Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Picks and Prediction for Saturday May 23 2026

By: Dylan Hellebrand Published 05/23/2026, 04:40 AM ET
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The Minnesota Twins, sitting at 23–27, head to Fenway Park in Boston to take on the Boston Red Sox, who are 22–27. Boston’s lineup has been swinging the bats well lately, and they’ll try to carry that momentum into Saturday’s game as they look to protect their home field and come away with a win over Minnesota. Get involved in the action with our free MLB picks.

Minnesota vs. Boston Game Information

  • May 23, 2026
  • 4:10 PM EST
  • Fenway Park
  • MLB.TV/New England Sports Network/Twins.TV/Fubo

Boston Form & Recent Results

Boston heads into this matchup feeling confident after putting together a three-game winning streak, and they’ve taken four of their last five overall leading into Saturday. Their most recent win was a tight 4–3 victory over Kansas City on the road Wednesday, and Jarren Duran played a big role in it. The left fielder finished 2-for-5 and gave Boston a major lift with a home run, a run scored, and two RBIs. On the mound, starter Connelly Early gave them a solid performance, working 6.1 innings while giving up six hits and three earned runs. He only walked one batter and struck out five, doing enough to keep the Red Sox in control even as the game stayed close.

Boston’s offense showed plenty of life in that win, piling up 11 hits and 19 total bases, which is the kind of production they’ll want to carry back home. On the season, first baseman Willson Contreras has been their top power threat with 10 home runs, and he also leads the team in RBIs with 30, making him a central piece of their run production. Duran and right fielder Wilyer Abreu are tied for second on the team in homers with six apiece, giving Boston a couple more consistent sources of extra-base pop. Abreu has also been one of their most reliable all-around hitters, leading the team with a .292 batting average. Over their last five games, the Red Sox are averaging 4.5 runs per game, and they’ll be trying to keep that steady scoring going as they look to build momentum with a home win against the Twins on Saturday.

Minnesota Form & Recent Results

Minnesota heads into Saturday’s matchup feeling a bit better after getting back in the win column, and they’ve now taken three of their last five games. They were sharp in Wednesday’s 4–1 home victory over Houston, with catcher Victor Caratini delivering one of the biggest swings of the night. Caratini finished 2-for-4 and added a home run, two runs scored, and an RBI to help give the Twins some early breathing room. On the mound, Joe Ryan set the tone with a strong six-inning start, giving up just four hits and one earned run. He didn’t issue a single walk and racked up nine strikeouts, consistently getting the better of Astros hitters. As a team, Minnesota collected six hits, including two homers, and piled up 13 total bases, doing just enough damage offensively while their pitching took care of the rest.

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Over the course of the season so far, Byron Buxton has been one of the Twins’ most important bats, leading the team with 15 home runs and also sitting atop the roster in batting average at .260. Ryan Jeffers has provided pop from behind the plate as well, ranking second on the team with seven long balls. Meanwhile, Josh Bell has been their most productive run producer, leading Minnesota with 29 RBIs. Even with those individual contributions, the Twins’ recent scoring hasn’t been overwhelming. Over their last five games they’re averaging 3.4 runs, largely staying competitive because their pitching has been trending in the right direction. If they want to handle Boston at Fenway on Saturday, they’ll likely need the lineup to be more consistent and find ways to string together rallies instead of relying on a couple of big swings.

Key Stats

  • Minnesota’s Byron Buxton this season: 15 HRs, 23 RBIs, .260 AVG
  • Boston’s Willson Contreras this season: 10 HRs, 30 RBIs, .269 AVG

Minnesota vs. Boston Picks and Prediction

Boston is set to hand the ball to Brayan Bello, who comes into this start at 2–5 with a 7.16 ERA. He’s had a rough season so far, and because of that, the Red Sox lineup may need to jump on the scoreboard early to take some pressure off him. Bello will be looking to turn things around and settle in, but against a capable opponent, that’s easier said than done. Meanwhile, Minnesota’s pitchers have been in better form lately, and they’ll be aiming to come out sharp from the first inning by attacking the zone, limiting any mistakes, and keeping Boston from finding an early rhythm. Final Score Prediction, Minnesota Twins win 7-4.

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