Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks and Prediction for Sunday, July 19, 2026

By: David Anicetti Published 07/19/2026, 05:30 AM ET
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The Miami Marlins face the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field in Milwaukee on Sunday at 2:10 p.m. ET, with coverage on MLB.TV. Miami is 52-46 overall and 21-26 away, while Milwaukee owns a 60-37 record and a 30-18 home mark. The Brewers lead the series after winning the opener 2-1 in 10 innings, extending Miami’s losing streak to four games. Build your bankroll with our free MLB picks.

Miami in the Thick of National League Wildcard Race

The Miami Marlins have produced a .253 batting average, a .329 on-base percentage, and a .410 slugging percentage through 98 games. Miami has scored 440 runs with 824 hits and 99 home runs, placing the Marlins close to Milwaukee in batting average but behind the Brewers in total scoring. Otto Lopez has been Miami’s most consistent hitter, batting .336 with 129 hits, 61 runs, nine home runs, and 45 RBIs.

Miami’s pitching staff carries a 4.02 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP, with opponents batting .229. The staff has recorded 815 strikeouts, allowed 95 home runs, and converted 23 saves. Those numbers are respectable, but the Marlins enter this matchup with less room for error because the offense has failed to score more than two runs in each of the past four losses.

Injuries:  Michael Petersen is day-to-day, John King - 10-day IL, William Kempner - 10-day IL, Josh Ekness - 10-day IL, and Anthony Bender- 10-day IL. 

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Milwaukee Looks Hard to Beat in National League Central

Milwaukee is batting .254 with a .337 on-base percentage and a .397 slugging percentage while scoring 491 runs in 97 games. Brice Turang leads Milwaukee with 60 RBIs and has added 14 home runs, 66 runs, 55 walks, and 15 stolen bases. Jake Bauers has supplied a team-high 18 home runs with 59 RBIs, a .373 on-base percentage, and a .503 slugging percentage. William Contreras leads the Brewers with a .280 average and 97 hits, while Jackson Chourio has added 13 home runs and a .489 slugging percentage.

The Brewers have a 3.48 team ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .219 opponent batting average. Milwaukee has struck out 928 batters, converted 30 saves, and allowed 95 home runs across 858.2 innings. The Brewers hold a clear pitching advantage over Miami in ERA, WHIP, strikeouts, and saves, which supports Milwaukee’s 60-37 record.

Injuries: Rob Zastryzny, Joel Kuhnel, Jacob Misiorowski, Logan Henderson, and David Hamilton are on the injury report. Misiorowski and Henderson are day-to-day, while Zastryzny, Kuhnel, and Hamilton are on the 10-day injured list. 

Pitching Matchup

Miami Marlins - Eury Perez

The right-hander is 5-7 with a 3.78 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP across 85.2 innings. Perez has allowed 64 hits and 13 home runs while recording 95 strikeouts against 34 walks. The right-hander has held opponents to limited hit totals, but Miami has not consistently turned his strong work into wins.

Milwaukee - Robert Gasser

The left-hander is 2-4 with a 5.24 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 46.1 innings. Gasser has surrendered 45 hits and 10 home runs while striking out 43 batters and issuing 14 walks. The left-hander has shown solid control, but the home run rate and elevated ERA give Miami a chance to produce more offense than it did in the opener.

Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Game Pick

  • Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee is the play because the Brewers hold the better record, the stronger home mark, and the superior team pitching numbers. The Brewers have a 3.48 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP compared with Miami’s 4.02 ERA and 1.24 WHIP, while Milwaukee has also produced 30 saves against Miami’s 23. Gasser is the weaker starting pitcher in this matchup, but Milwaukee’s bullpen, home record, and deeper run production support another Brewers win.

Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Over/Under Pick

  • Under

The opener finished with only three runs after 10 innings, and Miami has scored two runs or fewer in four straight games. Perez owns a 3.78 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP, while Milwaukee’s pitching staff has held opponents to a .219 batting average. Gasser’s numbers create some risk, but Miami’s recent scoring problems and Milwaukee’s strong bullpen make the under the play.

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