Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers Prediction and Picks - September 25, 2025
Use Code WWWC Thursday evening, American League baseball, and we have a Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers Prediction ready to rock and roll. The Minnesota Twins will not be part of the playoff party, coming in with a 68-90 record. The Rangers have also been eliminated, mainly due to a late-season run that has seen them go 1-8 in their last nine games. How will this one play out? Read on to see our Twins vs Rangers prediction.
Need some winners this baseball season? Check out our Free MLB Picks.
Twins Just Looking To Next Year
Minnesota dropped Wednesday’s game 4–2 despite a strong outing from Taj Bradley, who allowed just two runs over five innings while striking out six. Byron Buxton opened the scoring with a leadoff solo homer—his 32nd of the season—and Royce Lewis added an RBI single in the eighth, but the offense couldn’t capitalize on key chances, finishing 1-for-7 with runners in scoring position. The bullpen faltered in the seventh when Travis Adams gave up a go-ahead RBI single to Billy McKinney, followed by a wild pitch that plated another run. It was a missed opportunity for a team trying to close a disappointing season with some fight.
Bailey Ober (5–9, 5.32 ERA) gets the ball for Thursday’s finale, and he’ll need to be sharp against a Rangers lineup that ranks top-10 in slugging and thrives on early-count aggression. Ober has struggled with the long ball—30 homers allowed in 140.1 innings—and has been inconsistent in high-leverage spots. Minnesota’s offense has leaned heavily on Buxton’s power and Lewis’s contact skills, but the supporting cast has cooled off. Ryan Jeffers, Brooks Lee, and Edouard Julien will need to step up if the Twins hope to keep pace. Defensively, Minnesota has been steady, but bullpen reliability remains a concern, with a sub-55% save conversion rate and a high inherited runner scoring percentage.
Get Free $30 Credit for Premium Picks + Exclusive Discounts
Subscribe Now
With just four games left, the Twins are focused on roster evaluation and finishing strong. Buxton’s power surge is a bright spot, and Bradley’s performance offered a glimpse of future rotation depth. Manager Rocco Baldelli continues to give reps to younger players like Lee and Julien, while veterans like Max Kepler and Kyle Farmer provide leadership. Thursday’s game offers a chance to split the series and build momentum heading into the final homestand. If Ober can keep the ball in the yard and the offense capitalizes early, Minnesota has the tools to bounce back.
Rangers Snap Eight Game Skid
Texas snapped an eight-game losing streak Wednesday night with a much-needed 4–2 win, powered by Josh Smith’s solo homer and Billy McKinney’s clutch RBI single in the seventh. Jacob deGrom struck out nine over five innings, allowing just one run—a 447-foot Buxton bomb to center—and the bullpen held firm. Robert Garcia earned the win with two scoreless frames, and Phil Maton closed it out with a clean ninth for his fifth save. It was a gritty, well-rounded performance that showed the Rangers still have fight as they chase a winning record and potential wild card berth.
Tyler Mahle (6–3, 2.20 ERA) gets the ball Thursday, and he’s been Texas’s most reliable starter down the stretch. Mahle has allowed zero earned runs in five of his 15 starts and enters with a .215 opponent batting average. He’s pitched five or more innings in 13 outings and owns seven quality starts. Against a Twins lineup batting just .239 as a team, Mahle’s command and ability to work deep into games could be decisive. Offensively, Texas will lean on Marcus Semien and Corey Seager to set the tone, while Josh Smith and Ezequiel Duran provide speed and situational hitting.
The Rangers rank 22nd in MLB in runs scored (663) and 18th in home runs (171), but their pitching has kept them afloat. With Mahle on the mound and the bullpen rested, Thursday’s game is a chance to build momentum heading into the final weekend. Bruce Bochy’s squad has won 60% of games when favored and will look to capitalize on Minnesota’s shaky bullpen and inconsistent offense. A win would push them above .500 and keep postseason hopes alive.
Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers Pick
Twins vs Rangers Moneyline Pick
- Texas (4 Units)
Texas enters Thursday’s finale with momentum and a clear edge on the mound, making them a strong play to close the series with a win. Tyler Mahle has been the Rangers’ most consistent starter down the stretch, posting a 2.20 ERA and holding opponents to a .215 average across 15 starts. He’s allowed zero earned runs in five outings and has the command to neutralize Minnesota’s streaky lineup. The Rangers’ bullpen is rested and reliable—Phil Maton and Robert Garcia combined for four scoreless innings over the last two games—and they’ve converted 70% of save chances this season. With Mahle setting the tone and the relief corps ready to lock it down, Texas has the pitching blueprint to control tempo.
Offensively, the Rangers are clicking. Josh Smith homered Wednesday, Billy McKinney delivered a go-ahead RBI single, and Marcus Semien continues to grind out quality at-bats. Corey Seager remains the anchor, and with Minnesota’s Bailey Ober vulnerable to early damage—30 homers allowed in 140.1 IP—Texas should have opportunities to strike quickly. The Rangers have won 60% of games when favored and are 44–31 at home, where their bats play up. With postseason hopes still alive and the losing streak snapped, expect Bruce Bochy’s club to stay aggressive and finish the series with a statement win.
Twins vs Rangers Over/Under Pick
- Under (5 Units)
The Under makes sense for Thursday’s matchup, with both starters capable of controlling contact and neither offense showing consistent firepower. Tyler Mahle has held opponents to two runs or fewer in 10 of his 15 starts, and Bailey Ober—despite his home run issues—has kept games close when he avoids early damage. Minnesota’s lineup has leaned heavily on Byron Buxton and Royce Lewis, while Texas has scored four runs or fewer in six of its last eight games. With rested bullpens and playoff pressure tightening approaches, this game sets up for a lower-scoring finish, especially if both starters settle in by the second inning.
Never Tried Winners and Whiners? Now Is Your Chance
- Get your first daily picks package for ONLY $1 using coupon code DOLLAR
- If the pick loses, we credit your account with 3 Flex Picks
- If the pick wins, we still give you 1 Flex Pick on the house
- Win or lose, you walk away ahead. One dollar. No catch.
- Check out more MLB predictions
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
