Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Picks and Prediction for Saturday, May 9, 2026

By: Liam Keating Published 05/09/2026, 05:05 AM ET
Twins vs Guardians prediction
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It’s another American League Central clash on Saturday, May 9. Read our Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians prediction along with our other Free MLB Picks on the night.  The Twins are in last place in the division and they have lost six straight series. The Guardians are in the top spot after splitting a four-game set against Kansas City. The Twins are starting Joe Ryan, while Tanner Bibee gets the nod for Cleveland. These two teams will meet with first pitch set for 6:10 P.M. EST.

Twins road struggles continue

Minnesota is currently in last place in the American League Central division. They are at least three games back of the Guardians for the top spot. The team's road woes continue set them back. Minnesota is 6-12 on the road entering Friday’s game. The Twins have lost six straight series before this clash against Cleveland.

Joe Ryan gets the start for the Twins on Saturday. The right-handed pitcher is 2-3 with a 3.72 ERA in eight starts. He threw just nine pitchers last week after he struggled with an arm injury. He was diagnosed with right elbow soreness and should be good to go in this game. He threw a bullpen session earlier this week and felt better. In four starts, Ryan has a 4.64 ERA when pitching on the road.

The Twins are hitting .235 this season, which ranks 21st in the league. They rank eighth in runs scored, while they are the 16th ranked team in terms of hits. Minnesota ranks 10th best in home runs hit. They are hitting .219 during road games, while they also rank .248 in May.

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Guardians offense looks to improve with Bibee on the mound

Cleveland enter this weekend in first place in the American League Central Division. They are above .500 before Friday’s game, and they have played better at home this season than on the road. The Guardians have won five of their last eight games before this series. They are coming off of splitting a four-game series against the Royals.

On Saturday, Tanner Bibee gets the start for the Guardians. The right-handed pitcher is 0-5 with a 4.58 ERA in eight starts. It's been a tough start to the season for Bibee, as the Guardians offense has scored just 10 runs in his last seven appearances. Bibee threw four innings and allowed four earned runs and five hits in his last start, which resulted in a 6-2 loss to Kansas City. In four starts, Bibee has a 1.66 ERA during home games this season.

The Guardians are hitting .231 this season, which ranks 24th in the league. They rank 18th in runs scored, while they also rank 17th in home runs hit. Cleveland has also struck out the ninth fewest times. The Guardians are hitting .231 during home games. They are hitting .245 in the month of May, too. They are also hitting just .246 when runners are in scoring position.

Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Picks

Twins vs Guardians Spread Pick

  • Take the Guardians (5 units)

The Twins are starting Joe Ryan in this game, six days removed from exiting a game with arm soreness after throwing nine pitches. The Guardians should have the upper hand against him, especially with their offense improving this week. Cleveland will also be starting star pitcher Tanner Bibee, who has been better than his numbers indicate. The Guardians offense has scored just 10 runs in his last seven appearances, but this is a great chance for both Bibee and the lineup to get back into form against the last place team in the division.

Take the Guardians to cover.

Twins vs Guardians Over/Under Pick

  • Take the under (5 units)

The Guardians have allowed four runs or less in four starts of Bibee’s eight starts this season. With him on the mound, the Twins are going to struggle to find runs, especially with them hitting .219 on the road. The Guardians offense also owns the 24th ranked batting average. Even when the Guardians are hitting well, they are not putting up a lot of runs.

Take the under on Saturday. 

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