Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Picks and Prediction for Saturday July 11 2026
Use Code WWWC The Chicago Cubs, sitting at 52–42, head to Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati on Saturday to take on the Reds, who enter at 43–50. After winning the opener, Cincinnati will try to keep the momentum going and notch a second straight win over Chicago, which would lock up the series. Get involved in the action with our free MLB picks.
Chicago vs. Cincinnati Game Information
- July 11, 2026
- 7:10 PM EST
- Great American Ball Park
- ESPN Unlimited/MLB.TV/Marquee Sports Network/Reds.TV
Cincinnati Form & Recent Results
Cincinnati heads into this matchup feeling a little more confident, riding a one-game winning streak and having taken three of their last five games. All three of those recent wins have come at home, where they’ve been able to settle in and play cleaner baseball, where they beat the Cubs, the Phillies, and the Orioles in that stretch. Their most recent win, a 4–0 shutout over Chicago on Friday, was one of their more complete performances in a while. The offense consistently put pressure on Cubs pitching, piling up 13 hits, launching two homers, and finishing with 21 total bases. Elly De La Cruz was right in the middle of it, going 2-for-5 with a home run, two runs scored, and an RBI, providing both a spark and a big swing when the Reds needed it.
The bigger story, though, may have been the pitching. Hunter Greene looked dominant, working seven scoreless innings while giving up only three hits, walking just one, and striking out an eye-opening 12 batters. That kind of outing is exactly what Cincinnati hopes to lean on moving forward, especially since their offense hasn’t been exploding lately. In their last five games, the Reds have averaged 3.8 runs per game, so strong starting pitching and steady bullpen work will be important again when they face the Cubs on Saturday. On the season, Sal Stewart has been the Reds’ main power source, leading the team with 19 home runs and also pacing them in RBIs with 65. JJ Bleday and De La Cruz are right behind him in the home run department with 15 each, while De La Cruz also leads the team in batting average at .272. As July continues, Cincinnati is still trying to build momentum, currently sitting at 4–5 for the month and looking to turn that into a winning run.
Chicago Form & Recent Results
Chicago heads into this matchup riding a two-game skid, although they’ve still managed to win three of their last five. A big part of that recent success came on the road against Baltimore, where they picked up two wins over the Orioles, and they also grabbed a home victory over the Cardinals. Even with the recent dip in form, the Cubs have shown they can put together strong stretches, and they’ll be looking to tap back into that as they try to respond in Cincinnati and avoid letting this rough patch grow.
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On Friday, Chicago was shut out 4–0 on the road against the Reds, but Seiya Suzuki was one of the few bright spots at the plate. The right fielder finished 2-for-4, collecting both a double and a single. Offensively this season, center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong has been a key power threat, leading the Cubs with 21 home runs, while Ian Happ sits right behind him with 17. Dansby Swanson has been their most reliable run producer, topping the team with 58 RBIs, and Crow-Armstrong also leads the roster in batting average at .293. Over their last five games, Chicago has averaged 4.4 runs per game, and with a 4–4 record so far in July, they’ll aim to bring more consistency and level the series against the Reds.
Key Stats
- Chicago’s Pete Crow-Armstrong this season: 21 HRs, 52 RBI, .293 AVG
- Cincinnati’s Sal Stewart this season: 19 HRs, 65 RBI, .257 AVG
Betting Odds & Market Overview:
- CHC -122 / CIN +101; O/U 10
Chicago vs. Cincinnati Picks and Prediction
Cincinnati came up with a much-needed boost Friday night at Great American Ball Park, rolling past the Cubs 4–0. Now the Reds will try to keep that momentum going and notch back-to-back wins when the series continues with Game 2 on Saturday. The pitching matchup features left-hander Nick Lodolo for Cincinnati, who’s 3–2 with a 4.68 ERA so far this season. Chicago will counter with Javier Assad, who has been sharp overall at 6–1 with a 4.15 ERA. Final Score Prediction, Chicago Cubs win 5-0.
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