Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins Picks and Prediction for Saturday, March 28, 2026

By: Liam Keating Published 03/28/2026, 05:15 AM ET
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It's the opening weekend of Major League Baseball on Saturday, March 28. Read our Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins prediction along with our otherΒ Free MLB Picks on the night. The Rockies held the worst record in the league last year with a 43-119 mark. The Marlins ended last year in third-place in their division with a 79-83 record. These two teams will meet with first pitch at 4:10 P.M. EST.

Colorado looking to avoid being worst team in the league

Colorado is coming off of a brutal season. The Rockies held the worst in the MLB with a 43-119 record. Colorado was 18-63 when playing on the road. The Rockies split the season series with the Marlins at 3-3.

On Saturday, Michael Lorenzen gets the start for the Rockies. The right-handed pitcher held a 7-11 record last season in 26 starts and one relief appearance. Lorenzen held a 5.56 ERA when playing on the road. He held a 6.23 ERA in eight games against the National League. He never faced the Marlins last season. Across his career, Lorenzen has a 2.33 ERA in 17 appearances against the Marlins.

Last year, the Rockies hit .237, which ranked 23rd in the league. They had the second-worst run scored record last year. The Rockies ranked 23rd in hits and 25th in home runs hit. Colorado hit .203 when playing on the road. They hit .239 against the National League, too. The Rockies held a .259 batting average in six games against the Marlins.

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Marlins looking to get back into the playoff hunt this year

Miami missed the playoffs last year. The Marlins finished the season in third-place in the National League East division. The Marlins ended the year with a 38-43 home record. The Marlins split the season series with the Rockies last year, ending with a 3-3 record.

On Saturday, Eury Perez gets the nod for the Marlins. The right-handed pitcher ended last year with a 7-6 record and an ERA of 4.25 in 20 starts. Perez held a 2.93 ERA in eight starts at home a season ago. He finished the season with a 5.72 ERA in 14 starts. He made one start against the Rockies. Perez threw five scoreless innings allowing just one hit during this game. Perez has a career 2.89 ERA against the Rockies.

Last year, the Marlins hit .250 last season, which ranked 11th in the league. They finished sixth-best in hits, while they ranked fourth-worst in home runs hit. Miami struck out the fourth-fewest times last year. The Marlins hit .242 during home games and .249 when playing National League teams. The Marlins held a .271 batting average in six games against the Rockies.

Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins Picks

Rockies vs Marlins Spread Pick

  • Take the Marlins (5 units)

It’s hard to take the Rockies seriously after last year's disaster of a season. Colorado had the worst record in the MLB and they struggled to contend against every team. The Rockies will be starting Michael Lorenzen, but he held a 5.56 ERA when playing on the road. The Marlins had the 11th best batting average last year. Miami also had the sixth-most hits, which will be key against a poor Rockies team, that scored the second-fewest runs in the league. Miami is also starting Eury Perez, who had a 2.93 ERA in eight home starts. Expect him to have a strong start to the year.

Take the Marlins to cover.

Rockies vs Marlins Over/Under Pick

  • Take the under (5 units)

The Marlins will be starting Eury Perez, who had strong home performances last season. He has a 2.93 ERA inside his own building and that will be good enough against a poor Rockies lineup that had scored the second-fewest runs in the sport. Colorado also hit just .237 when playing last year, which won’t be good enough for a big scoring outing. The Marlins also hit the fourth-fewest home runs. Both lineups will struggle in this series.

Take the under on Saturday.Β 

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