Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Picks and Prediction for Saturday, July 11, 2026
Use Code WWWC The Milwaukee Brewers visit the Pittsburgh Pirates on Saturday at 4:05 PM ET at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Milwaukee enters with a 59-34 record and leads the NL Central by seven games, while Pittsburgh is 47-47 and sits fourth in the division. The Brewers have won four of their last five games after taking three of four in St. Louis, while the Pirates have dropped two straight after losing back-to-back contests against Atlanta. Pittsburgh won two of the first three meetings between these clubs earlier this season. Win big with our free MLB picks.
Milwaukee Brewers Looking to Build on Division Lead
Milwaukee has been one of the National League's most consistent offensive clubs, ranking fifth in MLB with a .255 team batting average. The Brewers have scored 476 runs while collecting 808 hits, 86 home runs, a .337 on-base percentage, and a .398 slugging percentage. Jake Bauers leads the club with 17 home runs and 57 RBI, while William Contreras is batting .281 with a team-high 95 hits. Jackson Chourio has contributed 13 home runs, Brice Turang has added 13 long balls with 56 RBI, and Garrett Mitchell continues to provide production near the top of the lineup.
The Brewers have paired that offense with the best pitching staff in baseball. Milwaukee ranks first in MLB with a 3.32 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP while holding opponents to a .217 batting average. Brewers pitchers have recorded 896 strikeouts while allowing only 89 home runs all season.
Injuries: Coleman Crow (15-Day IL), Kyle Harrison (Day-To-Day), David Hamilton (10-Day IL), Rob Zastryzny (15-Day IL), Carlos Rodriguez (15-Day IL).
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Pittsburgh Pirates Looking to Bounce Back at Home
Pittsburgh has been one of the better offensive teams in baseball this season, ranking second in MLB with a .262 team batting average. The Pirates have scored 492 runs with 857 hits, 120 home runs, a .340 on-base percentage, and a .423 slugging percentage. Brandon Lowe leads the club with 21 home runs and 64 RBI, while Nick Gonzales is batting .310 with 101 hits. Bryan Reynolds has produced a .281 average with 14 home runs and 57 RBI, Ryan O'Hearn has added 16 home runs, and Oneil Cruz has contributed 14 home runs while providing speed on the bases.
The Pirates have received solid work from their pitching staff, ranking 16th in MLB with a 4.26 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Opponents are batting .238 against Pittsburgh, while the staff has recorded 848 strikeouts across 830.2 innings. The rotation has kept the Pirates competitive throughout the season.
Injuries: Wilber Dotel (15-Day IL), Endy Rodriguez (10-Day IL), Evan Sisk (15-Day IL), Chris Devenski (60-Day IL), Spencer Horwitz (10-Day IL).
Pitching Matchup
Milwaukee Brewers – Shane Drohan
Drohan is 4-2 with a 2.97 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP across 63.2 innings this season. The left-hander has allowed 59 hits while striking out 61 batters and surrendering only five home runs. Drohan has consistently provided quality starts and enters this matchup in excellent form.
Pittsburgh Pirates – Bubba Chandler
Chandler is 3-8 with a 4.82 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 89.2 innings. He has allowed 77 hits while striking out 79 batters but has also issued 52 walks. Chandler has shown swing-and-miss ability, though command issues have led to inconsistent results throughout the season.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pick
- Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee has the edge with the stronger pitching staff and the more reliable starting pitcher. Drohan has been outstanding all season with an ERA below 3.00, while Chandler has struggled to consistently limit baserunners. The Brewers also continue to receive production throughout the lineup and enter this matchup after winning four of their last five contests. Pittsburgh has one of baseball's better offenses, but Milwaukee's pitching has been the most dependable unit in the league. The Brewers are the play.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Over/Under Pick
- Under
Drohan gives Milwaukee a significant advantage on the mound, and the Brewers own the lowest team ERA in baseball. While Pittsburgh has produced strong offensive numbers throughout the season, Milwaukee's pitching staff has consistently limited scoring opportunities and hard contact. Chandler has been inconsistent, but the Brewers rely more on balanced offense than explosive scoring. With one elite pitching staff dominating and Drohan capable of working deep into the contest, the result will be the total cashing under.
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