Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates, Picks and Prediction, Friday, June 12, 2026

By: Bosun Akinpelu Published 06/12/2026, 05:15 AM ET
Marlins vs. Pirates prediction
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Miami (33-35) will be going for their second consecutive road series win when they visit PNC Park on Friday night to face Pittsburgh (35-33) in the first game of their three-game series at 6:40 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Marlins vs. Pirates prediction. Need a hot take on the MLB Season? Check out our Free MLB Picks and cash in.

Lake Bachar, 0-0, 2.97 ERA, will get the start for the Marlins. The Pirates will counter with Braxton Ashcraft, 5-3, 3.28 ERA.

Pittsburgh is 6-4 in its last 10 games against Miami.

**This preview was written before Thursday’s game was played.**

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Marlins Going For Fourth Consecutive Series Win

The Marlins played well over the past couple of weeks and come into this game on a three series winning streak. They’ve moved up to fourth in the NL East standings, 1.5 games behind the Nationals, and will try to keep the momentum going with a win on Friday.

Miami averages 4.32 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. Their .246 batting average is 10th in the league. Their .323 on base percentage is ninth, while their .384 slugging percentage is 24th.

Otto Lopez leads the Marlins with a .342 batting average, while Liam Hicks leads the team with 12 home runs and 48 RBI.

Miami is giving up 4.44 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. Opponents have a .228 batting average against the Marlins, which is fifth in the league. Their 4.18 ERA is 17th, while their 1.27 WHIP is ninth.

In his last start, Bachar gave up no hits and no runs in three innings, leading to a 4-3 win over Tampa Bay. He is 0-0 with a 3.68 ERA in five games against Pittsburgh.

Pirates Trying To Take Series Lead

The Pirates have lost four of their last five games since their series win over Houston. They have dropped to third in the NL Central, 3.5 games behind second-placed St. Louis, and will try to make up some ground with a win on Friday.

Pittsburgh averages 5.07 runs per game, which is sixth in the league.Their .253 batting average is sixth in the league. Their .335 on base percentage is fourth, while their .402 slugging percentage is ninth.

Nick Gonzales leads Pittsburgh with a .300 batting average. Brandon Lowe leads the team with 15 home runs, while Oneil Cruz leads the team with 44 RBI.

Pittsburgh is giving up 4.75 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. Opponents have a .233 batting average against the Pirates, which is eighth in the league. Their 4.16 ERA is 16th, while their 1.29 WHIP is 15th.

In his last start, Ashcraft gave up nine hits and six runs in five innings, leading to a 6-3 loss to Atlanta.

Marlins vs. Pirates Picks

Money Line Pick for Marlins vs. Pirates

  • Miami Marlins ML (4 Units)

The Marlins have been on a roll offensively, scoring 26 runs in their last four games. They’ve had a lot of success against right-handers, and they’re facing Ashcraft, who has been shaky on the mound in recent starts, giving up nine runs in his last three starts. With Pittsburgh’s bullpen also struggling, they will have a hard time slowing down the Marlins.

Pittsburgh will have a hard time keeping up offensively because they’re not playing as well as the Marlins and failed to score more than three runs in four of their last five games. Even though they’ve hit the ball well against right-handers, they won’t score a lot of runs against Bachar, who has looked good on the mound in limited action and hasn’t given up a run in two starts. With Miami’s bullpen also playing well, expect them to keep Pittsburgh’s offense in check. Take Miami on the money line.

Over/Under Pick for Marlins vs. Pirates

  • Under (4 Units)

The Marlins average 4.32 runs per game. They’re batting .248 against right-handers, and they’re facing a starter who gave up seven runs in his last three home starts. The Pirates average 5.07 runs per game. They’re batting .256 against right-handers, and they’re facing a starter who hasn’t given up a run in two starts. Don’t expect these teams to score enough runs to push the score over the total. The Marlins and Pirates played under the total in three of their last four meetings.

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