home runs this year. New York has the 10th most hits, while they have struck out the third most times. New York is hitting .243 at home and .243 since the All-Star break. They have a .255 batting average in September ,which is their second-best month this season. They are hitting .285 against the Orioles in 10 meetings this season.

Orioles vs Yankees Picks

Money Line Pick for Orioles vs Yankees

  • New York Yankees -1.5 (5 units)

It’s a simple outcome for this game. The Yankees know that they need a win if they want to win the series. They are going to use their bullpen and their hitters are going to step up for some big hits and extra runs. Expect a low-scoring game where the Yankees earn the win, helping them secure a division title.

Take New York to cover.

  • Under 8.5 runsΒ 

The Yankees will be starting Luis Gil, who has been solid this season. He has an ERA of 2.30 at home and he will dominate an Orioles lineup that continues to struggle. The Yankees won’t be able to score all of the runs in this game and it should be another low-scoring affair.

Take the under on Sunday.

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