Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves Picks and Prediction for Monday, September 8, 2025
On Monday, the Chicago Cubs (81-61, 2nd NL Central) play game 1 of a three-game series on the road against the Atlanta Braves (64-78). Chicago lost to the Washington Nationals 2-1 on Saturday and has lost two of the last three. The Cubs trail first-place Milwaukee in the National League Central by 6.5 games and currently hold the first of three NL wild card qualifying places. Atlanta lost to the Seattle Mariners 10-2 on Saturday, snapping a two-game winning streak by the Braves. Atlanta trails first place in the NL East by 19 games and is 12 games behind the third and final NL wild card qualifying place with just 20 games remaining. Chicago will play without six pitchers and catcher Miguel Amaya. Atlanta will play without seven pitchers and third baseman Austin Riley. Make sure to read this in-depth Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves prediction. Chasing wins? Get the edge with our MLB picks for the Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves prediction right now.
This article was written before these two played on Sunday.
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Chicago is playing well both at the plate and on the mound
The Chicago Cubs are 7th in both runs scored with 700 and slugging percentage at .428, while 11th in on-base percentage at .320, and 15th in batting average at .249. Pete Crow-Armstrong leads the Cubs in home runs with 28, and Seiya Suzuki is second with 27. Suzuki is the RBI leader with 89, and Crow-Armstrong is second with 85. Chicago has five players with 70 or more RBI. The Cubs have hit 235 doubles, 25 triples, and 193 home runs for 453 extra base hits in 142 games
Chicago is 2nd in WHIP with 1.20, 10th in Quality Starts with 55, 11th in ERA with 3.87, and 13th in batting average against at .242. Matthew Boyd leads Chicago in wins with 12, strikeouts with 145, and in ERA for starters with 2.92. On Monday, Chicago will hand the ball to Colin Rea. The right-hander is 10-6 with a 4.30 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, and 98 strikeouts.
Atlanta struggles at the plate, but is slightly better on the mound
The Atlanta Braves are 12th in on-base percentage at .319, 15th in runs scored at 624, 19th in batting average at .244, and 20th in slugging percentage at .394. Matt Olson leads in both home runs with 22 and RBI with 79, while Marcell Ozuna is second in home runs with 20, and Michael Harris II is second in RBI with 78. Atlanta has six players with 54 or more RBI. The Braves have hit 215 doubles, 16 triples, and 159 home runs for 390 extra base hits in 142 games.
Atlanta is 5th in Quality Starts with 60, 17th in batting average against at .245, 18th in WHIP at 1.31, and 22nd in ERA at 4.37. Spencer Schwellenbach (IL) leads the Braves in wins with 7, and Chris Sale leads Atlanta in strikeouts with 132. On Monday, Atlanta will hand the ball to Joey Wentz. This season, the left-hander is 5-5 with a 5.12 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, and 75 strikeouts.
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves Pick
Spread Pick for Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves
- Chicago Cubs (5 units)
Chicago has won five of its last eight and last week won two of three over the Braves. In contrast, Atlanta has lost six of its last nine. Chicago starter Colin Rea has been hit hard in both of his last two outings, allowing 13 hits and nine runs in 8.2 innings, but he gave up three runs in four innings last Monday when Chicago beat Atlanta 7-6. Rea did not take part in the decision. Atlanta starter Joey Wentz has made 35 appearances and just nine starts. The left-hander has been hit hard in two of the last three outings, allowing a total of 20 hits and 11 runs in 14 innings, including giving up four runs in only four innings last Tuesday when losing to the Cubs 4-3. Chicago has far more incentive in this matchup on Monday as the Cubs are battling for first place in the National League Central and currently hold the first of three NL wild card qualifying places, while Atlanta is well off the pace both in the NL East and wild card race.
Over/Under Pick for Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves
- Over (5 units)
The total has finished over in three of Chicago starter Colin Rea’s last five starts, including last Monday’s start versus Atlanta, when a combined 13 runs or scored. The total has also finished over in three of the last four starts by Atlanta’s Joey Wentz. Chicago is a respectable 11th in ERA, but Atlanta is 22nd. The Cubs are 7th in runs scored, and Atlanta is 15th.
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