Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers Prediction and Picks - September 24, 2025

By: Dean Whitaker Published 09/24/2025, 07:15 AM ET
Adolis Garcia looks to lead the Rangers over the Twins
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Wednesday night on the MLB diamond, and we have a Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers Prediction ready to rock and roll. The Minnesota Twins are not going to be a part of the playoff party as they come in with a 68-89 record. The Rangers have also been eliminated, mainly due to a late-season run that has seen them go 0-8 in their last seven games. Read on to see our Twins vs Rangers prediction.

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Matthews Gives Twins A Game One Win

The Minnesota Twins earned a satisfying 4–1 victory over the Rangers on Tuesday night, a win that was as much about pitching dominance as it was about timely hitting. Rookie right-hander Zebby Matthews stole the show, delivering seven sharp innings while scattering just four hits, striking out six, and refusing to issue a walk. His poise on the mound gave Minnesota full control after Joc Pederson’s leadoff homer in the first, silencing Texas bats for the rest of the night. Offensively, the Twins weren’t overwhelming, but they did enough, with Kody Clemens leading the way by notching a double and an RBI single. For a club that has been out of postseason contention for weeks, the performance highlighted their ability to play spoiler while building confidence in their young core.

Looking ahead to Wednesday’s contest, the Twins are expected to hand the ball to Taj Bradley, who enters with a 6–8 record and a 5.20 ERA. Bradley has been inconsistent throughout the year, showing the strikeout upside of a frontline starter but also the control issues and elevated pitch counts that have kept him from pitching deep into games. His recent outings have exposed some vulnerability to hard contact, particularly when he falls behind in counts and is forced to challenge hitters. Against a Texas lineup that has struggled badly during its ongoing skid, this start represents an opportunity for Bradley to steady himself and build momentum heading into the offseason. If he can limit the walks and trust his fastball-changeup mix, Bradley could give Minnesota another quality start in back-to-back games.

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For the Twins, the strategy will once again revolve around keeping pressure on Texas with situational hitting and avoiding long scoring droughts. Their bullpen has shown flashes but will likely need to cover multiple innings if Bradley runs into trouble early. On offense, the Twins will look to continue their balanced approach, leaning on young bats and role players rather than relying on one or two stars. The Rangers’ slide has created a window for Minnesota to capitalize on mistakes, and if the Twins can string together base hits and play clean defense behind Bradley, they’ll have a strong chance to keep momentum rolling in this midweek clash.

Rangers Have Lost Eight In Row

For the Texas Rangers, Tuesday’s loss marked their eighth consecutive defeat, a slump that has officially ended their postseason hopes. The game began with early promise when Joc Pederson blasted a leadoff home run, but that turned out to be their only run of the night as the offense completely stalled. The Rangers mustered just four hits against Zebby Matthews and the Minnesota bullpen, failing to mount any consistent threats. Starter Patrick Corbin didn’t provide the lift they needed, lasting fewer than four innings and giving up multiple runs in the process. The combination of unreliable pitching and a lineup that can’t sustain rallies has been the recipe for Texas’ collapse in September, turning what was once a hopeful playoff push into a frustrating skid.

On Wednesday, the Rangers will turn to Jacob deGrom, who at 12–8 with a 3.01 ERA remains one of the most reliable arms in their rotation. DeGrom has been carefully managed this season following previous health concerns, but when he takes the mound, he still flashes the electric stuff that has defined his career. His ability to miss bats with a high-octane fastball and sharp slider gives Texas a fighting chance to snap their losing streak. However, the Rangers will need to manage his workload carefully, especially in a season that has already taken a toll on his durability. If deGrom can provide six or more strong innings, Texas will at least have a foundation to work with against a Minnesota team that thrives on grinding out at-bats.

Still, the Rangers’ biggest hurdle remains their offense, which has been decimated by both injuries and inconsistency. With Corey Seager and Marcus Semien officially shut down for the remainder of the season, Texas is relying heavily on secondary bats and depth players to generate production. That formula hasn’t worked during this losing streak, as they’ve scored more than three runs just once in their past eight games. To support deGrom, the Rangers will need contributions from players like Adolis García and Nathaniel Lowe, who must step into larger roles. Otherwise, even a strong start on the mound won’t be enough to overcome their current offensive drought. For Texas, Wednesday is as much about pride as performance, and ending their losing skid will require a sharper effort in every facet of the game.

Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers Pick

Twins vs Rangers Moneyline Pick

  • Minnesota +1.5 (4 Units)

Taking Minnesota +1.5 on the runline makes sense given how the matchup sets up and the recent form of both teams. While Taj Bradley has been inconsistent this season with a 6–8 record and a 5.20 ERA, his ability to generate strikeouts and limit damage when he avoids walks keeps the Twins in games. Minnesota just proved in Tuesday’s win that they can lean on solid pitching and timely hitting to frustrate Texas, and their young core seems energized playing spoiler down the stretch. Even if Bradley doesn’t work deep into the game, the Twins’ bullpen has been adequate enough to protect narrow margins, especially against a Rangers offense that has looked flat during its extended slump. With eight straight losses weighing on Texas, there’s reason to believe Minnesota can once again keep things close and cash as a runline underdog.

On the Texas side, Jacob deGrom is still an ace-caliber pitcher with a 12–8 record and a 3.01 ERA, and he’s capable of shutting down almost any lineup. But with the Rangers’ bats struggling to produce beyond the occasional solo shot, even strong outings from deGrom don’t always translate into comfortable wins. Their lineup, depleted by injuries to stars like Corey Seager and Marcus Semien, has failed to generate sustained rallies, and that lack of offensive support makes it difficult to pull away from opponents. If Minnesota can scratch out a run or two early and force Texas to play under pressure, the likelihood of a one-run game increases significantly. Given the way the Rangers have been playing in September, the +1.5 cushion on Minnesota provides both security and value, especially in what projects to be another tight, low-scoring contest.

Twins vs Rangers Over/Under Pick

  • Under 7.5 (5 Units)

The Under 7.5 looks like a strong angle in this matchup because both teams enter with clear offensive concerns and a pair of pitchers who can control the tempo. Jacob deGrom is still one of the most dominant arms in baseball when healthy, and even with the Rangers mired in an eight-game losing streak, his ability to limit hard contact should keep Minnesota’s scoring in check. On the other side, while Taj Bradley has been uneven this year, he faces a Texas lineup that has looked completely out of rhythm, averaging barely over three runs per game during their skid. With the Twins showing improved bullpen reliability and the Rangers’ relievers pitching better than their overall record suggests, runs could be at a premium once again. This sets the stage for another low-scoring contest where neither side breaks out offensively, making the Under 7.5 the safer play.

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