Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 7/3/2026

By: Devin Erickson-Sheehy Published 07/03/2026, 01:02 PM ET
Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction
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The Minnesota Twins travel to the Bronx to face the New York Yankees on July 3, 2026, in an intriguing American League matchup that offers plenty of value for bettors. This preview breaks down the starting pitching duel, key player props, and our best betting predictions for tonight's clash.

Best Available Odds for Twins vs Yankees

  • Best Moneyline Odds: Minnesota Twins (+174) / New York Yankees (-174)
  • Best Spread Odds: New York Yankees -1.5 (+112) / Minnesota Twins +1.5 (-115)
  • Best Total Odds: Under 9.5 (+100) / Over 9.5 (-111)

Game Info

  • Date: July 3, 2026
  • Time: 7:05 PM EDT
  • Location: Yankee Stadium

Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees Preview

The Yankees enter this matchup looking to assert their dominance at home, even as they navigate a series of key injuries to superstars like Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton. Meanwhile, the Twins are also dealing with their own roster challenges, including Byron Buxton being listed as day-to-day. With veteran ace Gerrit Cole on the mound for New York, the Yankees hold a distinct advantage in experience and pitching depth against a Twins lineup that will have to work hard to manufacture runs.

Starting Pitchers and Pitching Matchup

The Yankees will send their ace, Gerrit Cole, to the mound. Cole has historically held his own against the current Twins roster, holding them to a combined 0.240 batting average with 9 strikeouts over 29 career plate appearances. Notably, Trevor Larnach has struggled with a 50.0% strikeout rate (4 strikeouts in 8 plate appearances) against Cole, while Josh Bell has just 1 hit in 12 plate appearances. Byron Buxton, who is currently day-to-day (verify the lineup before the game), has hit 2 home runs off Cole but also has 4 strikeouts in 7 plate appearances. On the other side, the Twins counter with right-hander Mike Paredes. Paredes has limited major league experience, appearing in just 6 games this season. He has never faced any of the current hitters on the Yankees roster, making this a challenging debut in the Bronx.

We expect the New York Yankees to control this game from the opening pitch behind a strong performance from Gerrit Cole. With the Twins' offense likely suppressed by Cole's veteran presence, the Yankees should secure a comfortable victory. Expect a lower-scoring game overall, with the Yankees doing enough damage against the inexperienced Mike Paredes to cover the run line.

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⭐ Best Bet - Moneyline Pick: New York Yankees (-174)

The Yankees are strong home favorites, and with Gerrit Cole on the mound, they have a massive pitching advantage over Mike Paredes. Despite missing key bats, the Yankees' depth and Cole's ability to shut down the Twins' lineup make the moneyline the safest and strongest play of the night.

Spread Pick: New York Yankees -1.5 (+112)

With Paredes making just his seventh appearance of the season and facing the Yankees in the Bronx, New York is well-positioned to win by multiple runs. Cole should keep the Twins' scoring to a minimum, allowing the Yankees to cover the -1.5 run line at attractive plus-money odds.

Total Pick: Under 9.5 (+100)

With Gerrit Cole leading the way and both teams missing significant offensive power due to injuries-including Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton for New York-runs will be at a premium. This matchup sets up perfectly for a low-scoring affair that stays under the 9.5-run total.

Top Player Prop Picks for Twins vs Yankees

Mike Paredes Under 3.5 Pitcher Strikeouts (-130) Paredes has struggled to generate high strikeout numbers, staying under this line in 5 of his 6 games this season while averaging just 2.17 strikeouts per game. Against a disciplined Yankees lineup at home, he is unlikely to find many chase pitches.

Royce Lewis Over 0.5 Hits (-165) Lewis has been one of the most consistent hitters for the Twins, recording at least one hit in 80% of his last 10 games and 80% of his last 20 games. Even against a tough pitcher like Cole, Lewis has the bat-to-ball skills to find a hole in the defense.

Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-152) With several key Yankees hitters sidelined, Bellinger will be heavily relied upon to drive the offense. He has hit this over in 53.57% of his games this season and should thrive against the inex

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