Chicago Cubs vs Miami Marlins Picks and Prediction for Sunday, September 6, 2026

On Sunday, the Chicago Cubs visit the Miami Marlins at loanDepot park, with the opening pitch scheduled for 1:40 PM ET and televised on MLB.TV. Chicago is 80-62, second in the NL Central and eight games behind Milwaukee. Miami is 71-71, third in the NL East and 13.5 games behind Atlanta. The Cubs hold the second NL Wild Card spot, while Miami is three games behind the final spot. Chicago is 4-6 over its last 10 games, while Miami is 4-6. Check out our free MLB picks.

Chicago Cubs Have Won Two Straight

Chicago has won two straight after beating Milwaukee 2-1 and Miami 6-1. The Cubs are 3-2 across their last five games, a stretch that also included a 17-3 victory over Milwaukee. Chicago has scored 759 runs while batting .251 with a .339 on-base percentage and .431 slugging percentage. Pete Crow-Armstrong leads the offense with a .280 average, 39 home runs, 93 RBI, 105 runs and 153 hits.

Seiya Suzuki adds another major power threat with 24 home runs, 80 RBI and a .270 average. Alex Bregman has 24 homers and 81 RBI, while Ian Happ has hit 23 home runs. Chicago's pitching staff has a 4.18 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and .245 opponent batting average. The Cubs have surrendered 213 home runs, but Chicago's offense has helped produce a plus-133 run differential. The Cubs are 39-31 away from home.

Injuries: Jacob Webb is day-to-day. Edward Cabrera and Gavin Hollowell are on the 15-Day IL, while Shelby Miller and Tyler Austin are on the 60-Day IL.

Miami Marlins Have Lost Two Straight

Miami has dropped two straight after a 7-3 loss at Kansas City and Friday's 6-1 defeat against Chicago. The Marlins are 2-3 over their last five games, with victories of 9-6 and 6-3 against Kansas City. Miami has scored 616 runs while batting .247 with a .325 on-base percentage and .398 slugging percentage. Otto Lopez leads the club with a .300 average, 166 hits and 62 RBI while adding 29 stolen bases.

Heriberto Hernandez has supplied Miami's top power numbers with 23 home runs and 61 RBI, while Kyle Stowers has 18 homers and a .471 slugging percentage. The Marlins have a 3.96 team ERA, 1.25 WHIP and .232 opponent batting average. Miami has allowed 141 home runs and recorded 1,142 strikeouts. Home results have been a strength for the Marlins, who are 42-28 at loanDepot park despite sitting at .500 overall.

Injuries: Owen Caissie and Kyle Stowers are day-to-day. Xavier Edwards is on the 10-Day IL, while Anthony Bender and Pete Fairbanks are on the 15-Day IL.

Pitching Matchup

Chicago Cubs - Matthew Boyd

Matthew Boyd is 8-3 with a 4.05 ERA and 1.23 WHIP through 102.1 innings. The left-hander has allowed 95 hits, 31 walks and 15 home runs while recording 79 strikeouts. Boyd has issued fewer than one walk per three innings and has allowed fewer hits than innings pitched during his workload this season.

Miami Marlins - Tyler Phillips

Tyler Phillips is 4-6 with a 3.43 ERA and 1.33 WHIP through 110.1 innings. The right-hander has allowed 100 hits, 47 walks and 14 home runs while striking out 90. Phillips has kept his ERA below 3.50 despite the walk total and has surrendered roughly one home run for every eight innings pitched.

Chicago Cubs vs Miami Marlins Game Pick

• Chicago Cubs

Chicago is the pick Sunday after taking Friday's series opener 6-1 and posting stronger offensive numbers across the season. The Cubs have scored 759 runs with 199 home runs, compared with Miami's 616 runs and 144 homers. Pete Crow-Armstrong has 39 home runs and 93 RBI, while Seiya Suzuki and Alex Bregman each have 24 homers. Chicago is also 39-31 away from home. Miami owns a strong home record, but Chicago's deeper power production makes the Cubs the play in the series finale.

Chicago Cubs vs Miami Marlins Over/Under Pick

• Under

Under is the pick Sunday, with Matthew Boyd and Tyler Phillips each posting solid numbers over more than 100 innings. Phillips owns a 3.43 ERA and has allowed 14 home runs through 110.1 innings, while Boyd has a 4.05 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP. Miami has also scored only four runs across its last two games. Friday's opener finished 6-1, and the Marlins have a .398 team slugging percentage. Those numbers point to another game where scoring stays relatively contained between these clubs.