Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks and Prediction for Sunday May 17 2026
Use Code WWWC It’s the final game of the series between two Florida clubs on Sunday, May 17. Read our Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays prediction along with our other Free MLB Picks on the night. The Marlins are towards the bottom of the National League East. They are well below .500 when playing against American League clubs this season. The Rays lead the American League and everything has been working well for them in the fewest few months of the season. The Marlins are set to start Eury Perez, while Drew Rasmussen gets the start for the Rays. These two teams will meet with first pitch set for 12:15 P.M. EST.
Miami struggling to find form against American League teams
The Marlins are in fourth-place in the National League East division. Miami well under .500 this year and they have been poor on the road. Entering Saturday, Miami has lost six of its last 10 road games. They are also 5-11 against American League clubs this season.
Eury Perez gets the start for the Marlins. The right-handed pitcher is 2-5 with a 4.94 ERA in nine starts. Perez threw six innings against the Twins in his last start on May 12. He allowed three runs and three hits, while striking out eight batters in a 3-0 loss. The Marlins have lost four straight games that Perez has started. He has a 6.52 ERA in four road starts this season.
The Marlins are hitting .242 this season, which ranks 11th. They are the 18th ranked runs scored team in the league. Miami ranks 13th in hits and they have the second-most triples. Miami ranks first in bases stolen, which has been key this year. The Marlins are hitting .224 on the road and in the month of May. They have a .221 batting average against American League clubs, too.
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Tampa Bay with fewest home losses so far this season
Tampa Bay has dominated the first few months of the season. The Rays lead the American League East division by a couple of games. They also own the American League’s best record early in the campaign. The Rays also have the fewest home losses in the sport, too.
On Sunday, Drew Rasmussen gets the start for the Rays. The right-handed pitcher is 3-1 with a 3.16 ERA in eight starts. He threw six innings against Toronto in his last start on May 11. He allowed three runs and four hits, while striking out six batters. Tampa Bay is 5-1 in Rasmussen's last six starts. He has a 2.00 ERA in three home starts.
The Rays are hitting .259 this season, which ranks third-best. They rank 12th in runs scored and they also own the fifth-most hits. Tampa Bay has hit the fifth-fewest home runs, but they rank second-best in stolen bases. The Rays are hitting .265 at home and .278 this month. They are also hitting .252 against the National League.
Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks
Marlins vs Rays Spread Pick
- Take the Rays (5 units)
Tampa Bay continues to show why they are the best team in the American League so far. The bats are hot and the pitching has dominated. Drew Rasmussen gets the start for Tampa Bay and he will be great in this outing. He has a 2.00 ERA at home and Tampa has won five of their last six games that he has pitched. The Marlins have struggled to score on the road and they are starting Eury Perez, who hasn’t been very good this season. Perez has a 6.52 ERA on the road and Miami has lost four straight games that he has started.
Take Tampa Bay to cover.
Marlins vs Rays Over/Under Pick
- Take the under (5 units)
Drew Rasmussen has been as dominate of a starting pitcher as anyone so far this season. He has a 2.00 ERA during home games and opposing teams are struggling to get extra bases off of him. Tampa Bay is hitting .265 at home, but after a subtle offensive day on Saturday, this could be a low scoring game in Florida.
Take the under on Sunday.
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