Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles Picks and Prediction for Saturday, September 19, 2026
On Saturday, the Milwaukee Brewers visit the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, with the opening pitch scheduled for 4:05 PM ET and televised on MLB.TV. Milwaukee is 95-58, first in the NL Central with a 10-game lead over Chicago and nine games remaining. The Brewers are coming off a 7-4 loss to Pittsburgh but have won three of their last five. Baltimore is 75-78, fifth in the AL East and 18.5 games behind Tampa Bay. The Orioles are 2.5 games behind Chicago for the final AL Wild Card spot with nine games remaining and have won three straight. Here is a closer look before our free MLB picks.
Milwaukee Brewers Trying to Bounce Back After a Road Loss
Milwaukee lost 7-4 at Pittsburgh on Thursday after taking the previous two games from the Pirates, 5-4 and 5-1. The Brewers have won three of their last five and remain firmly in control of the NL Central. Jackson Chourio leads the regular lineup with a .286 average and has 23 home runs, 67 RBI and 17 stolen bases. Jake Bauers has supplied the most power with 26 homers and an .891 OPS, while Brice Turang has 19 home runs, 93 RBI and 19 steals.
Milwaukee ranks second in MLB with a .259 batting average and has scored 792 runs while hitting 147 home runs. The Brewers have a .342 on-base percentage and .405 slugging percentage. Milwaukee also ranks second in team pitching with a 3.58 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and .224 opponent batting average. The Brewers have struck out 1,467 batters and issued 491 walks. Defensively, Milwaukee ranks ninth in MLB with a .987 fielding mark and 67 errors. The Brewers are 43-32 away from home.
Injuries: Garrett Mitchell (questionable), Bryse Wilson (out), Grant Anderson (out), Brandon Woodruff (out), Quinn Priester (out).
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Baltimore Orioles Trying to Extend a Three-Game Winning Streak
Baltimore has won three straight after sweeping a three-game road set against the Mets. The Orioles won 2-1, 7-5 in 11 innings and 7-1, a strong response after consecutive losses in Toronto. Pete Alonso has been Baltimoreโs biggest offensive threat, batting .267 with 37 home runs, 102 RBI and an .864 OPS. Gunnar Henderson has 23 homers, 58 RBI and 86 runs, while Coby Mayo has added 24 home runs and 63 RBI.
Baltimore ranks 27th in MLB with a .234 batting average and has scored 688 runs with 188 home runs. The Orioles have a .315 on-base percentage and .396 slugging percentage. Baltimore ranks 15th in pitching with a 4.14 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and .254 opponent batting average. Orioles pitchers have recorded 1,229 strikeouts while issuing 509 walks. The defense ranks 23rd with a .983 fielding mark and 92 errors. Baltimore has gone 36-39 at Camden Yards.
Injuries: Shane Baz (questionable), Luis Robert Jr. (out), Blaze Alexander (out), Christian Franklin (out), Ryan Helsley (out).
Pitching Matchup
Milwaukee Brewers - Robert Gasser
Robert Gasser is 4-5 with a 4.30 ERA and 1.27 WHIP across 96.1 innings. The left-hander has recorded 92 strikeouts against 31 walks while allowing 91 hits and 14 home runs.
Baltimore Orioles - Trevor Rogers
Trevor Rogers is 10-10 with a 4.22 ERA and 1.22 WHIP through 157.2 innings. The left-hander has 143 strikeouts, 38 walks and 19 home runs allowed while surrendering 154 hits.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles Game Pick
- Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee is the pick with a clear advantage in the overall team numbers. The Brewers rank second in MLB in batting average and team pitching, while Baltimore sits 27th in batting and 15th in pitching. Milwaukee has also scored 104 more runs and owns a much lower 3.58 team ERA compared with Baltimore at 4.14. The Orioles have won three straight, but the Brewers have been far more consistent across the season and are 43-32 on the road. Milwaukee is the play Saturday.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles Over/Under Pick
- Under
The play is under with Gasser and Rogers posting similar numbers and Milwaukee owning one of MLBโs strongest pitching staffs. The Brewers have a 3.58 team ERA, 1.19 WHIP, and .224 opponent batting average, while Rogers has a 1.22 WHIP across 157.2 innings. Baltimore has power with 188 home runs, but the Orioles are batting only .234 and rank 27th in MLB. Milwaukeeโs pitching numbers can limit Baltimore, while Rogers has allowed only 38 walks this season.