Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves Picks and Prediction for Sunday May 17 2026

By: Liam Keating Published 05/17/2026, 04:45 AM ET
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It’s an intra league clash between two of the marquee teams in the sport on Sunday, May 17. Read our Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves prediction along with our other Free MLB Picks on the night. The Red Sox are in last place in the American League East division and they have not played well recently. The Braves have the best record in baseball and their offense has been crushing in most categories. The Red Sox have not announced a starting pitcher as of publication, while the Braves are starting Grant Holmes. These two teams will meet with first pitch set for 1:35 P.M. EST.

Red Sox early season struggles continue

Boston is currently in last place in the American League East division. The Red Sox are over 10 games back of division leaders Tampa Bay. The Red Sox are below .500 when playing on the road. Before Saturday's game, the Red Sox have lost five of their last seven games.

The Red Sox have not announced who will start in Sunday's game. Boston does rank eighth as a team with a 3.74 ERA. They have allowed the seventh fewest runs and the 10th fewest hits. Boston ranks seventh-best in runs allowed along with 20th in strikeouts.

On offense, Boston is hitting .235 this season, which ranks 21st. They are the 15th ranked team in strikeouts. But, the Red Sox have thrown just the fourth-fewest runs and they rank 23rd in hits. Boston is hitting .246 on the road and .243 against National League clubs. They also own a .243 batting average in May.

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Braves offense cruising through the opening portion

Atlanta is leading the National League with the best record and they also hold the best record in baseball. The Braves are well above .500 at home and cruising through the first few months of the season. Before Saturday’s game, Atlanta has won five of their last six games.

On Sunday, Grant Holmes gets the start for the Braves. The right-handed pitcher is 2-1 with a 4.35 ERA in eight starts. Holmes threw four innings against the Cubs in his last start on May 12. He allowed two runs and one hit in the team’s 5-2 win. The Braves have won five of Holmes' last six starts. He has a 5.21 ERA in four home appearances. He also has a 3.86 ERA against American League clubs.

The Braves are hitting .268 this season which is the best mark in the sport. Atlanta has scored the second-most runs and they have the most hits in the league. Atlanta has the second-most home runs, while they have also struck out the ninth-fewest times. Atlanta is hitting .275 at home and .260 in May. The Braves have a .259 batting average against American League clubs, too.

Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves Picks

Red Sox vs Braves Spread Pick

  • Take the Braves to cover (5 units) 

Atlanta continues to be the best team in the league so far this season. The Braves offense has been great leading the league in batting average and they rank second-best in runs scored. The team will put up runs in this outing and they just need a strong pitching performance from Grant Holmes. The right-handed pitcher can deliver when called upon with his 3.86 ERA against American League teams. The braves have also won five of his last six starts. The Red Sox will fall victim to a big defeat as they have scored the fourth-fewest runs this season.

Take Atlanta to cover. 

Red Sox vs Braves Over/Under Pick

  • Take the under (5 units) 

The Braves will do their part and scoring a bunch of runs, but Boston's inability to put up big innings will force this to be a low scoring game. The Red Sox rank fourth-worst in runs scored and they have not been able to produce on the road this season. Boston’s poor offense will lead this to the under hitting.

Take the under on Sunday. 

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