Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners, Picks and Prediction, Game 5, Friday, October 10, 2025

By: Bosun Akinpelu Published 10/10/2025, 03:17 AM ET
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Detroit (87-75) and Seattle (90-72) will be trying to advance to the ALCS when they meet in Game 5 of the ALDS at Comerica Park on Friday night. The game is scheduled to begin at 8:08 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Tigers vs. Mariners prediction. When it comes to MLB picks, our MLB Predictions are stellar. The five-game series is tied 2-2.

Tarik Skubal, 13-6, 2.21 ERA, will get the start for the Tigers. The Mariners will counter with George Kirby, 10-8, 4.21 ERA.

Seattle is 6-4 in its last 10 games against Detroit. The Mariners won the regular season series, 4-2.

Detroit Going For Second Consecutive Win

The Tigers managed to stave off elimination with a Game 4 win over the Mariners, forcing a deciding Game 5. With their ace on the mound, they are hoping to book a spot in the ALCS on Friday night.

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Detroit is averaging 3.85 runs per game in the playoffs. They have a .218 batting average, a .302 on base percentage, and a .331 slugging percentage.

Javier Baez has been the most consistent batter for Detroit. He leads the team with a .346 batting average, one home run, and five RBI.

Detroit is giving up 3.71 runs per game in the playoffs. Opponents have a .203 batting average against them. They have a 3.14 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP.

In his last start, Skubal gave up five hits and two runs in seven innings, leading to a 3-2 loss to the Mariners. He is 3-2 with a 3.77 ERA in four games against Seattle. Overall, he's had a Cy Young-caliber season, going 13-6 with a 2.21 ERA with 241 strikeouts and 33 walks in 195.3 innings.

Seattle Trying To Bounce Back From Loss

The Mariners had their two-game winning streak snapped by the Tigers in their last game and failed to secure their spot in the ALCS for the first time since 2001. They have another chance to book their spot in the ALCS, but they will have to play better offensively if they want to get the win.

Seattle is averaging four runs per game in the playoffs. They have a .219 batting average, a .285 on base percentage, and a .387 slugging percentage.

Cal Raleigh has been the most consistent batter for Seattle in the playoffs. He leads the team with a .438 batting average, one home run, and four RBI.

Seattle is giving up 4.50 runs per game in the playoffs. Opponents have a .217 batting average against the Mariners. They have a 4.14 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP.

In his last start, Kirby gave up six hits and two runs in five innings, leading to a 3-2 loss to the Tigers. He is 2-4 with a 7.48 ERA in six games against Detroit. Overall, Kirby is 10-7 this season with a 4.24 ERA and has 127 strikeouts and 28 walks in 121 innings.

Tigers vs. Mariners Pick

Money Line Pick for Tigers vs. Mariners

  • Detroit Tigers ML (4 Units)

The Tigers have won three of their last five road games, while the Mariners have lost four of their last five home games. Detroit has the edge here because they hit the ball well in their last three games, and they’re going up against Kirby, who has struggled against them, giving up 12 runs in his last three starts against them. He’s given up at least three runs in four of his last five starts against them, so expect him to have a hard time slowing down the Tigers.

Seattle won’t be as successful offensively because they didn’t hit the ball well in their first two home games, and they’re going up against Skubal, who gave up six runs in his last three starts. He gave up six runs in his last three road starts and will keep Seattle’s offense in check. Take Detroit on the money line.

Over/Under Pick for Tigers vs. Mariners

  • Under (4 Units)

The Mariners played under the total in four of their last five games, while the Tigers played under the total in five of their last seven games. Seattle is averaging four runs per game. They’re batting .200 against right-handers, and they’re facing a starter who gave up six runs in his last three road starts. The Tigers average 3.85 runs per game. They’re batting .205 against right-handers, and they’re facing a starter who gave up four runs in his last three starts. Don’t expect these teams to score enough runs to push the score over the total. The Mariners and Tigers played under the total in three of their last four meetings.

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