Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles Picks and Prediction for Sunday, May 24th, 2026
Use Code WWWC The Detroit Tigers (20-32, 25-28 ATS, 23-27-2 O/U) and the Baltimore Orioles (22-29, 22-29 ATS, 29-21-1 O/U) conclude a three-game series on Sunday afternoon at Camden Yards. The Tigers are sending Troy Melton to the rubber. The Orioles will respond with Trevor Rogers. The Tigers went 5-1 against the Orioles last season, and the Orioles earned a 7-4 win against the Tigers to begin this series.
Can Melton lead the Tigers to a needed road win to conclude the series on Sunday? Continue reading to find out. Do you need a boost in your handicapping? Try our MLB Picks!
Tigers Dealing with Key Injuries
Troy Melton will make his season debut on Sunday afternoon. Melton has spent the entire season on the IL with a shoulder injury and is ready to go. The righty got his first taste of the big leagues last season and was outstanding, posting a strong 2.76 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP accompanied by a 3-2 record in 45.2 innings pitched. He recorded 36 strikeouts. He also pitched in the postseason, conceding five runs in 8.2 innings. This is his first meeting against the Orioles.
The Detroit Tigers are having a disappointing season due in part to injuries. They find themselves well below the .500 mark due to the lack of hitting. The squad lost a home series against Toronto last weekend and were awful after they were dealt a home sweep by the Guardians this week. Detroit scored eight runs in the series while Cleveland amassed 18 runs. The Tigers are 7-20 on the road.
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Detroit needs better production from Spencer Torkelson. The former #1 pick has been shaky, hitting .195 with seven homers and 19 RBIs. Torkelson has managed seven RBIs this month. Colt Keith is hitting for average, sporting a .273 mark, but has not displayed any power. He has yet to hit a home run and only has six RBIs.
Kevin McGonigle has been one of the few positives. The 21-year-old has a chance to win Rookie of the Year. McGonigle has 17 RBIs and an .812 OPS. Riley Greene netted three RBIs and a solid .836 OPS against the Orioles last season. The star outfielder has clubbed four homers with 24 RBIs and a robust .889 OPS. Dillon Dingler has also been steady, recording 29 RBIs and a .768 OPS. Detroit is dealing with a ton of injuries, including Javier Baez and Gleybar Torres, along with Skubal.
Detroit is averaging 3.85 runs per game, ranking them 28th. The Tigers' pitching is decent, posting a 3.98 ERA, placing them 15th in the big leagues.
Baltimore Eyes Win in Game 2 of Doubleheader
Trevor Rogers is expected to be on the mound on Sunday. Rogers had more issues in his recent outing, squandering eight runs in just 3.2 innings against Tampa Bay, and was tagged with another loss. The veteran has surrendered 13 runs in his last two outings. He is having a disaster season as seen in his 6.87 ERA, a 1.66 WHIP, and a 2-5 record in 45 innings pitched. Rogers has issued 33 strikeouts. Rogers sailed through five shutout innings and got the win in his only meeting against the Tigers.
The Baltimore Orioles have not been able to find a groove yet this season. It is a decent roster on paper, but the pitching is holding them back. Baltimore was tagged with a series loss by the Nationals last weekend. The group had a tough matchup against a hot Tampa Bay squad this week and were handed the defeats in all three games. The bats drove in 10 runs while conceding 25 runs. The Orioles stand at 13-12 at home entering Saturday.
Gunnar Henderson has been quiet at the dish this month, recording five RBIs and a .609 OPS. The 24-year-old shortstop has 10 home runs with 24 RBIs on the year. Colton Cowser has been in the same boat as Henderson, managing a .613 OPS in May. The young outfielder has posted nine RBIs and a .530 OPS on the season.
Jeremiah Jackson has just one RBI in May. The 26-year-old has six homers with 25 RBIs and a .683 OPS. Sam Basallo has been their best hitter this month. The 21-year-old catcher has netted an .872 OPS this month and has bashed seven home runs along with 18 RBIs. Pete Alonso bashed two homers with three RBIs against the Tigers last season and posted three RBIs on Friday. The 31-year-old has been mediocre, swatting 10 homers with 32 RBIs and a .760 OPS.
Baltimore is posting an average of 4.35 runs on the season, rating them 16th. The pitching has been exposed, registering a 4.96 ERA, pegging them 28th in the big leagues.
Tigers vs. Orioles Pick
Spread Pick for Tigers vs. Orioles
- Detroit Tigers (5 units)
The Detroit Tigers have been stumbling this month, but so have the Baltimore Orioles. The Orioles are only 13-12 at home and have dropped five of their past seven games. The Tigers are not nearly as bad as their record indicates. They are dealing with a plethora of key injuries, some bad luck, and untimely errors. They are a desperate team and need this win.
Furthermore, Tigers pitcher Troy Melton is making his season debut. He was tough to solve last year, posting a tremendous 2.76 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP. Baltimore has yet to see him, which is an advantage to the pitcher. Orioles pitcher Trevor Rogers has been a disaster. The southpaw has surrendered six and seven runs in his last two starts. The Orioles are not winning games with him on the mound, losing in each of his past five outings.
Over/Under Pick for Tigers vs. Orioles
- Over (5 units)
I expect plenty of runs. Detroit displayed signs of breaking out on Friday, scoring four runs. The offense is better than the numbers suggest, and the Orioles' pitching is among the worst in the big leagues. The O’s have squandered an average of 5.3 runs in their past ten games. The bullpen is pegged 25th.
In addition, while I expect Melton to contain Baltimore, they have a decent offense. They have scored 24 runs in their past five games and are averaging a solid 4.65 runs per game at home this season. The Tigers' pitching has been atrocious on the road, surrendering 32 runs in their last five games.
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