Cubs at Rangers Prediction Picks and Prediction for Sunday, May 10, 2026
Use Code WWWC Chicago (27-13) will look to take the road series when they wrap up a three-game set against Texas (18-21) at Globe Life Field on Sunday afternoon at 2:35 PM ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Cubs vs. Rangers prediction. Don't go down on strikes! Get our top MLB Predictions and increase your bankroll!
Jameson Taillon, 2-1, 4.24 ERA, will get the start for the Cubs. The Rangers will counter with Jacob deGrom, 2-2, 3.11 ERA.
Cubs Looking To Clinch The Road Series
The Cubs' tear continued with a sweep of the Reds at Wrigley Field that brought their win streak to nine games, and Craig Counsell's squad now heads back out on the road beginning with this three-game set against the Rangers. Chicago has won 20 of its previous 23 games, and it was the first time since 1935 that the Cubs had multiple 10-game win streaks in the same season.
The Rangers' offensive issues from 2025 have continued into 2026, with a .689 team OPS that ranks 25th in MLB. By contrast, Chicago has been one of the most dangerous offenses in baseball all season. Cubs left fielder Ian Happ extended his on-base streak to 30 games when he drew a walk in the first inning of Saturday's game, the longest such streak by a Cub since the stat became tracked.
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Ian Happ has 34 hits with a .376 on-base percentage to lead the Cubs in both categories, while Nico Hoerner has posted a team-best .429 slugging percentage. Dansby Swanson is batting .203 but has contributed six home runs and 22 walks, and Michael Busch has added eight doubles and three home runs.
Taillon has a 2-1 record with a 4.24 ERA and 1.14 WHIP, but his 6.01 FIP suggests the numbers have run ahead of his actual performance. The veteran right-hander will need to be on his best stuff against a Rangers lineup that, despite its struggles, features dangerous hitters at the top of the order.
Rangers Trying To Win The Series At Home
Texas got off to a decent start this year but has lost eight of their last 12 games, and the team is three games under .500 with Wyatt Langford and Josh Smith both on the injured list. The Rangers have dropped four consecutive series coming into this one.
Josh Jung has been Texas's best hitter with an .875 OPS through 140 plate appearances. Former Mets outfielder Brandon Nimmo is off to a strong start, and former MVP Corey Seager has a team-leading seven home runs.
The bullpen has been the strongest part of the Rangers' roster with a 2.98 ERA that is the lowest in the league. Closer Jacob Latz has been lights out, while Jakob Junis and Tyler Alexander have been excellent setup men.
DeGrom now owns a 3.11 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, and a 47:8 K:BB across 37.2 innings and is scheduled to face the Cubs this weekend. The biggest issue with deGrom is that he has allowed six home runs this year and gave up 26 last season, making him susceptible to the long ball even when he's pitching well. The Rangers are 6-1 against the spread this season when deGrom starts, and his team has won each of the three games he's started as a moneyline favorite.
Cubs vs. Rangers Picks
Money Line Pick for Cubs vs. Rangers
- Texas Rangers ML (4 Units)
The Rangers get the edge here because they have by far the superior starting pitcher in this matchup. DeGrom is one of the best pitchers in baseball when healthy, and he has allowed just four runs across his last five starts while posting a 33:7 K:BB ratio over that span. The Cubs are riding a historic hot streak, but Globe Life Park has played as an extreme pitcher's park since the start of 2025, where balls that seem like they should clear the warning track end up caught instead. That environment neutralizes Chicago's power advantage and plays right into deGrom's hands. Taillon's FIP tells the real story about his performance level, and the Cubs are due for some regression as a road team. The Rangers are 6-1 ATS when deGrom takes the mound this season, and at home against a Cubs team facing an elite starter for the first time this road trip, Texas is the right side. Take the Rangers on the money line.
Over/Under Pick for Cubs vs. Rangers
- Under 8.5 (4 Units)
Globe Life Park has played as an extreme pitcher's park and has produced consistently low-scoring games since the start of 2025. DeGrom striking out nearly a batter per inning this season while generating weak contact means the Cubs' potent lineup will face its toughest challenge of the road trip. The Rangers' bullpen owns the lowest ERA in baseball at 2.98, making it nearly impossible for the Cubs to mount a comeback even if they get to deGrom early. With one of the best pitchers in the game starting in a park that suppresses offense, this one should stay well under the total. Take the Under.
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