Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Picks and Prediction for Saturday July 4 2026
Use Code WWWC The Milwaukee Brewers, sitting at an impressive 53–32, head to Chase Field in Phoenix to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks, 43-43, this Fourth of July Saturday. With Milwaukee’s lineup swinging the bats so well lately, they’ll be looking to keep that offensive momentum going and put pressure on Arizona early. Get involved in the action with our free MLB picks.
Milwaukee vs. Arizona Game Information
- July 4, 2026
- 9:40 PM EST
- Chase Field
- Brewers.TV/DBACKS.TV/MLB.TV/Fubo
Arizona Form & Recent Results
Arizona heads into this matchup trying to shake off a short slump, coming in on a one-game losing streak and having dropped three of their last five games leading into Friday’s series opener against the Brewers. During that stretch, they’ve had a mix of home and road struggles, one of the losses came at home against the Giants, while the other two were on the road in St. Petersburg against the Rays. Their most recent defeat was a 6–4 loss to San Francisco on Wednesday, a game where the Diamondbacks had some bright spots offensively but couldn’t quite do enough to pull even late.
Even in that loss, Ketel Marte stood out, going 2-for-4 with a run scored and an RBI, and he continues to be one of Arizona’s most important hitters overall. Marte has been the team’s main power threat this year as well, leading the Diamondbacks with 17 home runs, while right fielder Corbin Carroll sits just behind him with 13. Marte also leads the team in RBIs with 54, showing how often he’s been coming through in key situations, while Carroll has been Arizona’s most consistent hitter by average, batting .269 on the season. On the pitching and defense side, Arizona has given up about 4.2 runs per game over their last five games, and they’ll need to tighten things up as they prepare to face a Milwaukee lineup that has been swinging the bats well heading into Saturday night’s game in Phoenix.
Milwaukee Form & Recent Results
Milwaukee comes into this matchup trying to bounce back after dropping their most recent game, snapping what had been a fairly solid stretch of baseball. Even with Friday’s loss, the Brewers had won three of their previous five games, and a big reason for that was a successful run at home against Cincinnati, where all three of those wins came. However, the Reds got the upper hand in Thursday’s 7–2 win in Milwaukee. One bright spot for the Brewers was center fielder Garrett Mitchell, who went 1-for-3 but made it count by crushing a home run. He also crossed the plate once and drove in a run, providing some of the limited offense Milwaukee was able to generate in that game.
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From a season-long perspective, Milwaukee’s power production has been led by first baseman Jake Bauers, who tops the team with 15 home runs. Behind him, Brice Turang and Jackson Chourio have each added 12 homers, giving the lineup a few consistent long-ball threats. Bauers has also been one of the team’s most productive run producers overall, as he and catcher William Contreras share the team lead with 51 RBIs apiece. Contreras has been especially steady at the plate, leading the Brewers in batting average at .293, which shows how often he’s been able to get on base and keep innings alive. Over their last five games, Milwaukee has averaged 4.2 runs, and they’ll be aiming to build on that as they take on the Diamondbacks in Saturday’s middle game of the series.
Key Stats
- Milwaukee’s Jake Bauers this season: 15 HRs, 51 RBI, .264 AVG
- Arizona’s Ketel Marte this season: 17 HRs, 54 RBI, .267 AVG
Betting Odds & Market Overview:
- MIL -149 / ARI +123; O/U 9
Milwaukee vs. Arizona Picks and Prediction
Brandon Woodruff will try to keep Milwaukee rolling by delivering another strong outing. He’s been sharp so far, going 2–1 with a 2.59 ERA, and the Brewers will feel good about their chances when he’s on the mound. Arizona will counter with Merrill Kelly, who’s 5–8 with a 5.84 ERA and has had a tougher time keeping runs off the board this season. Milwaukee’s lineup has shown it can put up runs in a hurry, but they’re not expecting an easy night. The Diamondbacks have a knack for coming through at the right moments, so even if they don’t score early, they’re dangerous in tight, late-game situations. Final Score Prediction, Milwaukee Brewers win 11-5.
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