Boston Red Sox vs Colorado Rockies Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Monday June 22 2026

By: Al MacMillan Published 06/22/2026, 04:17 PM ET
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Boston opens a series at Coors Field with updated game picks, pitching analysis, and top MLB player props for Monday night.

Best Available Odds

Best Moneyline Odds: Boston Red Sox (-125 at FanDuel) | Colorado Rockies (+106 at FanDuel)

Best Spread Odds: Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+115 at BetMGM) | Colorado Rockies +1.5 (-138 at FanDuel)

Best Total Odds: Over 11.5 (-105 at BetMGM) | Under 11.5 (-105 at FanDuel)

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Game Info

Date: June 22, 2026

Time: 8:40 PM EDT

Location: Coors Field, Denver, CO

TV: NESN, Rockies.TV

Boston Red Sox vs Colorado Rockies Preview

The Boston Red Sox enter Monday at 31-44 after taking two of three games from the Seattle Mariners. Boston won the first two contests by scores of 6-2 and 5-1 before its offense produced only three hits in a 3-1 loss Sunday.

The series victory offered Boston a brief response after a difficult stretch at Fenway Park. The Red Sox remain 19-19 on the road, a significant improvement over their home performance, and have produced a nearly neutral run differential despite sitting 13 games below .500.

Boston's strongest asset has been its pitching staff. The Red Sox own a 3.85 team ERA, ranking seventh in MLB, and have received increasingly competitive work from several young starters.

The offense remains the concern. Boston ranks near the bottom of the majors in scoring and has slugged only .372 against right-handed pitching. The Red Sox have repeatedly generated baserunners without delivering enough hits in run-producing situations.

Willson Contreras, Wilyer Abreu, Ceddanne Rafaela, Jarren Duran, Marcelo Mayer, Masataka Yoshida, Caleb Durbin, and Mickey Gasper form the core of the available lineup. The group has enough contact and left-handed depth to create problems for Ryan Feltner at Coors Field.

Boston remains without Trevor Story, Roman Anthony, Isiah Kiner-Falefa, Triston Casas, and Nick Sogard. The injuries have reduced the lineup's depth and forced several inexperienced hitters into prominent roles.

Kiner-Falefa was placed on the injured list with left forearm inflammation after the swelling worsened during the Seattle series. Story remains out following sports hernia surgery, while Anthony is recovering from a partially torn tendon in his right ring finger.

The Colorado Rockies enter at 30-48 after winning two of three games against Pittsburgh. Colorado took the opening games 4-3 and 2-1 before an attempted late comeback fell short in Sunday's 8-6 defeat.

The Rockies trailed 8-1 before scoring five late runs. T.J. Rumfield hit a three-run homer, Kyle Karros added an RBI double, and Colorado brought the potential tying run to the plate before a game-ending double play.

Colorado is 16-21 at Coors Field. The Rockies have shown greater offensive capability at home, but the expected elevation-driven improvement has frequently been erased by the pitching staff.

Rockies pitchers own a 5.52 ERA, the highest mark in MLB, and have produced a 5.93 ERA at home. Opponents are batting approximately .286 against Colorado pitching.

Rumfield has been one of the season's major bright spots. The rookie is batting .279 with a .359 on-base percentage, .483 slugging percentage, 12 home runs, and 42 RBIs.

Rumfield carries a five-game hitting streak into Monday. He has hit three home runs and driven in eight during that stretch, giving Colorado an important left-handed threat near the middle of the order.

Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with 21 home runs. Jake McCarthy, Willi Castro, Ezequiel Tovar, Cole Carrigg, Kyle Karros, Sterlin Thompson, and Tyler Freeman provide additional speed, contact, and power around Goodman and Rumfield.

Colorado remains without Brenton Doyle and Jordan Beck. Doyle is recovering from an oblique injury, while Beck remains sidelined with a hamstring strain.

Mickey Moniak completed a Triple-A rehabilitation assignment after missing time with ankle tendinitis. His progress gives Colorado another potential outfield option as the club begins its home series.

Starting Pitchers and Pitching Matchup

The Red Sox will start left-hander Jake Bennett, who enters at 1-3 with a 4.79 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, and 13 strikeouts.

Bennett has made four major-league starts and recently returned from Triple-A after replacing Bryan Bello in Boston's rotation. His 3.35 fielding-independent pitching mark is considerably better than his ERA.

The rookie delivered an encouraging performance against Toronto in his latest start. Bennett allowed two runs on three hits across 5.1 innings while walking none and striking out five.

Across his two starts since returning from Triple-A, Bennett has completed 10 innings and allowed six runs, including only four earned. He has struck out nine while issuing one walk.

The low walk total is particularly important at Coors Field. Pitchers who create unnecessary baserunners often see routine innings turn into major scoring opportunities once balls begin finding the outfield gaps.

Bennett relies on a combination of four-seam fastballs, sinkers, changeups, curveballs, and cutters. His changeup will be particularly important against Colorado's right-handed power hitters.

The Rockies have several hitters who struggle with strike-zone discipline. Goodman, Tovar, and the lower portion of the projected lineup give Bennett opportunities to generate strikeouts if he works ahead.

Colorado can counter with Rumfield, McCarthy, and other left-handed hitters. Same-handed matchups should help Bennett, but Coors Field reduces the margin for location mistakes regardless of platoon advantage.

Bennett has not previously faced any active Colorado hitters. The lack of familiarity may help during the first trip through the order, although the Rockies will quickly adjust if his fastball command becomes predictable.

The Rockies counter with right-hander Ryan Feltner, who enters at 2-2 with a 5.05 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, and 33 strikeouts.

Feltner has pitched better than his season ERA during his last four starts. He has allowed nine earned runs over 21 innings, producing a 3.86 ERA and 1.09 WHIP during that period.

The stretch began with six scoreless innings against San Francisco. Feltner followed by holding Milwaukee to one run on one hit across six innings.

Chicago then scored six runs against him in 4.1 innings. Feltner rebounded in the rematch by allowing two runs over 4.2 innings while recording seven strikeouts.

The seven strikeouts represented one of his strongest swing-and-miss performances of the season, but Feltner required 104 pitches and could not complete five innings.

Feltner's career 5.18 ERA reflects the difficulty he has had producing consistent results. His fastball velocity and breaking pitches can be effective, but command lapses and elevated contact have frequently created short starts.

Boston presents a difficult platoon matchup. The Red Sox can use Duran, Abreu, Mayer, Yoshida, and other left-handed or switch-hitting options against the right-hander.

Feltner's projected workload is also modest. Another high pitch count could force Colorado into its bullpen before the sixth inning, creating additional opportunities for Boston's lineup.

The Rockies bullpen enters with one of the weakest season-long pitching profiles in baseball. Even a competitive Feltner start does not guarantee Colorado can prevent late scoring.

Game Thesis: Boston owns the better overall pitching staff, stronger run differential, and more dependable late-inning arms. Colorado receives a significant offensive boost from Coors Field and has enough power to damage an inexperienced left-hander, but the Rockies' pitching staff remains difficult to trust over nine innings. Warm weather and wind blowing toward centre field should create scoring opportunities for both teams. Boston is the preferred side, while the Over offers the clearest path in a game where either starter could exit before the sixth.

Moneyline Pick: Boston Red Sox (-125)

Boston is the preferred moneyline side because the Red Sox own major advantages in team pitching, bullpen quality, and overall run prevention.

The Red Sox carry a 3.85 staff ERA compared with Colorado's 5.52 mark. That gap becomes even more significant if the game reaches the bullpens during the middle innings.

Bennett is inexperienced, but he has demonstrated strong command since returning from Triple-A. Nine strikeouts against one walk across his last two starts give him a better foundation than a typical rookie visiting Coors Field.

Feltner has pitched better recently, preventing this from becoming an easy road-favourite selection. He has allowed two runs or fewer in three of his last four starts.

Boston should still create traffic through its collection of left-handed hitters. The Rockies have allowed opponents to bat .286, and their 5.93 home ERA makes it difficult to trust Feltner's bullpen support.

Colorado can remain competitive through Goodman, Rumfield, McCarthy, and its home offensive splits. The Rockies have also won four of their last six games at Coors Field.

The Red Sox have been a .500 road team and carry a substantially better expected record than Colorado. At a price near -125, Boston is the more reliable straight-up position.

Spread Pick: Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+115)

Boston -1.5 offers plus-money value in a matchup where Colorado's pitching staff has consistently allowed opponents to create separation.

The Rockies have permitted the most runs in baseball and own the league's highest ERA. Their bullpen is vulnerable if Feltner fails to work beyond the fifth inning.

Boston's offense has struggled overall, but Coors Field improves the scoring environment and allows line drives to turn into doubles or triples through the spacious outfield.

Duran, Abreu, Mayer, Yoshida, Gasper, Contreras, and Rafaela give the Red Sox enough lineup depth to pressure both right-handed and left-handed relievers.

The primary risk is Bennett. Colorado has several hitters capable of punishing an inexperienced pitcher, and the Rockies recently scored six runs after falling behind by seven against Pittsburgh.

A game that remains tied or separated by one run into the seventh would favour Colorado +1.5. Boston's pitching and bullpen advantages nevertheless create a realistic path to a 7-5, 8-5, or 9-6 victory.

The run line offers greater upside than the moneyline, but the standard Boston moneyline remains the safer side.

⭐ Best Bet - Total Pick: Over 11.5 (-105)

The Over 11.5 is the strongest game wager. Coors Field remains baseball's most extreme run-scoring environment, and Monday's weather should amplify those conditions.

Temperatures are expected to reach approximately 85 degrees, with wind blowing toward centre field at more than 10 mph. Warm air and outward wind increase the carry on elevated contact.

Neither starter carries a dominant strikeout profile. Bennett has only 13 major-league strikeouts, while Feltner has recorded 33 and is projected for a relatively modest pitch count.

The lack of strikeouts puts more balls into play at the venue where outfield space and altitude can turn ordinary contact into extra bases.

Colorado owns a 5.93 home ERA. Even if Feltner limits the initial damage, Boston should receive several innings against a bullpen that has struggled throughout the season.

The Rockies also possess a realistic path to scoring five or six runs. Rumfield is in excellent form, Goodman leads the club with 21 home runs, and Bennett is making his first career appearance at Coors Field.

Boston's injury-depleted lineup and season-long scoring problems are the primary arguments against the Over. The Red Sox have hit their team-total Under frequently and scored only one run Sunday.

The venue, weather, pitching matchups, and bullpen profiles outweigh that concern. A final score around 8-6, 7-6, 9-5, or 8-5 would clear the total.

Top Player Prop Picks

Mickey Gasper Over 1.5 Total Bases (-102 at Novig) Gasper is projected to hit near the middle of Boston's lineup and receives a favourable matchup against Feltner at Coors Field.

The switch-hitter can attack Feltner from the left side, joining several Boston batters who hold the platoon advantage against the Colorado starter.

The total-bases market provides multiple paths to cash. One double, triple, or home run clears the line immediately, while two singles also produce a winning result.

Coors Field's large outfield creates additional opportunities for doubles. Balls that would become routine singles or flyouts in other parks can reach the gaps and produce extra bases.

Feltner has a 5.05 ERA and may not work deep into the game. Gasper should receive opportunities against both the starter and Colorado's vulnerable relief staff.

The original hits-plus-walks market was not available at the listed price. Over 1.5 total bases near even money is the stronger and verifiable Gasper position.

T.J. Rumfield Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115 at Novig) Rumfield enters batting .279 with a .359 on-base percentage, .483 slugging percentage, 12 home runs, and 42 RBIs.

He carries a five-game hitting streak into the series opener and has produced three home runs and eight RBIs during that stretch.

Rumfield homered Sunday against Pittsburgh, delivering a three-run shot that brought Colorado back into a game it had trailed 8-1.

Bennett receives the same-handed advantage, but Rumfield's current power and Coors Field environment create enough upside to overcome the platoon concern.

Rumfield is expected to hit third, maximizing his plate appearances and placing him behind Colorado's primary on-base threats.

One double or home run immediately clears the number. The +115 return makes the Over more appealing than laying a heavy price on him to record only one hit.

Ryan Feltner Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+100 at Novig) Feltner has 33 strikeouts and has not consistently generated enough swing-and-miss production to make four strikeouts automatic.

He recorded seven in his most recent appearance, but that start required 104 pitches and ended after 4.2 innings.

Feltner is projected for approximately 85 pitches Monday. A shorter workload reduces his opportunity to face Boston's lineup for a third time.

The Red Sox can use several left-handed hitters against him, leaving Feltner without the platoon advantage through much of the order.

Warm weather and Coors Field generally encourage more contact and fewer strikeouts. Hitters have additional incentive to put the ball in play rather than adopt an overly passive approach.

Feltner can pitch effectively and still remain below the number. Five innings with three strikeouts would represent a competitive start while cashing the Under at even money.

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