Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees Picks and Prediction for Sunday, July 5, 2026
Use Code WWWC The Minnesota Twins visit the New York Yankees on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Minnesota is 42-47 and sits third in the AL Central, while New York is 49-38 and is second in the AL East. The Yankees opened this series with a 5-2 victory on Friday after dropping four straight games, while the Twins had won three of their previous four before the series opener. New York owns one of baseball's best pitching staffs and will look to secure another home win. Build your bankroll with our free MLB picks.
Minnesota Twins Looking to Stay in the Division Race
Minnesota has been productive offensively this season, batting .246 with 431 runs, 739 hits, 111 home runs, a .320 on-base percentage, and a .412 slugging percentage. Byron Buxton leads the Twins with a .268 batting average and 25 home runs, while Josh Bell has driven in a team-high 56 runs. Brooks Lee has added 14 home runs, Trevor Larnach is batting .287, and Kody Clemens has contributed 15 home runs. The Twins rank 11th in MLB in batting average and have enough power throughout the lineup to challenge opposing pitching.
Minnesota has struggled more on the mound, ranking 27th in MLB with a 4.83 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP. Twins pitchers have allowed opponents to bat .255 while surrendering 116 home runs this season. Improving team ERA remains the biggest challenge as Minnesota tries to climb back into the playoff race.
Injuries: Byron Buxton (Day-To-Day), Bailey Ober (15-Day IL), Ryan Jeffers (10-Day IL), Cole Sands (15-Day IL), Garrett Acton (60-Day IL).
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New York Yankees Relying on Elite Pitching
The Yankees have not been among the league leaders in batting average, hitting .236 as a team, but they continue to generate offense through power with 422 runs and 126 home runs. Ben Rice leads the club with a .270 batting average, 24 home runs, and 56 RBI. Cody Bellinger has contributed 11 home runs, Paul Goldschmidt has added 14, while Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Aaron Judge have combined for 29 home runs despite Judge currently being sidelined. New York continues to rely on timely extra-base hits to score runs.
The Yankees have been outstanding on the mound, leading Major League Baseball with a 3.34 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. Their pitching staff has held opponents to a .226 batting average while recording 759 strikeouts. That combination has allowed New York to remain near the top of the AL East despite dealing with several key injuries.
Injuries: Giancarlo Stanton (10-Day IL), Carlos Rodón (15-Day IL), Max Fried (15-Day IL), Clarke Schmidt (60-Day IL), Aaron Judge (10-Day IL).
Pitching Matchup
Minnesota Twins – Joe Ryan
Ryan is 5-5 with a 3.61 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP across 97.1 innings this season. He has allowed only 83 hits while striking out 113 batters and walking just 22. Ryan consistently attacks the strike zone and has been Minnesota's most dependable starter.
New York Yankees – Ryan Weathers
Weathers enters with a 3-6 record, a 4.08 ERA, and a 1.21 WHIP over 88.1 innings. He has allowed 82 hits while striking out 98 batters and walking 25. Weathers has generally kept games under control, although limiting home runs will be important against Minnesota's power hitters.
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees Game Pick
- New York Yankees
The Yankees hold the edge because of their elite pitching staff and home-field advantage. Ryan is capable of matching New York's starter for several innings, but the Yankees have consistently received stronger bullpen production throughout the season. New York also leads MLB in team ERA and opponent batting average, making it difficult for opposing offenses to string together rallies. With the better overall pitching staff and enough power throughout the lineup, the Yankees are the play.
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees Over/Under Pick
- Under
This matchup features two quality starting pitchers, led by Ryan's 3.61 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. New York owns the best team ERA in baseball and has consistently limited opposing offenses, while Minnesota has scored through power but has not consistently produced big offensive innings against stronger pitching staffs. Ryan has allowed only 83 hits across nearly 100 innings, and Weathers has been effective enough to keep his club competitive. With strong pitching expected on both sides, the under is the stronger play.
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