Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction and Picks - Wednesday, September, 24, 2025
Use Code WWWC The Boston Red Sox face the Toronto Blue Jays with both teams looking to improve their postseason position in the final weeks of the season. The Red Sox are 85-71 and clinging to one of the wild card spots in the American League. The Blue Jays have a 90-66 record and look to secure the division and the best record in the American League. Who will win this game? Check out our Red Sox vs Blue Jays prediction!
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Boston hopes Crochet and lineup secure postseason spot
The Red Sox are on the cusp of clinching a spot in the postseason and hope to secure that spot with only days left in the season. Garrett Crochet will start the upcoming game, and he looks to wrap up a Cy Young-caliber season with a win as he’s allowing only 62 runs in 197 innings pitched while tossing 249 strikeouts. Moreover, with a .367 expected opponent Slugging Percentage, a 31.6 Strikeout Rate, and a 3.01 expected ERA, opponents are making weak contact and struggling to drive in runs against Crochet this season.
Crochet has been incredible but the lineup has also carried this team, scoring 4.90 runs per game. Alex Bregman is slashing .278/.364/.471 with 18 home runs and 197 total bases, while Wilyer Abreu is slashing .250/.322/.480 with 22 home runs and 171 total bases but the rest of the lineup has stepped up as well. Jarren Duran is slashing .260/.336/.449 with 16 home runs and 169 total bases, while Trevor Story and Carlos Narvaez have added 39 home runs and 420 total bases to round out the lineup, making the Red Sox tough to put away at the plate.
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Blue Jays hope lineup helps out Scherzer
The Blue Jays are having a great season and look to secure the best record in the American League. Max Scherzer is a future Hall of Famer but this season is far from his best as he’s allowed 45 runs in 80 innings pitched. Moreover, with a .496 expected opponent Slugging Percentage, a 13.0 Barrel Percentage, and a 4.62 expected ERA, opponents are making hard contact and driving in runs at will against Scherzer this season.
Scherzer has struggled but the lineup has carried the Blue Jays, scoring 4.92 runs per game. George Springer is slashing .307/.397/.556 with 30 home runs and 264 total bases, while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is slashing .299/.389/.481 but the rest of the lineup has been great as well. Bo Bichette is slashing .311/.357/.483 with 18 home runs and 281 total bases while Davis Schneider and Addison Barger have added 31 home runs and 283 total bases to round out the lineup, making the Blue Jays tough to put away at the plate.
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction
- Red Sox (-135) (4 Units)
The Blue Jays look to secure the division but the Red Sox have their ace on the mound and look to take over this game from the first inning. The Red Sox should constantly plate baserunners with Alex Bregman, Wilyer Abreu, and the rest of the batting order making contact and putting together strong plate appearances. The Red Sox should limit the Blue Jays at the plate with Garrett Crochet, who has allowed only 62 runs in 197 innings pitched, tossing multiple scoreless innings to allow the bullpen to close out the game with a comfortable lead. The Red Sox should win the game with a strong performance on the road.
Take the Red Sox money line as road Favorites
- Over 8 (5 Units)
The Red Sox have their best pitcher on the mound, but the two teams have excellent lineups that look to make this game a high-scoring one from the first pitch. The Blue Jays, who average 4.92 runs per game, should drive in runs at will with George Springer, Bo Bichette, and the rest of the lineup making contact and putting together strong plate appearances. The Red Sox, who average 4.90 runs per game, should run up the score against Max Scherzer, who has allowed 45 runs in 80 innings pitched, with Alex Bregman, Jarren Duran, Wilyer Abreu, and the rest of the lineup swinging for the fences and crushing pitches to drive in runs at will. The Over should cover in a high-scoring game with both lineups stepping up.
Take the Over on 8 runs.
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