Detroit Tigers vs Athletics Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Friday July 31 2026

By: Al MacMillan Updated 07/31/2026, 08:49 AM ET
Spencer Torkelson looks to lead the Tigers over the Red Sox

Tonight's Detroit Tigers vs Athletics picks feature Casey Mize against Jeffrey Springs in a matchup with a high total of 10.5. Detroit is favored around -155, placing the Tigers beyond the acceptable moneyline range. Mize's 2.70 ERA and Oakland's inconsistent team scoring make the under the strongest available market. Readers can also review our MLB player props coverage and daily MLB picks and predictions before first pitch.

Best Available Odds for Detroit Tigers vs Athletics

  • Moneyline: Detroit Tigers -155 | Athletics +140
  • Total: Over 10.5 (-110) | Under 10.5 (-110)

Game Info

  • Date: Friday, July 31, 2026
  • Time: 9:40 p.m. EDT
  • Location: Sutter Health Park, West Sacramento, California
  • TV: NBCSCA and Detroit SportsNet
  • Probable Pitchers: Casey Mize vs Jeffrey Springs

Detroit Tigers vs Athletics Preview

Detroit has the stronger starting pitcher and should create offense against Springs, but the Tigers do not need a huge total to win comfortably. Oakland has played higher-scoring home games, yet the Athletics have frequently fallen short of their own team total. Mize can keep the game controlled if he avoids the park's extra-base-hit risk.

The MLB betting trends are mixed but still support the high-number under. Detroit games have gone under in 58 of 104 decisions, while Athletics home games have produced 30 overs against 22 unders. Oakland home team totals have gone under in 31 of 54 decisions, making the Athletics the likely limiting side.

The earlier market listed Detroit at -155 and Oakland around +135, with the total at 10.5. The current snapshot has Detroit unchanged and the Athletics up to +140. The total remains elevated, leaving the under room for a 6-4 result.

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Pitching Matchup

Mize is 4-6 with a 2.70 ERA and 85 strikeouts. He has provided Detroit with reliable run prevention and should be able to challenge Oakland without creating excessive traffic. The park is the main concern, especially if Mize leaves pitches elevated.

Springs is 3-10 with a 6.23 ERA and 86 strikeouts. Detroit should create scoring opportunities, but the Tigers do not need to reach eight runs for the projected game to stay under. Oakland's bullpen must prevent a competitive game from becoming a late blowout.

Game Thesis: Detroit should win behind Mize, but the moneyline is too expensive. Oakland's weak team-total profile and a number of 10.5 make the under the cleaner wager.

Best Bet - Under 10.5 (-110)

The under is the best bet because Mize can suppress Oakland and the Athletics have repeatedly fallen short of their team total. Detroit can score six runs and still leave room beneath 10.5 if Oakland remains at three or four. The elevated number accounts for the park and provides a useful cushion.

Prediction: Detroit Tigers 6, Athletics 3

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