Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Prediction for Sunday, May 24th, 2026
Use Code WWWC The Cleveland Guardians (31-22, 30-23 ATS, 26-27 O/U) and the Philadelphia Phillies (25-26, 15-36 ATS, 24-25-2 O/U) conclude a three-game series on Sunday afternoon, and we have you covered with the prediction. The Guardians are sending Parker Messick to the mound. The Phillies will answer with Andrew Painter. The Guardians posted a 1-0 win in the series opener on Friday.
Can Painter and the Phillies come away with a big home win on Sunday? Check out the Guardians vs. Phillies prediction. Nobody does it better when it comes to MLB Picks!
Messick Eyes Sixth Win of Season
Parker Messick is the Guardians pitcher in this one. Messick continued his strong pitching in his past outing, conceding three runs (two earned) in five innings against Detroit, leading to a no-decision in a game Cleveland won. The young southpaw is developing into an ace. Messick has conceded two or fewer runs in all but two outings and has fielded a 2.45 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP complemented by a 5-1 record in 58.2 innings pitched. Messick has racked up 65 strikeouts.
The Cleveland Guardians are concluding a dominant road trek in this one. Cleveland remains atop the division. They continue to win series after series. The group won two of three against Cincinnati last weekend and issued a big road sweep against the Tigers this week. They scored 18 runs and kept Detroit to just eight runs. The Guardians stand at 16-12 on the road.
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Cleveland needs Steven Kwan to get going here. The 28-year-old outfielder is a proven hitter but has been quiet this season, hitting .200 with 11 RBIs and a .581 OPS. Kwan has a weak .540 OPS this month. Jose Ramirez was a huge threat against the Phillies last season, posting a stellar 1.3 OPS. The star third baseman has recorded 24 RBIs on the season.
Chase De Lauter is a candidate for rookie of the year. The 24-year-old has racked up 12 RBIs in May and has amassed 30 RBIs on the season. Kyle Manzardo has been a threat, posting 10 RBIs in May. The 25-year-old first baseman has 17 RBIs and a .690 OPS. Travis Bazzana is another promising rookie. The 23-year-old has issued a .755 OPS in 22 games.
Cleveland is averaging 4.32 runs per game, ranking them 16th. The Guardians' pitching is a strength, posting a 3.60 ERA, placing them sixth.
Painter On the Mound on Sunday
Andrew Painter is seeking his second win of the season on Sunday afternoon. Painter came through with a promising effort earlier this week, yielding two runs in six innings against Cincinnati, leading to a no-decision in a game the Phillies won. The rookie righty endured his fair share of woes this season, posting a 5.77 ERA, a 1.49 WHIP, and a 1-4 record in 43.2 innings pitched. Painer has netted 37 strikeouts. This is his first meeting against Cleveland.
The Philadelphia Phillies are back, hovering near the .500 mark after a disastrous April. The squad resorted to firing their manager due to an extended slide last month. They have only lost one series in May. The group won two out of three against the Pirates last weekend and were dealt two defeats in three home meetings against the Reds due to a quiet series at the plate. Philadelphia scored 10 runs and held them to 17 runs. The squad is 13-15 at home.
Brandon Marsh has been a tough out, yielding an .816 OPS this month. The 28-year-old outfielder is hitting .325 with 22 RBIs. Kyle Schwarber is one of the hottest hitters in the big leagues. The 33-year-old DH has bashed a stunning nine home runs this month and is up to 20 bombs with 36 RBIs and a .960 OPS on the season.
Alec Bohm has recorded nine RBIs in May. The veteran third baseman has registered 22 RBIs and a .620 OPS on the season. J.T. Realmuto posted a tremendous 1.00 OPS against the Guardians last year. The veteran catcher has a weak .566 OPS on the season. Justin Crawford has a weak .670 OPS in May. The 22-year-old has 12 RBIs and a .689 OPS.
Philadelphia is averaging 4.10 runs on the year, marking them 20th. The Phillies have issued a 4.25 ERA, placing them 20th in the big leagues.
Guardians vs. Phillies Pick
Spread Pick for Guardians vs. Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies +105 (5 units)
The Cleveland Guardians are winning games, but it's been an easy schedule. Five of their past six series were against teams that did not make the playoffs last season. They looked good this week, but it was against a Detroit squad missing a ton of key hitters. The Philadelphia Phillies are a different team under their new manager. They have won 12 of their past 18 games.
Furthermore, Guardians pitcher Parker Messick is inexperienced and has not been pitching deep into games on the road. He has lasted just five innings in his last two road starts, squandering six runs in that span. Phillies pitcher Andrew Painter has rebounded in his last two outings, keeping the Red Sox and Reds to just three runs in 11 innings. Anytime you can get the Phillies at plus money at home, you take it.
Over/Under Pick for Guardians vs. Phillies
- Under 8 (5 units)
I expect this one to go under. Cleveland is winning games, but is not putting huge numbers on the board. They have scored four or fewer runs in four of their past five games. Painter has yielded just three or fewer runs in all but one home start this season.
In addition, the Guardians continue to thrive on the mound. They have kept their opponent to three or fewer runs in six straight games. Messick has been steady on the road, keeping his opponent to two or fewer runs in all but two outings. The under is a convincing 5-1 in the Phillies' past six games entering Saturday.
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