Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Friday July 24 2026

Tonight's Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets picks begin with whether New York can stay even with Los Angeles early before the Dodgers' deeper roster becomes more influential late.

Los Angeles has held near -142, while the Mets have shortened from about +128 to +120. The total remains 9, suggesting the market still expects scoring despite a lower-scoring historical tendency for both clubs. Readers can also find more daily analysis in our MLB picks and predictions and MLB player props coverage.

Best Available Odds for Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets

• Moneyline: Los Angeles Dodgers -142 | New York Mets +120
• Run Line/Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+116) | New York Mets +1.5 (-140)
• Total: Over 9 (-106) | Under 9 (-114)

Game Info

• Date: Friday, July 24, 2026
• Time: 7:10 p.m. EDT
• Location: Citi Field, Queens, New York
• TV: SportsNet LA and WPIX
• Probable Pitchers: Roki Sasaki vs Sean Manaea

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Preview

Los Angeles is 65-38 and brings the best record in this matchup, but the Dodgers are not being priced as an overwhelming road favorite. Roki Sasaki's uneven run prevention is part of the reason, as is the possibility that New York can create early traffic against him.

The Mets are 43-60 and have struggled to sustain offense, yet Sean Manaea gives them a credible route to a competitive first half. If he keeps the Dodgers from reaching the middle of the order with runners on base, New York can stay level before the bullpens take over.

The full-game matchup still favors Los Angeles because of lineup depth and late-inning options. That does not mean the Dodgers are the best early bet. Their advantages in depth and relief pitching are less relevant before the sixth inning.

The MLB betting trends lean toward lower-scoring games for both teams, particularly through team-total and first-five results. The starting-pitcher ERAs create an obvious counterargument, so the under should be treated as a price-sensitive secondary play rather than an automatic conclusion.

The slight move toward the Mets supports the idea that New York can compete, even though Los Angeles remains the deserved full-game favorite. The market has not materially reduced the total, leaving room to take the under at nine.

Pitching Matchup

Roki Sasaki enters with a 4.98 ERA. His raw stuff can dominate stretches of a game, but command lapses have created innings where opponents reach base without needing several hard-hit balls.

The Mets need to make Sasaki work. Deep counts and early baserunners are their best path to preventing the Dodgers from controlling the game before their lineup sees Manaea a second time.

Sean Manaea has a 4.74 ERA and faces the more dangerous offense. His left-handed angle can still disrupt Los Angeles early if he locates away from right-handed power and avoids walks ahead of the middle of the order.

Manaea's challenge grows on the third trip through the lineup. That is another reason to isolate the first five innings rather than ask New York to remain ahead for the entire game.

Game Thesis: The Dodgers have the better nine-inning roster, but the Mets can stay close while Manaea is on the mound. A tied or one-run first half followed by Los Angeles creating separation late is the most plausible combined script.

Best Bet - New York Mets +0.5 First Five Innings (-135)

New York +0.5 through five innings is the best bet because it captures the portion of the matchup in which the teams are closest. Manaea can keep the Mets competitive before Los Angeles gains its larger bullpen and depth advantages.

Sasaki's 4.98 ERA also makes it difficult to assume the Dodgers will lead early simply because they are the better team. New York needs only a tie at the five-inning mark.

The main risk is Manaea losing fastball command against the top of the Dodgers order. The half-run cushion is still useful in a matchup where one early swing could be the only separation.

Total Pick: Under 9 (-114)

Under 9 is the secondary pick because both clubs have shown lower-scoring tendencies and Citi Field can suppress marginal fly balls. Manaea does not need to dominate; he needs to keep Los Angeles from producing a major inning before the bullpen is ready.

The nine provides push protection on a 5-4 finish. Sasaki's command is the largest threat, so this is less attractive if the market falls to 8.5.

Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers 4, New York Mets 3