Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians Picks and Prediction for Sunday, July 5, 2026
Use Code WWWC The Chicago White Sox visit the Cleveland Guardians on Sunday at 2:00 PM ET at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Chicago is 45-42 and is second in the AL Central, while Cleveland is 47-42 and is first in the division. The Guardians have won the first two games of this four-game series, taking Thursday's opener 6-5 before earning a 4-3 victory in 10 innings on Friday. Cleveland has won three straight games overall, while the White Sox have dropped three consecutive contests after winning two of three against Baltimore. Make a better bet with our free MLB picks.
Chicago White Sox Looking to End Their Skid
Chicago has put together a productive offensive season, batting .241 while scoring 418 runs with 702 hits, 121 home runs, a .321 on-base percentage, and a .415 slugging percentage. Miguel Vargas leads the White Sox with 20 home runs and 55 RBI, while Colson Montgomery has added 21 home runs despite batting .218. Sam Antonacci has been Chicago's most consistent hitter with a .292 average and .387 on-base percentage, Chase Meidroth owns a .271 average with 86 hits, and Tristan Peters is batting .286. The White Sox rank 16th in Major League Baseball in batting average and continue to generate power throughout the lineup.
Chicago has also received solid work from its pitching staff, ranking 16th in MLB with a 4.24 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. White Sox pitchers have limited opponents to a .239 batting average while recording 700 strikeouts and allowing 89 home runs. Keeping Cleveland's lineup from creating traffic on the bases will be important after the Guardians scored 10 runs over the first two games of this series.
Injuries: Munetaka Murakami (10-Day IL), Everson Pereira (7-Day IL), Tyler Gilbert (15-Day IL), Austin Hays (60-Day IL), Drew Thorpe (60-Day IL).
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Cleveland Guardians Looking to Complete the Sweep
Cleveland has relied more on timely hitting than overall production this season, batting .229 with 355 runs, 669 hits, 81 home runs, a .312 on-base percentage, and a .366 slugging percentage. Brayan Rocchio leads the Guardians with a .270 batting average and 78 hits, while Chase DeLauter has collected 39 RBI. José Ramírez has contributed 10 home runs and 33 RBI, while Angel Martínez has hit 11 home runs, but both are out injured, and Travis Bazzana is batting .255. Cleveland enters Sunday after scoring 19 runs over its last three victories.
The Guardians have won with pitching throughout the season, ranking eighth in Major League Baseball with a 3.77 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Cleveland pitchers have held opponents to a .238 batting average while striking out 784 hitters. That consistency has helped the Guardians move into first place in the AL Central and has been a major reason they have won six of their last eight games.
Injuries: Angel Martínez (10-Day IL), José Ramírez (10-Day IL).
Pitching Matchup
Chicago White Sox – Erick Fedde
Fedde is 3-6 with a 4.41 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP across 79.2 innings this season. He has allowed 81 hits while striking out 53 batters and walking 33. Fedde will need to limit baserunners against a Cleveland lineup that has produced timely offense throughout this series.
Cleveland Guardians – Tanner Bibee
Bibee is 2-9 despite an impressive 3.69 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 102.1 innings. He has surrendered only 85 hits while striking out 83 batters and issuing 29 walks. Bibee has pitched better than his record indicates and has consistently kept Cleveland in games.
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians Game Pick
- Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland has been the better club throughout this series and owns another advantage on the mound with Bibee. While his win-loss record does not stand out, his ERA and WHIP have been significantly stronger than Fedde's, and the Guardians continue to receive reliable pitching from one of the American League's better staffs. Cleveland has also won three straight games and has consistently found timely hits late in games, while Chicago enters on a three-game losing streak.
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians Over/Under Pick
- Under
This matchup favors pitching more than offense. Cleveland ranks eighth in MLB with a 3.77 team ERA, while Bibee has posted a strong 3.69 ERA across more than 100 innings this season. The Guardians are batting only .229 as a team, and although Chicago has shown more power, the White Sox have scored three runs or fewer in each of their last three games. With two clubs that have played close games throughout this series and another quality outing expected from Cleveland's pitching staff, the under will cash.
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