Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Wednesday, September 24, 2025

By: Mark Ruelle Updated 09/24/2025, 10:15 PM ET
Marlins at Phillies MLB Prediction
Use Code WWWC

In this Marlins at Phillies prediction, the Marlins and Phillies wrap up their three-game series in Philadelphia on Thursday night. The Marlins are fighting hard down the stretch and now have an outside shot at finishing with a winning record. The Phillies have already clinched the NL East Division crown and are in a position to finish as one of the top two seeds in the National League, earning a first-round bye. The pitching matchup in the series finale will be Marlins’ righty Janson Junk (6-3, 4.27) opposing Phillies’ righty Walker Buehler (9-7, 5.13). The first pitch is scheduled for 6:05 PM EST. Read on for more in this Marlins/Phillies prediction, and grab our top MLB predictions to increase your bankroll!

Marlins finishing strong

The Miami Marlins are blazing toward the finish line with seven straight wins heading into Wednesday night’s game with the Phillies. They picked up their seventh straight win in game one of this series, a 6-5 win over the Phillies in 11 innings. Trailing 3-0, the Marlins scored single runs in the 7th, 8th, and 9th innings to tie the game and force extra innings. They added a run in the 10th and, after the Phillies tied it, a Xavier Edwards’ sacrifice fly in the 11th innings gave the Marlins the lead for good.

*This article was written before the conclusion of Wednesday night’s Marlins/Phillies game.

Get Free $30 Credit for Premium Picks + Exclusive Discounts

Subscribe Now

I understand that I can unsubscribe at any time. I have read and accepted the Terms & Conditions and Privacy Policy. I consent that Winners and Whiners may use third-party services to process my data.

The Marlins head into game two of the series with 77 victories, just three games under .500, thanks to their most recent hot streak. They’ll turn to right-hander Janson Junk in the series finale on Thursday. Junk is 6-3 on the season in 20 appearances, including six quality starts. He has allowed 107 hits in 105.1 innings of work. Junk has an ERA of 4.27 and a WHIP of 1.14. He’s walked 13 batters and struck out 73. The Marlins have won three of Junk’s last five starts. He is 4-0 with an ERA of 3.42 in 10 road appearances.

Key Injuries: CF Andrew Pintar, CF Dane Myers, LF Kyle Stowers, RP Tyler Zuber, and RP Anthony Bender are out.

Phillies are ready for playoffs

The Phillies are down to their final four games of the regular season, readying for another run at their first World Series title since 2008. The Phillies are all but locked into the second seed in the National League playoffs, just behind the Brewers for the best record. That means a first-round bye, allowing the Phillies to get their rotation in order. The Phillies have lost four of five games heading into Wednesday night’s contest. That includes a 6-5 loss on Tuesday night to the Marlins. The Phillies jumped out to a 3-0 lead, in part due to Kyle Schwarber’s 54th home run of the season. The bullpen couldn’t hold up, however, allowing single runs from the 7th inning on.

*This article was written before the conclusion of Wednesday night’s Marlins/Phillies game.

The Phillies will hand the ball to veteran righty Walker Buehler in the series finale on Thursday night. Buehler was signed earlier this month after being released by the Red Sox. He is 9-7 on the season in 25 appearances, including seven quality starts. Buehler has allowed 127 hits in 121 innings, including 22 home runs. He has an ERA of 5.13 and a WHIP of 1.53. Buehler has walked 58 and struck out 90 batters. The Phillies have won each of his two appearances thus far. He is 2-0 in September with an ERA of 1.04.

Key Injuries: SS Trea Turner SS and RP Jordan Romano are out.

Marlins at Phillies 

  • Money line Pick for Marlins at Phillies 

Marlins ML (4 units)

The Phillies seem content to take the second seed in the National League Playoffs, losing four out of five games and favoring the team’s health over success at this point. Starter Buehler has not been the same pitcher that was a perennial Cy Young candidate several years ago with the Dodgers. He’s lost velocity and his command. Buehler has just 90 strikeouts this season while walking 58 batters. The Marlins will have a field day against Buehler, hitting .273 as a team over the past ten games. Junk has earned serious consideration to be one of the team’s top four starters last year, after coming out of the bullpen this season and giving the team steady production. The Marlins will pick up another win on Thursday night. 

Take the Marlins with the money line.

Over/Under Pick for Marlins at Phillies(H3)

  • Over 

As noted, the Marlins are hitting over .270 in their last ten games. They have gone over the number in three of their last five games overall. They have also gone over the number in 7 of the 11 games against the Phillies this season. They have also gone over the number in four of Junk’s last five starts. The Phillies have gone over the number in each of Buehler’s two appearances since joining the team. They have also gone over the total in three of their last five games overall. Ride the recent trends.

Take the Over.

Never Tried Winners and Whiners? Now Is Your Chance

  • Get your first daily picks package for ONLY $1 using coupon code DOLLAR
  • If the pick loses, we credit your account with 3 Flex Picks
  • If the pick wins, we still give you 1 Flex Pick on the house
  • Win or lose, you walk away ahead. One dollar. No catch.
  • Check out more MLB predictions
BetMGM Sport

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

Show Bonus Code
Claim Bonus
Signup Promo Recommended BetMGM Sport Bonus
Min. Deposit $5
Cashable No
FanDuel Sportsbook

New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days

Show Bonus Code
Claim Bonus
Signup Promo Hot Offer FanDuel Sportsbook Bonus
Requirement New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days. (Up to $1,000 Bet Reset Tokens)
Cashable No
DraftKings Sport

New DraftKings Customers: Spend $5+ Get $200 in Bonuses Instantly!

Show Bonus Code
Claim Bonus
Signup Promo Hot Offer DraftKings Sport Bonus
Min. Deposit $5
Odds Requirements -500
Cashable No

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (MI/NJ/PA/WV/WY), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), 1-888-532-3500 (VA), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), or call/text TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN). 21+ (18+ WY). AZ/CO/IL/IN/IA/MI/NJ/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. Eligibility restrictions apply. T&C's Apply. Void where prohibited. If you click on a link on this site which takes you to a bookmaker or casino and you subsequently open an account, Pick and Parlays may receive a commission. Bets placed are the responsibility of the bettor.

Copyright © 2026 Picks and Parlays. All rights reserved.

The sports news and information contained at this site is for entertainment purposes only. Any use of this information in violation of laws whether they are federal, state and/or local is prohibited. Picks and Parlays is the nation's premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information.

Sign Up Get $30 Premium Picks Credit + Exclusive Offers
Special Offer
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
Play now Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (Available in the US) 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. Promotional offers not available in Mississippi, New York, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.