Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Picks and Prediction for Sunday July 12 2026
Use Code WWWC The Houston Astros (46-50) face off against the Texas Rangers (48-46) at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. Get involved in the action with our free MLB picks.
Houston vs. Texas Game Information
- July 12, 2026
- 2:35 PM EST
- Globe Life Field
- MLB.TV/Rangers Sports Network/Space City Home Network/Fubo
Texas Form & Recent Results
Texas heads into this matchup playing some of their best baseball in a while. They’re riding a two-game win streak and have taken three of their last five overall, giving them some momentum going into the weekend. A big part of that recent success has come at home, where they’ve been able to take care of business, most notably with a couple of wins over the Angels in Arlington. On Friday night, they added another statement win at home by beating the Astros 7–3. First baseman Jake Burger was right in the middle of the action, going 1-for-4 but making it count with a home run, a run scored, and four RBIs. On the mound, Cal Quantrill gave Texas exactly what they needed from a starter, working six solid innings while allowing just one earned run on five hits. He didn’t pile up strikeouts but limited damage, issued just one walk, and kept the Astros from putting together any big innings.
Offensively, the Rangers looked dangerous throughout that win, finishing with eight hits, three home runs, and 14 total bases, exactly the kind of power-heavy production they want to carry into Sunday’s series finale. Burger has been their top power threat all season, leading the team with 16 home runs, and he’s also their RBI leader with 58 on the year. Joc Pederson isn’t far behind in the home run department either, already sitting at 15, giving Texas another key bat that can change a game with one swing. When it comes to consistency at the plate, Josh Jung has been their most reliable hitter, leading the Rangers with a .297 batting average. Overall, Texas has been scoring 5.2 runs per game over their last five, and they’ll be aiming to keep that offensive pressure on the Astros at home. So far in July, the Rangers have played fairly even baseball with a 4–4 record, but they’ll be looking to tip that balance in their favor with a strong finish to this series.
Houston Form & Recent Results
Houston heads into this matchup in a bit of a slump, riding a two-game losing streak and having dropped three of their last five games leading up to Saturday. It's included a loss to the Rangers in Arlington, along with two setbacks against the Nationals in Washington, so it hasn’t exactly been an easy run of opponents or environments. On Friday in Arlington, the Astros fell 7–3 to Texas, and although the offense wasn’t completely quiet, it wasn’t enough to keep pace. Houston collected eight hits in the game, with catcher Yainer Diaz providing one of the few bright spots by going 1-for-3 and launching a home run. Diaz also crossed the plate once and drove in two runs, but the Astros couldn’t string together enough consistent rallies to overcome the deficit.
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Over the course of the season, Houston’s lineup is still powered by designated hitter Yordan Alvarez, who leads the team in several key categories. Alvarez has been their top home run threat with 30 long balls, and he also leads the club in RBI with 68, showing how often he comes through in run-producing situations. He’s not just hitting for power, either, Alvarez also tops the Astros in batting average at .312, making him their most reliable all-around hitter. Behind him, first baseman Christian Walker ranks second on the team in home runs with 20, giving Houston another legitimate power source in the middle of the order. However, the biggest issue lately hasn’t been scoring, it’s been preventing runs. Over their last five games, the Astros have surrendered an average of six runs per game, and that stretch of shaky pitching has played a major role in their recent losses. As they look ahead to Sunday, Houston will be hoping for a reset on the mound, especially since they’ve gone just 3–5 so far in July and need momentum heading deeper into the month.
Key Stats
- Houston’s Yordan Alvarez this season: 30 HRs, 68 RBI, .312 AVG
- Texas’ Jake Burger this season: 16 HRs, 58 RBI, .244 AVG
Houston vs. Texas Picks and Prediction
It’s been a rough season so far for both the Astros and the Rangers, and neither team has really found a steady rhythm. Houston will be leaning heavily on Yordan Alvarez to provide a spark, whether that’s a big extra-base hit or a game-changing homer, as they try to grind out an important road win against their in-state, AL West rivals in Texas. For the Rangers, the key is getting the bats going right away. If they can jump on Houston early, put pressure on the Astros’ pitching, and build some momentum from the start, they’ll give themselves a much better shot to close out the series with a win in Sunday’s finale. Final Score Prediction, Texas Rangers win 7-4.
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