Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Picks and Prediction for Sunday May 3 2026

By: Dylan Hellebrand Published 05/03/2026, 04:00 AM ET
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The Houston Astros (12–20) will take on the Boston Red Sox (12–19) Sunday at Fenway Park in Boston. Neither team has found its rhythm early this season, with both stumbling out of the gate and sitting below .500. They’ll wrap up their series on Sunday as each side looks to build some momentum and come away with a much-needed win. Get involved in the action with our free MLB picks.

Houston vs. Boston Game Information

  • May 3, 2026
  • 1:35 PM EST
  • Fenway Park
  • MLB.TV/New England Sports Network/Space City Home Network

Boston Form & Recent Results

Boston heads into this matchup trying to snap a two-game skid, although they had been playing better right before that, winning three of their previous five games. The Red Sox were dealt a tough 8-1 defeat in Toronto on Wednesday, but first baseman Willson Contreras was a bright spot. He went 2-for-4 at the plate and provided the lone big swing with a home run, while also crossing the plate once and driving in a run.

This season, Contreras has been Boston’s most consistent power threat, leading the team with seven home runs, and he also tops the club in RBIs with 20. Wilyer Abreu has been next in line in the power department with four homers, and he’s also been their steadiest hitter overall, pacing the team with a .307 batting average. Even with the recent losses, Boston’s offense has produced 5.6 runs per game over its last five games, and they’ll look to keep that momentum going while trying to take advantage of Houston’s early-season issues in Sunday’s series finale.

Houston Form & Recent Results

Houston comes into this matchup feeling a little better after picking up a win in their most recent game, although the bigger picture shows some inconsistency lately. Before Saturday, the Astros had lost three of their previous five, and their pitching has been a clear concern early in the season. Over that five-game stretch, they’ve surrendered an average of 6.4 runs per game, which has put extra pressure on the offense to keep up. Now they head to Fenway Park on Sunday afternoon looking to tighten things up on the mound and build some much-needed momentum against the Red Sox.

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In Thursday’s second game of a doubleheader at home, Houston’s bats did more than enough in an 11–5 win over Baltimore. Designated hitter Yordan Alvarez had a huge day at the plate, going 3-for-4 with a home run, three runs scored, and an RBI, continuing to be the most reliable force in the lineup. Lance McCullers Jr. started and worked six innings, giving up just two hits and three earned runs, while also walking four and striking out nine. The Astros piled up 15 hits, launched two homers, totaled 21 bases, and still left eight runners on, showing just how much traffic they created throughout the game. On the season, Alvarez leads the team in several key categories, including home runs with twelve, twenty-seven RBIs, and a .356 batting average. Christian Walker has been the next-best power threat with seven home runs so far, and Houston will need more of that production as they try to stabilize both sides of the ball.

Key Stats

  • Houston’s Yordan Alvarez this season: 12 HRs, 27 RBIs, .356 AVG
  • Boston’s Willson Contreras this season: 7 HRs, 20 RBIs, .262 AVG

Houston vs. Boston Picks and Prediction

Boston will hand the ball to left-hander Ranger Suárez, who’s been solid so far this year with a 2–2 record and a 3.09 ERA. Meanwhile, Houston hasn’t found its rhythm yet and is off to a start the club would rather forget. To keep this one tight at Fenway Park, the Astros’ lineup will need to jump in early, stringing together quality at-bats and timely hits instead of playing from behind. Final Score Prediction, Boston Red Sox win 3-2.

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