Houston Astros vs. Atlanta Braves Picks and Prediction, Sunday, September 14, 2025
Use Code WWWC On Sunday, the Houston Astros will face the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park, and we have you ready to go with our Astros vs. Braves prediction. First pitch from the ATL is at 1:35 p.m. ET.
The Astros are -135 moneyline favorites, and the game total is 8.5 runs scored.
This is the first series of the season between these MLB interleague opponents. The ballclubs have split their last ten meetings, and the over/under was also split 5-5 in those games. If you want the Astros vs. Braves prediction, read on and check out our MLB Predictions to beat the sportsbooks!
*Article published before the conclusion of Saturday night's game.
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Houston is in a tight division race
Houston (80-68 SU, 71-77 RL, and 67-75-6 O/U) lost two of three games to Toronto in its previous series. The Astros are 4-6 in their last ten games ( the over/under was split 5-5).
Houston will start left-hander Framber Valdez on Sunday afternoon versus the Braves. In his last appearance, the 31-year-old surrendered four runs (three earned) and five hits in seven frames against Texas. He is 12-9 with a 3.42 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 28 starts (176.1 IP) this season, including 6-6 with a 4.67 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 14 road outings (86.2 IP).
Injuries forced the Astros to be creative last year, as they used 12 starting pitchers and 32 pitchers overall. Still, they turned their season around after a poor start to win their seventh American League West crown in the last eight years. Expectations are still high in H-Town, as the Astros are tied for first place in the AL West. Can they sustain their success down the stretch to hold off Seattle?
Houston Astros Baseball Injury Report: No new injuries to report for Sunday's game versus Atlanta.
Braves have lost five of their last six
Atlanta (65-82 SU, 68-78 RL, and 66-71-9 O/U) dropped two of three games to Chicago (NL) in its previous series. The Braves are 3-7 in their last ten games (the under was 6-4).
Atlanta will turn to lefty Joey Wentz tomorrow against Houston. In his last start, the fourth-year MLB pro allowed eight runs (six earned) on seven hits, including two homers, in just 2.1 innings against the Mariners. He is 5-6 with a 5.61 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in 36 appearances (85.0 IP) this year between Pittsburgh, Minnesota, and Atlanta.
The Braves have been competitive at Truist Park, but they haven't been able to sustain their momentum when they leave town. Atlanta is 30-44 on the road in 2025, with their pitching being the main culprit (4.49 ERA in away games). The Braves won't be making the postseason this season, but will the front office be busy in the free agency market this offseason?
Atlanta Braves Baseball Injury Report: No recent injuries to report for Sunday's game against the Astros.
Astros vs. Braves Pick
Moneyline Pick for Astros vs. Braves
- Houston Astros ML (5 Units)
I trust Houston to handle its business on Sunday, given that each game is impactful in its AL West title race. The visitors dominated the home team in the series opener, winning 11-3, and have a significant pitching advantage tomorrow afternoon. Wentz only lasted 2.1 innings in his previous start and is 0-2 with a 14.21 ERA and 2.53 WHIP this month (6.1 IP). Valdez has pitched well against Atlanta's current lineup (.200 BA with a 24.4% K% in 86 plate appearances) and is backed up by a reliable bullpen (10th in ERA), too.
Over/Under Pick for Astros vs. Braves
- Over 8.5 (5 Units)
Neither starter has momentum heading into this matchup, as both pitchers struggled in their last two outings. Valdez (0-2 with a 6.75 ERA) has pitched well against Atlanta's current lineup in the past, but those ABs were before this season. These teams combined for 14 runs in game one, as Houston's lineup did a lot of damage. I predict another high total on Sunday, as Houston ranks 5th in wRC+ against left-handers this year and faces an unreliable starter in Wentz. The Braves' bullpen has also been among the least effective relief units in MLB (21st in ERA).
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