Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Picks and Predictions for Saturday, August 1st, 2026

The Miami Marlins visit the New York Mets on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Miami is 55-55 and sits tied for third in the NL East, 9.5 games behind the Atlanta Braves. The Marlins have won three of their last five games but opened this series with a 4-2 loss to the Mets on Thursday. New York is 47-63 and sits fifth in the NL East, 17.5 games behind Atlanta. The Mets have won four of their last five games after Thursday's victory over Miami. Be a big winner with our free MLB picks.

Miami Marlins Continue to Roll Behind Strong Offense

The Marlins have put together a productive offense this season, batting .251 while scoring 483 runs with 908 hits, 112 home runs, a .327 on-base percentage, and a .407 slugging percentage. Otto Lopez has been the catalyst with a .329 batting average and 138 hits, while Liam Hicks leads the club with 60 RBIs and has added 14 home runs. Heriberto Hernandez has supplied 16 home runs, Xavier Edwards owns a .373 on-base percentage, and Kyle Stowers has contributed 14 home runs. Miami has relied on consistent contact and balanced production throughout the lineup.

Miami's pitching staff has posted a 4.08 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP while limiting opponents to a .231 batting average. The Marlins have recorded 918 strikeouts and have remained competitive because of steady work on the mound. Tyler Phillips takes the ball after putting together a solid season in the rotation.

Injuries: Leo Jimenez (Day-To-Day), Owen Caissie (10-Day IL), Michael Petersen (Day-To-Day), Josh Ekness (60-Day IL), William Kempner (15-Day IL).

New York Mets Coming Off Four Wins in Five Games

The Mets have struggled offensively for much of the season, batting .233 while scoring 453 runs with 861 hits, 129 home runs, a .305 on-base percentage, and a .382 slugging percentage. Juan Soto has led the lineup with a .283 batting average, 21 home runs, 52 RBIs, and a .408 on-base percentage, while Bo Bichette has collected 112 hits and 53 RBIs. Carson Benge is batting .261 with 11 home runs, and Francisco Alvarez has added 12 home runs. New York has relied on power to make up for a lower team batting average.

The Mets have compiled a 4.11 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP while holding opponents to a .237 batting average. The staff has piled up 998 strikeouts, one of the highest totals in baseball. Zac Thornton has been effective in limited action and will try to build on his strong start to the season.

Injuries: Dedniel Nunez (60-Day IL), Clay Holmes (60-Day IL), Justin Hagenman (60-Day IL), Juan Soto (10-Day IL), Mark Vientos (10-Day IL).

Pitching Matchup

Miami Marlins – Tyler Phillips

Phillips is 2-5 with a 3.52 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP across 84.1 innings. He has allowed 77 hits while striking out 63 batters and walking 38. Phillips has done a good job limiting damage despite receiving limited run support.

New York Mets – Zac Thornton

Thornton is 2-1 with a 2.43 ERA and an excellent 0.91 WHIP over 29.2 innings. He has surrendered only 20 hits while striking out 22 batters and walking seven. Thornton has consistently limited baserunners in his early appearances.

Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Game Pick

• Miami Marlins

Miami owns the more productive offense, batting .251 compared to New York's .233, and Tyler Phillips has delivered reliable work with a 3.52 ERA over 84.1 innings. While Zac Thornton has pitched well, his sample size remains limited. The Marlins also have more balance throughout the lineup with Otto Lopez, Liam Hicks, Xavier Edwards, and Heriberto Hernandez producing consistently. Miami has the edge to bounce back and split the first two games of the series.

Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Over/Under Pick

• Under

Both starting pitchers have produced strong numbers this season, with Tyler Phillips carrying a 3.52 ERA and Zac Thornton posting a 2.43 ERA with a 0.91 WHIP. Miami ranks among the better pitching staffs in the National League with a 4.08 team ERA, while New York has recorded 998 strikeouts this season. With both starters capable of limiting scoring chances, expect this matchup to cash under the total.