Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins, Picks and Prediction, Friday, March 27, 2026

By: Bosun Akinpelu Published 03/27/2026, 05:15 AM ET
Rockies vs. Marlins prediction
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Colorado (0-0) kicks off their season with a three-game weekend series against Miami (0-0). The games will be played at LoanDepot Park, with Game 1 starting at 7:10 PM. ET. on Friday night. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Rockies vs. Marlins prediction. Need a hot take on the MLB Season? Check out our Free MLB Picks and cash in.

Kyle Freeland will get the start for the Rockies. He was 5-17, with a 4.98 ERA last season. Sandy Alcantara will take the mound for the Marlins. He was 11-12, with a 5.36 ERA last season.

Colorado and Miami split their last 10 meetings.

Rockies Hoping To Improve From Last Season

The Rockies won only 43 games last season, which was the fewest in the league. They lost more than 100 games for the third consecutive season and will be hoping for better results this year.

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The Rockies went into the offseason with a big need at the pitcher position. They signed Michael Lorenzen and Tomoyuki Sugano, and traded for Brennan Bernardino, who they hope will improve on the worst pitching staff in the league last season.

They also improved their offense with the addition of Jake McCarthy, Willi Castro, and Edouardo Julien.

Colorado averaged 3.69 runs per game last season, which was 29th in the league. Their .237 batting average was 23rd in the league. Their .293 batting average was 23rd in the league. Their .293 on base percentage was 30th, while their .386 slugging percentage was 24th.

Hunter Goodman was the most consistent batter for the Rockies last season. He led the team with a .278 batting average, 31 home runs, and 91 RBI.

Colorado gave up 6.30 runs per game last season, which was 30th in the league. Opponents had a .296 batting average against the Rockies, which was 30th in the league. Their 5.97 ERA was also 30th, as was their 1.58 WHIP.

In his last start, Freeland gave up three hits and three runs in six innings, leading to a 4-3 loss to San Francisco. He is 4-1 with a 3.77 ERA in nine games against Miami.

Marlins Hoping To Make Playoff Run

The Marlins won 79 games last season and finished third in the NL East, marking a 17-win improvement on their 2024 season. They are hoping for more improvement this season as they try to make the playoffs in a tough NL East.

The Marlins spent the offseason improving the depth of their roster. They traded starting pitchers Edward Cabrera and Ryan Weathers for prospects like Owen Caissie.

They also added Esteury Ruiz, Calvin Faucher, and John King. They also improved their bullpen with the addition of Chris Paddack.

Miami averaged 4.38 runs per game last season, which was 16th in the league. Their .250 batting average was 11th in the league. Their .314 on base percentage is 17th, while their .393 slugging percentage was 20th.

Xavier Edwards led Miami with a .283 batting average. Kyle Stowers led the team with 25 home runs, while Otto Lopez led the team with 77 RBI.

Miami gave up 4.93 runs per game, which was 26th in the league. Opponents had a .248 batting average against the Marlins, which is 21st in the league. Their 4.60 ERA is 25th, while their 1.30 WHIP is 19th.

In his last start, Alcantara gave up six hits and two runs in seven innings, leading to a 6-2 win over the Mets. He is 3-2 with a 4.58 ERA in six games against the Rockies.

Rockies vs. Marlins Picks

Money Line Pick for Rockies vs. Marlins

  • Miami Marlins -1.5 (4 Units)

The Marlins have the edge here because they were very good offensively last season, especially against left-handers, with the team finishing the year with a .300 batting average against lefties. Freeland struggled on the mound last season, especially on the road, giving up 16 runs in his last four road starts. He also struggled against the Marlins, giving up six runs in his two starts against them. With the Rockies also having the second-worst bullpen in the league last season, expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Marlins in this game. Take Miami on the run line.

Over/Under Pick for Rockies vs. Marlins

  • Over 7.5 (4 Units)

The Rockies averaged 3.69 runs per game last season. They had a .236 batting average against right-handers, and they’re facing a starter who gave up five runs in his last two starts against them, and a team that gave up 4.93 runs per game. The Marlins averaged 4.93 runs per game. They had a .300 batting average against right-handers, and they’re facing a starter who gave up six runs in his last two starts against them, and a team that gave up 6.30 runs per game. Expect these teams to score enough runs to push the score over the total. The Marlins and Rockies played over the total in five of their last seven meetings.

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