Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Picks and Prediction for Saturday July 11 2026
Use Code WWWC On Saturday, the Houston Astros (46–49) head to Arlington to take on the Texas Rangers (47–46) at Globe Life Field. With the standings in the AL West still tight, Houston has a chance to close the gap on Texas in what should be another intense chapter of this divisional rivalry. Get involved in the action with our free MLB picks.
Houston vs. Texas Game Information
- July 11, 2026
- 7:05 PM EST
- Globe Life Field
- MLB.TV/Rangers Sports Network/Space City Home Network/Fubo
Texas Form & Recent Results
Texas heads into this matchup riding a small wave of momentum after winning their last game, though recently they've shown to be a bit inconsistent lately. Before Friday, the Rangers had lost three of their previous five games, including a tough home loss to the Angels and two more home defeats against the Tigers. Even so, they showed some offensive pop in Thursday’s 7–6 win over the Angels in Arlington. Second baseman Justin Foscue had a strong night at the plate, finishing 2-for-3 with a home run, a run scored, and two RBIs, one of the key reasons Texas was able to edge out the win in a close, high-scoring game.
On the mound, Nathan Eovaldi gave Texas a solid six-inning start, allowing six hits and three earned runs while walking two and striking out ten. The Rangers’ lineup backed him up with plenty of production, piling up 11 hits, launching three homers, and collecting 22 total bases overall. Over the course of the season, Jake Burger has been one of their biggest power threats, leading the team with 15 home runs and also topping the Rangers in RBIs with 54. Joc Pederson isn’t far behind in the home run department either, sitting second on the team with 14. For consistent contact, Josh Jung has stood out, currently leading Texas in batting average at .297. Still, pitching and run prevention have been a concern recently. The Rangers have given up an average of 6.2 runs per game in their last five and they’ll be hoping to tighten things up against the Astros on Saturday. So far in July, Texas has gone 3–4, showing they’re still searching for steady form.
Houston Form & Recent Results
Houston comes into this matchup trying to shake off a rough stretch. They’re currently riding a one-game losing streak, and over their last five games they’ve only managed to win twice, meaning they’ve dropped three in that span. Those two victories weren’t all in one place, either: one came on the road against the Nationals in Washington, while the other two were at home against the Rays. Most recently, Houston fell 8–2 to Washington on Thursday, and catcher Yainer Diaz was one of the few bright spots at the plate, finishing 1-for-4 and scoring one of the Astros’ two runs.
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Even with the recent ups and downs, the heart of Houston’s lineup has still been led by Yordan Alvarez. The designated hitter paces the team in power with 29 home runs, and he’s also their top run producer with 67 RBIs. On top of that, Alvarez has been their most consistent hitter overall, leading the Astros with a .310 batting average this season. Christian Walker has provided plenty of pop as well, sitting second on the team with 20 home runs. The bigger concern for Houston lately has been on the mound, where they’ve given up an average of 6.2 runs in their last five, showing how much their pitching has struggled. So far in July, the Astros are 3–4, and they’ll be looking for a cleaner, more complete performance to get back on track.
Key Stats
- Houston’s Yordan Alvarez this season: 29 HRs, 67 RBI, .310 AVG
- Texas’ Jake Burger this season: 15 HRs, 54 RBI, .244 AVG
Betting Odds & Market Overview:
- TEX -122 / HOU +102; O/U 8
Houston vs. Texas Picks and Prediction
It’s been a rough go for the Astros for much of the season, but they’re trying to build some momentum before the break and cap the first half with a strong showing in Arlington against the Rangers. Texas is handing the ball to right-hander Kumar Rocker, who’s struggled in terms of wins and losses at 2–7 but has been fairly steady overall with a 3.95 ERA. Houston will counter with Peter Lambert, who’s been the more reliable option this year, going 7–5 with a 3.26 ERA as the Astros look to grab a much-needed road win. Final Score Prediction, Texas Rangers win 4-2.
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